MARKET WIREReuters • 2h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
Why LIEN Stock advanced +0.33% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$9.15 +0.33% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.14
Chicago Atlantic BDC Inc. (LIEN) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 46/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID
Cap $208.8M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.14 (-0.13%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.4% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LIEN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (46/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY LIEN SCORES 46/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (26% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 10% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 37.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+11/20 pts (24% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±4.8% realized swing band)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)
Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 14 pts on the table
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C-$9.27-1.4% Next Q
54
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C-$9.14-0.5% Next Q
51
Q3 (-1Q)Grade D$9.09+0.7% Next Q
49
CurrentGrade D$9.15-6.1% Hist 90D α
46
Trajectory: C- (54) → D (46)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a LIEN Turnaround Squeeze
While LIEN currently carries a cautious 46/100 (D) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($9.73) and Max Pain ($9.61) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $11.83.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LIEN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “LIEN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why LIEN Stock advanced +0.33% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Chicago Atlantic BDC Inc. (LIEN) advanced +0.33% to $9.15, trading at 10% of its 52-week range ($8.92 – $11.27). Stretched risk/reward at 6x P/E (11% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 10% of its 52-week range ($8.92 – $11.27) with RSI-14 at 37.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±4.8% around $9.15 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live LIEN Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 4h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 4h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 6h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 8h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 8h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 9h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring LIEN)
- ✓Walkthrough of LIEN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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LIEN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -0.87%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $9.27H $9.27L $9.09C $9.15VOL 20.0K
RES: $10.70SUP: $8.99SMA50: $9.73SMA200: $9.78
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
LIEN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-9.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LIEN today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LIEN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LIEN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LIEN)
Financials Rank #924 of 1096
⚔️ BGIN vs LIEN Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (LIEN vs. BGIN, LDI, CPSS, HKD)
Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Chicago Atlantic BDC Inc. (LIEN) ranks #924 by composite RQD confidence (46/100, grade D) and #877 by equity capitalization ($208.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LIEN leads on earnings valuation at 6.3x trailing P/E, while LIEN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.0% ROIC and — gross margin. CPSS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with LIEN at 46/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LIEN
ACTIVE
Chicago Atlantic BDC Inc. | D | 46/100 | 6.3x | — | 11.0% | +0.33% | $208.8M | Benchmark Subject |
| BGIN Bgin Blockchain Limited (Class A) | D- | 39/100 | — | — | -35.0% | +1.68% | $205.9M | /bgin-vs-lien → |
| LDI loanDepot Inc. (Class A) | D- | 39/100 | — | — | -27.9% | -3.16% | $202.4M | /ldi-vs-lien → |
| CPSS Consumer Portfolio Services Inc. | C | 63/100 | 11.3x | — | 6.2% | +1.32% | $218.2M | /cpss-vs-lien → |
| HKD AMTD Digital Inc. (every five of which represent two ) (Class A) | C- | 59/100 | — | — | — | 0.00% | $218.3M | /hkd-vs-lien → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001843162In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Chicago Atlantic BDC Inc. (LIEN) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $33.3M, operating cash flow of -$20.5M, and free cash flow of -$20.5M (-306.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, LIEN closed FY2025 with $342.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $0 | $33.3M | -$20.5M | -$20.5M | $342.0M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $0 | $9.6M | -$5.0M | -$5.0M | $309.6M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $0 | $7.3M | $5.7M | $5.7M | — | — |
3. LIEN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs LIEN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Chicago Atlantic BDC Inc. (NASDAQ: LIEN) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $9.15 (+0.33% 1D, market cap $208.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, LIEN ranks #924 in composite RQD confidence.
How does LIEN compare to BGIN and LDI in the Financials sector?
Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), LIEN carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 6.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 11.0%. By comparison, BGIN (Bgin Blockchain Limited (Class A)) holds a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $205.9M) and LDI (loanDepot Inc. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -27.9%, cap $202.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LIEN leads on earnings multiple (6.3x) while LIEN leads on capital efficiency (11.0% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LIEN?
Per LIEN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001843162), Chicago Atlantic BDC Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $33.3M in net income, and -$20.5M in free cash flow against $342.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is LIEN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
LIEN last traded at $9.15 (+0.33% on volume of 24,055 shares), positioning the stock -5.96% below its 50-day simple moving average ($9.73) and -6.44% below its 200-day simple moving average ($9.78). Across its 52-week range of $8.92 to $11.27, LIEN sits at the 9.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 37.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.8% ($8.71 to $9.59).
LIEN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is LIEN stock moving today?
Why LIEN Stock advanced +0.33% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 6x P/E (11% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.