LEIFRAS Co. Ltd. (LFS) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$2.10 0.00% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.11

LEIFRAS Co. Ltd. (LFS) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 71/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (30% profit margin, 27% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B- • BUY Cap $54.9M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.11 (+0.24%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) • 3.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 71/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 14% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.4% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-
025507510071
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk B
Cash (17)Whales (8)SEC (18)Macro (12)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.7% Base Target
$13 Bull$2 Base$2 Bear
📬 FREE LFS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LFS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (71/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY LFS SCORES 71/100 (B-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 5.32 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 3.6% FCF Margin ($2.7M FCF) & 29.5% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
79
Grade A-$2.21+0.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
76
Grade B+$2.23-1.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
74
Grade B+$2.19-4.1% Next Q
Current
71
Grade B-$2.10+6.8% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: A- (79) → B- (71)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the LFS Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 71/100 (B-) score, LFS faces multiple-compression risk if 19.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 27.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($2.19) or 200D SMA ($2.31) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($2.22) toward Bear Floor ($1.72).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LFS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “LFS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±12.3%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (LFS)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for LFS.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating LFS & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on LFS
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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LFS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +5.53%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $2.10H $2.17L $2.08C $2.10VOL 36.4K
RES: $3.70SUP: $1.96SMA50: $2.19SMA200: $2.31
$4.79$3.92$3.05$2.18$1.31RES $3.70SUP $1.96$2.102026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LFS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
13.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LFS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LFS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LFS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LFS)

Real Estate Rank #11 of 51 ⚔️ IH vs LFS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Real Estate Peer Comparison (LFS vs. IH, COE, AACG, NRDY)

Industry: Other Consumer Services (73 Tracked Issuers)

Across 51 tracked Real Estate securities in the Roarable RQD universe, LEIFRAS Co. Ltd. (LFS) ranks #11 by composite RQD confidence (71/100, grade B-) and #32 by equity capitalization ($54.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, IH leads on earnings valuation at 4.4x trailing P/E, while IH leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 67.9% gross margin. LFS currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 71/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
LFS ACTIVE
LEIFRAS Co. Ltd.
B- 71/100 19.6x 29.5% 26.5% 0.00% $54.9M Benchmark Subject
IH
iHuman Inc. each representing five (Class A)
C 64/100 4.4x 67.9% 85.0% +1.72% $60.3M /ih-vs-lfs →
COE
51Talk Online Education Group each representing 60 (Class A)
D 48/100 — 73.9% -35.0% -4.93% $66.1M /coe-vs-lfs →
AACG
ATA Creativity Global
D- 35/100 — 48.6% -35.0% -1.51% $44.5M /aacg-vs-lfs →
NRDY
Nerdy Inc. (Class A)
D- 40/100 — 58.0% -35.0% +2.95% $75.9M /nrdy-vs-lfs →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2025–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002030277

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), LEIFRAS Co. Ltd. (LFS) reported GAAP revenue of $74.8M , GAAP net income of $2.8M, operating cash flow of $3.0M, and free cash flow of $2.7M . On the balance sheet, LFS closed FY2025 with $29.8M in total assets against $155.8K in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 5.32, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $74.8M $2.8M $3.0M $2.7M $29.8M $155.8K

3. LFS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LFS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, LEIFRAS Co. Ltd. (NASDAQ: LFS) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 71/100 at a spot price of $2.10 (0.00% 1D, market cap $54.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 51 tracked Real Estate issuers, LFS ranks #11 in composite RQD confidence.

How does LFS compare to IH and COE in the Real Estate sector?

Within the Real Estate sector (Other Consumer Services), LFS carries a Roarable B- (71/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 19.6x, gross margin of 29.5%, and ROIC of 26.5%. By comparison, IH (iHuman Inc. each representing five (Class A)) holds a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 4.4x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $60.3M) and COE (51Talk Online Education Group each representing 60 (Class A)) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $66.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, IH leads on earnings multiple (4.4x) while IH leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LFS?

Per LFS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002030277), LEIFRAS Co. Ltd. generated $74.8M in revenue, $2.8M in net income, and $2.7M in free cash flow against $29.8M in total assets and $155.8K in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (30% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is LFS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LFS last traded at $2.10 (0.00% on volume of 22,437 shares), positioning the stock -4.11% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.19) and -9.09% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.31). Across its 52-week range of $1.58 to $12.49, LFS sits at the 4.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 42.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.3% ($1.84 to $2.36).

LFS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is LFS's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for LFS.

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