Liftoff Mobile Inc. (LFTO) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$15.99 -0.87% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.93

Liftoff Mobile Inc. (LFTO) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 45/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $2.71B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is LFTO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Liftoff Mobile Inc. (NASDAQ: LFTO) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $15.99 (-0.87% 1D, market cap $2.71B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Active quantitative signal LIQUIDITY_TAILWIND (BULLISH, conviction undefined/100) notes: undefined.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does LFTO compare to FIVN and NTCT in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), LFTO carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, FIVN (Five9 Inc.) holds a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 70.9x, ROIC 4.1%, cap $2.80B) and NTCT (NetScout Systems Inc.) posts a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 30.0x, ROIC 7.9%, cap $2.86B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CARG leads on earnings multiple (18.6x) while CARG leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LFTO?
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Per LFTO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001850351), Liftoff Mobile Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $1.90B in total assets and $1.80B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.93 (-0.35%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 1.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (45/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510045
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Cash (10)Whales (5)SEC (13)Macro (8)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.9% Base Target
$32 Bull$15 Base$12 Bear
📬 FREE LFTO RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LFTO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (45/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY LFTO SCORES 45/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 1.9% FCF Margin ($75.8M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
37
Grade E$15.88+2.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
40
Grade D$16.26+3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
42
Grade D$16.75-4.5% Next Q
Current
45
Grade D$15.99-6.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (37) → D (45)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a LFTO Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While LFTO currently carries a cautious 45/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($16.95) and Max Pain ($16.79) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $31.61.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LFTO• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “LFTO Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±11.2%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (LFTO)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for LFTO.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring LFTO)

  • ✓Walkthrough of LFTO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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LFTO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -43.80%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $16.13H $16.13L $15.99C $15.99VOL 536.8K
RES: $16.93SUP: $13.03SMA50: $16.95SMA200: $20.55
$31.22$26.56$21.90$17.24$12.58RES $16.93SUP $13.03$15.992026-06-042026-07-142026-08-192026-09-252026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LFTO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LFTO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LFTO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LFTO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LFTO)

Technology Rank #436 of 714 ⚔️ FIVN vs LFTO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (LFTO vs. FIVN, NTCT, CARG, DXC)

Industry: EDP Services (163 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Liftoff Mobile Inc. (LFTO) ranks #436 by composite RQD confidence (45/100, grade D) and #265 by equity capitalization ($2.71B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CARG leads on earnings valuation at 18.6x trailing P/E, while CARG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 92.8% gross margin. CARG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 78/100 (B+) compared with LFTO at 45/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
LFTO ACTIVE
Liftoff Mobile Inc.
D 45/100 — — — -0.87% $2.71B Benchmark Subject
FIVN
Five9 Inc.
C 64/100 70.9x 55.1% 4.1% -0.58% $2.80B /fivn-vs-lfto →
NTCT
NetScout Systems Inc.
B- 70/100 30.0x 79.4% 7.9% -0.45% $2.86B /ntct-vs-lfto →
CARG
CarGurus Inc. (Class A)
B+ 78/100 18.6x 92.8% 85.0% +3.77% $2.89B /carg-vs-lfto →
DXC
DXC Technology Company
C 63/100 135.2x — 54.2% -5.34% $2.43B /dxc-vs-lfto →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2025–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001850351

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Liftoff Mobile Inc. (LFTO) reported GAAP revenue of $0 , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, LFTO closed FY2025 with $1.90B in total assets against $1.80B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: N/A).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 $0 — — $1.90B $1.80B

3. LFTO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LFTO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Liftoff Mobile Inc. (NASDAQ: LFTO) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $15.99 (-0.87% 1D, market cap $2.71B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Active quantitative signal LIQUIDITY_TAILWIND (BULLISH, conviction undefined/100) notes: undefined.

How does LFTO compare to FIVN and NTCT in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), LFTO carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, FIVN (Five9 Inc.) holds a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 70.9x, ROIC 4.1%, cap $2.80B) and NTCT (NetScout Systems Inc.) posts a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 30.0x, ROIC 7.9%, cap $2.86B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CARG leads on earnings multiple (18.6x) while CARG leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LFTO?

Per LFTO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001850351), Liftoff Mobile Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $1.90B in total assets and $1.80B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is LFTO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LFTO last traded at $15.99 (-0.87% on volume of 536,813 shares), positioning the stock -5.66% below its 50-day simple moving average ($16.95) and -22.19% below its 200-day simple moving average ($20.55). Across its 52-week range of $14.03 to $30.10, LFTO sits at the 12.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.2% ($14.20 to $17.78).

LFTO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is LFTO's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for LFTO.

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