Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / LQDT / financials

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Liquidity Services Inc. (LQDT) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$45.29 +3.32% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $45.67

Liquidity Services Inc. (LQDT) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 72/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (44% profit margin, 13% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 72/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.7% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $1.42B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $45.67 (+0.84%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 12.4% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 72/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.7% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk A-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+6.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LQDT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.3%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (72/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY LQDT SCORES 72/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 7.56 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (21% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 97% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 55.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-8 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$43.13+1.7% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B-$43.86+2.3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B-$44.85+1% Next Q

Current

Grade B$45.29+7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (64) → B (72)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the LQDT Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 72/100 (B) score, LQDT faces multiple-compression risk if 50.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Priced at 51x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 41.3% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($42.91) or 200D SMA ($36.97) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($48.14) toward Bear Floor ($37.14).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LQDT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “LQDT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 72%NO 28%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How LQDT Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$59.0M (12.4% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $314.5M

FY24

Rev $363.3M

FY25

Rev $476.7M

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$476.7M	43.8%	7.4%	$28.1M	$59.0M	12.9%
FY 2024	$363.3M	51%	6.4%	$20.0M	$61.3M	9.8%
FY 2023	$314.5M	43.8%	8.3%	$21.0M	$47.0M	12.9%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring LQDT)

✓Walkthrough of LQDT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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LQDT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +27.04%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $45.52H $45.60L $44.47C $45.29VOL 186.0K

RES: $46.03SUP: $42.52SMA50: $42.91SMA200: $36.97

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LQDT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 LQDT Butterfly Map → + Track LQDT →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

36.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +31.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LQDT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LQDT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LQDT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LQDT)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #132 of 1011 ⚔️ NUTX vs LQDT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (LQDT vs. NUTX, RDWR, RSKD, AHG)

Industry: Business Services (90 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Liquidity Services Inc. (LQDT) ranks #132 by composite RQD confidence (72/100, grade B) and #467 by equity capitalization ($1.42B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NUTX leads on earnings valuation at 20.3x trailing P/E, while NUTX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 50.8% gross margin. NUTX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with LQDT at 72/100 (B).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
LQDT ACTIVE Liquidity Services Inc.	B	72/100	50.5x	43.8%	12.9%	+3.32%	$1.42B	Benchmark Subject
NUTX Nutex Health Inc.	B	75/100	20.3x	50.8%	85.0%	-1.19%	$1.44B	/nutx-vs-lqdt →
RDWR Radware Ltd.	D	47/100	76.5x	80.7%	3.7%	-1.40%	$1.55B	/rdwr-vs-lqdt →
RSKD Riskified Ltd. (Class A)	D+	53/100	—	51.7%	-20.3%	-0.55%	$1.22B	/rskd-vs-lqdt →
AHG Akso Health Group ADS	D-	41/100	—	-0.1%	—	+2.31%	$1.14B	/ahg-vs-lqdt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0001235468

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), Liquidity Services Inc. (LQDT) reported GAAP revenue of $476.7M (+31.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $363.3M , and +51.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $28.1M, operating cash flow of $66.8M, and free cash flow of $59.0M (-3.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, LQDT closed FY2025 with $369.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 7.56, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-09-30	$476.7M	$28.1M	$66.8M	$59.0M	$369.1M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-09-30	$363.3M	$20.0M	$70.2M	$61.3M	$333.2M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-09-30	$314.5M	$21.0M	$47.0M	$47.0M	—	—

3. LQDT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LQDT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Liquidity Services Inc. (NASDAQ: LQDT) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 72/100 at a spot price of $45.29 (+3.32% 1D, market cap $1.42B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, LQDT ranks #132 in composite RQD confidence.

How does LQDT compare to NUTX and RDWR in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Business Services), LQDT carries a Roarable B (72/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 50.5x, gross margin of 43.8%, and ROIC of 12.9%. By comparison, NUTX (Nutex Health Inc.) holds a B grade (75/100 RQD, P/E 20.3x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $1.44B) and RDWR (Radware Ltd.) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E 76.5x, ROIC 3.7%, cap $1.55B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NUTX leads on earnings multiple (20.3x) while NUTX leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LQDT?

Per LQDT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001235468), Liquidity Services Inc. generated $476.7M in revenue (+31.2% YoY), $28.1M in net income, and $59.0M in free cash flow against $369.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 51x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is LQDT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LQDT last traded at $45.29 (+3.32% on volume of 236,527 shares), positioning the stock +5.55% above its 50-day simple moving average ($42.91) and +22.50% above its 200-day simple moving average ($36.97). Across its 52-week range of $21.67 to $45.92, LQDT sits at the 97.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 55.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.3% ($42.89 to $47.69).

LQDT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is Liquidity Services Inc. (LQDT)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), LQDT converted $476.7M of revenue into a 43.8% gross margin, 7.4% operating margin, and $59.0M in free cash flow (12.4% FCF margin).

Direct Sub-Reports: LQDT RQD Cockpit LQDT 12M Forecast LQDT Earnings & Move LQDT Dividends & DRIP LQDT Insiders & 13F LQDT Whale Options LQDT Profit Sankey LQDT News & Why