MARKET WIREReuters • 2h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
Why LNZA Stock surged +7.72% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$5.58 +7.72% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.65
LanzaTech Global Inc. (LNZA) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 41/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT
Cap $73.0M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.65 (+1.20%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 4/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (41/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.7% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LNZA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (41/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY LNZA SCORES 41/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (32% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (32% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 3% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 46 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade D$6.13-24.6% Next Q
49
Q2 (-2Q)Grade D$4.62+4.1% Next Q
46
Q3 (-1Q)Grade D$4.81+16% Next Q
44
CurrentGrade D-$5.58-7.2% Hist 90D α
41
Trajectory: D (49) → D- (41)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a LNZA Turnaround Squeeze
While LNZA currently carries a cautious 41/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($5.75) and Max Pain ($5.86) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $46.20.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LNZA• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “LNZA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why LNZA Stock surged +7.72% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
LanzaTech Global Inc. (LNZA) surged +7.72% to $5.58, trading at 3% of its 52-week range ($4.3 – $44). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 3% of its 52-week range ($4.3 – $44) with RSI-14 at 46 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $5.58 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live LNZA Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 4h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 4h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 5h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 8h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 8h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring LNZA)
- ✓Walkthrough of LNZA's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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LNZA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -77.42%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $5.46H $5.62L $5.07C $5.58VOL 171.9K
RES: $5.95SUP: $3.90SMA50: $5.75SMA200: $10.68
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
LNZA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +12.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LNZA today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LNZA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LNZA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LNZA)
Materials Rank #215 of 270
⚔️ ARQ vs LNZA Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (LNZA vs. ARQ, FSI, CITR, AMTX)
Industry: Major Chemicals (67 Tracked Issuers)Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, LanzaTech Global Inc. (LNZA) ranks #215 by composite RQD confidence (41/100, grade D-) and #237 by equity capitalization ($73.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FSI leads on earnings valuation at 101.5x trailing P/E, while FSI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.5% ROIC and 32.6% gross margin. FSI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 48/100 (D) compared with LNZA at 41/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LNZA
ACTIVE
LanzaTech Global Inc. | D- | 41/100 | — | — | -35.0% | +7.72% | $73.0M | Benchmark Subject |
| ARQ Arq Inc. | D- | 41/100 | — | — | -24.6% | -4.32% | $77.3M | /arq-vs-lnza → |
| FSI Flexible Solutions International Inc. (CDA) | D | 48/100 | 101.5x | 32.6% | 8.5% | -3.40% | $79.8M | /fsi-vs-lnza → |
| CITR CitroTech Inc. | E | 21/100 | — | 22.3% | -35.0% | -5.97% | $62.9M | /citr-vs-lnza → |
| AMTX Aemetis Inc. | E | 34/100 | — | -0.4% | -35.0% | -0.77% | $93.1M | /amtx-vs-lnza → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001843724In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), LanzaTech Global Inc. (LNZA) reported GAAP revenue of $55.8M (+12.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $49.6M , and -10.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$49.0M, operating cash flow of -$64.9M, and free cash flow of -$66.1M (+29.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, LNZA closed FY2025 with $100.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $55.8M | -$49.0M | -$64.9M | -$66.1M | $100.2M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $49.6M | -$137.7M | -$89.1M | -$94.4M | $174.7M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $62.6M | -$134.1M | -$97.3M | -$97.3M | — | — |
3. LNZA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs LNZA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, LanzaTech Global Inc. (NASDAQ: LNZA) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 41/100 at a spot price of $5.58 (+7.72% 1D, market cap $73.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, LNZA ranks #215 in composite RQD confidence.
How does LNZA compare to ARQ and FSI in the Materials sector?
Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), LNZA carries a Roarable D- (41/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, ARQ (Arq Inc.) holds a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -24.6%, cap $77.3M) and FSI (Flexible Solutions International Inc. (CDA)) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 101.5x, ROIC 8.5%, cap $79.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FSI leads on earnings multiple (101.5x) while FSI leads on capital efficiency (8.5% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LNZA?
Per LNZA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001843724), LanzaTech Global Inc. generated $55.8M in revenue (+12.6% YoY), -$49.0M in net income, and -$66.1M in free cash flow against $100.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is LNZA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
LNZA last traded at $5.58 (+7.72% on volume of 104,908 shares), positioning the stock -2.96% below its 50-day simple moving average ($5.75) and -47.75% below its 200-day simple moving average ($10.68). Across its 52-week range of $4.30 to $44.00, LNZA sits at the 3.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($4.88 to $6.28).
LNZA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is LNZA stock moving today?
Why LNZA Stock surged +7.72% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.