Liquidity Services Inc. (LQDT) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±5.3% Move

$45.29 +3.32% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $45.67

Liquidity Services Inc. (LQDT) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 72/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (44% profit margin, 13% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $1.42B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $45.67 (+0.84%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 12.4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 72/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.7% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B
025507510072
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk A-
Cash (14)Whales (12)SEC (18)Macro (15)CEO (13)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+6.3% Base Target
$57 Bull$48 Base$37 Bear
📬 FREE LQDT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LQDT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (72/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY LQDT SCORES 72/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 7.56 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (21% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 97% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 55.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-8 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
64
Grade C+$43.13+1.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
67
Grade B-$43.86+2.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
69
Grade B-$44.85+1% Next Q
Current
72
Grade B$45.29+7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (64) → B (72)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the LQDT Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 72/100 (B) score, LQDT faces multiple-compression risk if 50.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Priced at 51x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 41.3% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($42.91) or 200D SMA ($36.97) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($48.14) toward Bear Floor ($37.14).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LQDT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “LQDT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 29, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±5.3% Swing Band

±$2.40 Expected Swing
$42.89 (-5.3%)Spot $45.29$47.69 (+5.3%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

LQDT Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 72/100

Trailing EPS: $0.90 • YoY Revenue Growth: 31.2%

Model Bullish Setup (72/100)Model Risk Weight (28/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-09-30$476.7M$28.1M$59.0M43.8%
FY 20242024-09-30$363.3M$20.0M$61.3M51%
FY 20232023-09-30$314.5M$21.0M$47.0M43.8%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating LQDT & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on LQDT
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
LQDT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +27.04%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $45.52H $45.60L $44.47C $45.29VOL 186.0K
RES: $46.03SUP: $42.52SMA50: $42.91SMA200: $36.97
$47.13$42.11$37.09$32.07$27.05RES $46.03SUP $42.52$45.292026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LQDT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
36.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +31.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LQDT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LQDT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LQDT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LQDT)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #132 of 1011 ⚔️ NUTX vs LQDT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (LQDT vs. NUTX, RDWR, RSKD, AHG)

Industry: Business Services (90 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Liquidity Services Inc. (LQDT) ranks #132 by composite RQD confidence (72/100, grade B) and #467 by equity capitalization ($1.42B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NUTX leads on earnings valuation at 20.3x trailing P/E, while NUTX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 50.8% gross margin. NUTX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with LQDT at 72/100 (B).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
LQDT ACTIVE
Liquidity Services Inc.
B 72/100 50.5x 43.8% 12.9% +3.32% $1.42B Benchmark Subject
NUTX
Nutex Health Inc.
B 75/100 20.3x 50.8% 85.0% -1.19% $1.44B /nutx-vs-lqdt →
RDWR
Radware Ltd.
D 47/100 76.5x 80.7% 3.7% -1.40% $1.55B /rdwr-vs-lqdt →
RSKD
Riskified Ltd. (Class A)
D+ 53/100 — 51.7% -20.3% -0.55% $1.22B /rskd-vs-lqdt →
AHG
Akso Health Group ADS
D- 41/100 — -0.1% — +2.31% $1.14B /ahg-vs-lqdt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0001235468

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), Liquidity Services Inc. (LQDT) reported GAAP revenue of $476.7M (+31.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $363.3M , and +51.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $28.1M, operating cash flow of $66.8M, and free cash flow of $59.0M (-3.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, LQDT closed FY2025 with $369.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 7.56, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-09-30 $476.7M $28.1M $66.8M $59.0M $369.1M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-09-30 $363.3M $20.0M $70.2M $61.3M $333.2M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-09-30 $314.5M $21.0M $47.0M $47.0M — —

3. LQDT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LQDT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Liquidity Services Inc. (NASDAQ: LQDT) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 72/100 at a spot price of $45.29 (+3.32% 1D, market cap $1.42B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, LQDT ranks #132 in composite RQD confidence.

How does LQDT compare to NUTX and RDWR in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Business Services), LQDT carries a Roarable B (72/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 50.5x, gross margin of 43.8%, and ROIC of 12.9%. By comparison, NUTX (Nutex Health Inc.) holds a B grade (75/100 RQD, P/E 20.3x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $1.44B) and RDWR (Radware Ltd.) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E 76.5x, ROIC 3.7%, cap $1.55B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NUTX leads on earnings multiple (20.3x) while NUTX leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LQDT?

Per LQDT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001235468), Liquidity Services Inc. generated $476.7M in revenue (+31.2% YoY), $28.1M in net income, and $59.0M in free cash flow against $369.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 51x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is LQDT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LQDT last traded at $45.29 (+3.32% on volume of 236,527 shares), positioning the stock +5.55% above its 50-day simple moving average ($42.91) and +22.50% above its 200-day simple moving average ($36.97). Across its 52-week range of $21.67 to $45.92, LQDT sits at the 97.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 55.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.3% ($42.89 to $47.69).

LQDT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is LQDT's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Liquidity Services Inc. (LQDT)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 29, 2026.

How much is LQDT stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±5.3% event move for LQDT, spanning a range between $42.89 and $47.69.

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