Local Bounti Corporation (LOCL) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$0.93 +0.05% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.93

Local Bounti Corporation (LOCL) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 45/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $21.6M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.93 (-0.18%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (45/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510045
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Cash (5)Whales (14)SEC (8)Macro (13)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.4% Base Target
$3 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE LOCL RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LOCL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (45/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY LOCL SCORES 45/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+14/20 pts (31% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±10.3% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (29% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 39.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
53
Grade C-$1.06-11.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
50
Grade C-$0.94+1.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
48
Grade D$0.95-2.1% Next Q
Current
45
Grade D$0.93-6.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (53) → D (45)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a LOCL Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While LOCL currently carries a cautious 45/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.05) and Max Pain ($0.98) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $3.29.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LOCL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “LOCL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

LOCL Smart-Money Thermometer: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →
▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (LOCL)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on LOCL. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring LOCL)

  • ✓Walkthrough of LOCL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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LOCL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -59.21%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $0.92H $0.93L $0.92C $0.93VOL 2.2K
RES: $1.22SUP: $0.89SMA50: $1.05SMA200: $1.41
$2.57$2.12$1.66$1.21$0.76RES $1.22SUP $0.89$0.932026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LOCL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +26.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LOCL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LOCL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LOCL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LOCL)

Consumer Staples Rank #109 of 146 ⚔️ RYM vs LOCL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (LOCL vs. RYM, TULP, PFAI, SEED)

Industry: Farming/Seeds/Milling (25 Tracked Issuers)

Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Local Bounti Corporation (LOCL) ranks #109 by composite RQD confidence (45/100, grade D) and #119 by equity capitalization ($21.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LOCL leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while LOCL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -15.8% ROIC and 12.1% gross margin. TULP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 57/100 (D+) compared with LOCL at 45/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
LOCL ACTIVE
Local Bounti Corporation
D 45/100 — 12.1% -15.8% +0.05% $21.6M Benchmark Subject
RYM
RYTHM Inc.
D- 39/100 — 59.0% -35.0% +3.34% $37.5M /rym-vs-locl →
TULP
Bloomia Holdings Inc.
D+ 57/100 — — — 0.00% $10.9M /tulp-vs-locl →
PFAI
Pinnacle Food Group Limited (Class A)
E 29/100 — 38.3% -35.0% -5.38% $43.3M /pfai-vs-locl →
SEED
Origin Agritech Limited
D 50/100 — 7.0% — -4.93% $10.6M /seed-vs-locl →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001840780

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Local Bounti Corporation (LOCL) reported GAAP revenue of $48.4M (+26.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $38.1M , and +75.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$94.4M, operating cash flow of -$30.3M, and free cash flow of -$41.9M (+61.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, LOCL closed FY2025 with $410.5M in total assets against $483.1M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $48.4M -$94.4M -$30.3M -$41.9M $410.5M $483.1M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $38.1M -$119.9M -$27.1M -$109.5M $428.0M $416.6M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $27.6M -$124.0M -$33.2M -$33.2M — —

3. LOCL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LOCL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Local Bounti Corporation (NYSE: LOCL) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $0.93 (+0.05% 1D, market cap $21.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, LOCL ranks #109 in composite RQD confidence.

How does LOCL compare to RYM and TULP in the Consumer Staples sector?

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Farming/Seeds/Milling), LOCL carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 12.1%, and ROIC of -15.8%. By comparison, RYM (RYTHM Inc.) holds a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $37.5M) and TULP (Bloomia Holdings Inc.) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $10.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LOCL leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while LOCL leads on capital efficiency (-15.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LOCL?

Per LOCL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001840780), Local Bounti Corporation generated $48.4M in revenue (+26.8% YoY), -$94.4M in net income, and -$41.9M in free cash flow against $410.5M in total assets and $483.1M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is LOCL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LOCL last traded at $0.93 (+0.05% on volume of 1,853 shares), positioning the stock -11.43% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.05) and -34.04% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.41). Across its 52-week range of $0.90 to $3.13, LOCL sits at the 1.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.3% ($1.00 to $1.03).

LOCL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are LOCL insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies LOCL leadership and institutional positioning as: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING.

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