Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / LGN / forecast

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Legence Corp. (Class A) (LGN) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$41.90 +2.67% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $42.02

Legence Corp. (Class A) (LGN) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 66/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 66/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $4.53B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $42.02 (+0.29%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) • 8.6% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 66/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.0% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.6% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LGN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (66/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY LGN SCORES 66/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 8.6% FCF Margin ($218.9M FCF) & 21% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+14/20 pts (21% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 10 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B+$51.53-15.5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B$43.53-17.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B-$36.07+16.2% Next Q

Current

Grade C+$41.90+1.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B+ (74) → C+ (66)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the LGN Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 66/100 (C+) score, LGN faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 18.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($50.47) or 200D SMA ($63.42) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($43.41) toward Bear Floor ($33.86).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LGN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “LGN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 66%NO 34%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your LGN Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $41.90: 238.7 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $33.86

$8,081

$-1,919 (-19.2%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $43.41

$10,360

+$360 (+3.6%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $112.60

$26,874

+$16,874 (+168.7%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$45	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	BUY	$106	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	HOLD	$39	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (LGN Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

LGN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -51.82%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $38.98H $41.90L $37.76C $41.90VOL 784.0K

RES: $50.08SUP: $32.89SMA50: $50.47SMA200: $63.42

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LGN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 LGN Butterfly Map → + Track LGN →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

40.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +21.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LGN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LGN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LGN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LGN)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #259 of 1011 ⚔️ AGX vs LGN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (LGN vs. AGX, BBUC, AMRC, LMB)

Industry: Engineering & Construction (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Legence Corp. (Class A) (LGN) ranks #259 by composite RQD confidence (66/100, grade C+) and #290 by equity capitalization ($4.53B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LMB leads on earnings valuation at 15.7x trailing P/E, while AGX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 24.9% ROIC and 20.5% gross margin. LMB currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 83/100 (A-) compared with LGN at 66/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
LGN ACTIVE Legence Corp. (Class A)	C+	66/100	—	21.0%	21.5%	+2.67%	$4.53B	Benchmark Subject
AGX Argan Inc.	C+	69/100	36.3x	20.5%	24.9%	+1.18%	$5.01B	/agx-vs-lgn →
BBUC Brookfield Business Corporation Class A Subordinate Voting Shares	D+	54/100	—	—	—	+2.36%	$5.96B	/bbuc-vs-lgn →
AMRC Ameresco Inc. (Class A)	C-	59/100	—	—	—	+3.40%	$1.11B	/amrc-vs-lgn →
LMB Limbach Holdings Inc.	A-	83/100	15.7x	26.2%	21.2%	+1.48%	$613.8M	/lmb-vs-lgn →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002052568

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Legence Corp. (Class A) (LGN) reported GAAP revenue of $2.55B (+21.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.10B , and +57.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$59.8M, operating cash flow of $256.9M, and free cash flow of $218.9M (+2033.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, LGN closed FY2025 with $2.68B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.48, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$2.55B	-$59.8M	$256.9M	$218.9M	$2.68B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$2.10B	-$28.6M	$29.3M	$10.3M	$2.35B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.62B	-$46.0M	$33.9M	$33.9M	—	—

3. LGN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LGN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Legence Corp. (Class A) (NASDAQ: LGN) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $41.90 (+2.67% 1D, market cap $4.53B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, LGN ranks #259 in composite RQD confidence.

How does LGN compare to AGX and BBUC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Engineering & Construction), LGN carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 21.0%, and ROIC of 21.5%. By comparison, AGX (Argan Inc.) holds a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 36.3x, ROIC 24.9%, cap $5.01B) and BBUC (Brookfield Business Corporation Class A Subordinate Voting Shares) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $5.96B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LMB leads on earnings multiple (15.7x) while AGX leads on capital efficiency (24.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LGN?

Per LGN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002052568), Legence Corp. (Class A) generated $2.55B in revenue (+21.5% YoY), -$59.8M in net income, and $218.9M in free cash flow against $2.68B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (21% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is LGN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LGN last traded at $41.90 (+2.67% on volume of 993,233 shares), positioning the stock -16.98% below its 50-day simple moving average ($50.47) and -33.93% below its 200-day simple moving average ($63.42). Across its 52-week range of $33.01 to $107.24, LGN sits at the 12.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 35.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($36.66 to $47.14).

LGN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is LGN's 12-month stock price target?

Legence Corp. (Class A) (LGN) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $43.41 (+3.6% from $41.90), with a bull-case target of $112.6 and a bear-case floor of $33.86.

Is LGN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates LGN C+ (Hold — HOLD) with an RQD Confidence score of 66/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: LGN RQD Cockpit LGN 12M Forecast LGN Earnings & Move LGN Dividends & DRIP LGN Insiders & 13F LGN Whale Options LGN Profit Sankey LGN News & Why