Liftoff Mobile Inc. (LFTO) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±11.5% Move

$15.99 -0.87% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.93

Liftoff Mobile Inc. (LFTO) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $2.71B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.93 (-0.35%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 1.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510057
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk B-
Cash (10)Whales (10)SEC (13)Macro (15)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.4% Base Target
$32 Bull$16 Base$12 Bear
📬 FREE LFTO RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LFTO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (57/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY LFTO SCORES 57/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 12% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 36 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
49
Grade D$15.41+7.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
52
Grade C-$16.51+1.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
54
Grade C-$16.69-4.2% Next Q
Current
57
Grade D+$15.99-0.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (49) → D+ (57)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the LFTO Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 57/100 (D+) score, LFTO faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($17.01) or 200D SMA ($20.60) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($15.92) toward Bear Floor ($12.42).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LFTO• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “LFTO Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±11.5% Swing Band

±$1.84 Expected Swing
$14.15 (-11.5%)Spot $15.99$17.83 (+11.5%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

LFTO Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 57/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (57/100)Model Risk Weight (43/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$0$0$052%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring LFTO)

  • ✓Walkthrough of LFTO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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LFTO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -43.80%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $15.88H $15.99L $14.03C $15.99VOL 871.0K
RES: $17.09SUP: $13.13SMA50: $17.01SMA200: $20.60
$31.22$26.56$21.90$17.24$12.58RES $17.09SUP $13.13$15.992026-06-042026-07-132026-08-182026-09-242026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LFTO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LFTO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LFTO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LFTO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LFTO)

Technology Rank #295 of 714 ⚔️ FIVN vs LFTO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (LFTO vs. FIVN, NTCT, CARG, DXC)

Industry: EDP Services (163 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Liftoff Mobile Inc. (LFTO) ranks #295 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #265 by equity capitalization ($2.71B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CARG leads on earnings valuation at 18.6x trailing P/E, while CARG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 92.8% gross margin. CARG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 90/100 (A) compared with LFTO at 57/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
LFTO ACTIVE
Liftoff Mobile Inc.
D+ 57/100 — — — -0.87% $2.71B Benchmark Subject
FIVN
Five9 Inc.
C- 59/100 70.9x 55.1% 4.1% -0.58% $2.80B /fivn-vs-lfto →
NTCT
NetScout Systems Inc.
C 64/100 30.0x 79.4% 7.9% -0.45% $2.86B /ntct-vs-lfto →
CARG
CarGurus Inc. (Class A)
A 90/100 18.6x 92.8% 85.0% +3.77% $2.89B /carg-vs-lfto →
DXC
DXC Technology Company
D 50/100 135.2x — 54.2% -5.34% $2.43B /dxc-vs-lfto →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2025–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001850351

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Liftoff Mobile Inc. (LFTO) reported GAAP revenue of $0 , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, LFTO closed FY2025 with $1.90B in total assets against $1.80B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: N/A).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 $0 — — $1.90B $1.80B

3. LFTO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LFTO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Liftoff Mobile Inc. (NASDAQ: LFTO) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $15.99 (-0.87% 1D, market cap $2.71B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, LFTO ranks #295 in composite RQD confidence.

How does LFTO compare to FIVN and NTCT in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), LFTO carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, FIVN (Five9 Inc.) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 70.9x, ROIC 4.1%, cap $2.80B) and NTCT (NetScout Systems Inc.) posts a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 30.0x, ROIC 7.9%, cap $2.86B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CARG leads on earnings multiple (18.6x) while CARG leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LFTO?

Per LFTO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001850351), Liftoff Mobile Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $1.90B in total assets and $1.80B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is LFTO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LFTO last traded at $15.99 (-0.87% on volume of 536,813 shares), positioning the stock -6.00% below its 50-day simple moving average ($17.01) and -22.38% below its 200-day simple moving average ($20.60). Across its 52-week range of $14.03 to $30.10, LFTO sits at the 12.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 36.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.5% ($14.15 to $17.83).

LFTO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is LFTO's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Liftoff Mobile Inc. (LFTO)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is LFTO stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±11.5% event move for LFTO, spanning a range between $14.15 and $17.83.

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