Stock Ratings / Health Care / LENZ / options

VYGR (15) BDTX (59) ENGN (34) OTLK (38) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

LENZ Therapeutics Inc. (LENZ) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$3.05 -12.61% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.97

LENZ Therapeutics Inc. (LENZ) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 44/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (44/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $109.7M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on LENZ Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is LENZ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, LENZ Therapeutics Inc. (NASDAQ: LENZ) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $3.05 (-12.61% 1D, market cap $109.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, LENZ ranks #443 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does LENZ compare to VYGR and BDTX in the Health Care sector?

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Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances)), LENZ carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 96.0%, and ROIC of -27.8%. By comparison, VYGR (Voyager Therapeutics Inc.) holds a E grade (15/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $108.4M) and BDTX (Black Diamond Therapeutics Inc.) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 10.8%, cap $106.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LENZ leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while BDTX leads on capital efficiency (10.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LENZ?

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Per LENZ's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001815776), LENZ Therapeutics Inc. generated $19.1M in revenue, -$82.1M in net income, and -$70.0M in free cash flow against $305.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.97 (-2.46%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (44/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LENZ)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (44/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY LENZ SCORES 44/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+14/20 pts (32% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (30% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 35.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$3.64-10.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$3.27-3.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$3.16-3.5% Next Q

Current

Grade D$3.05-6.5% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (52) → D (44)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a LENZ Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While LENZ currently carries a cautious 44/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($4.07) and Max Pain ($3.20) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $33.74.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LENZ• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “LENZ Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 44%NO 56%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±12.5%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (LENZ)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for LENZ.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring LENZ)

✓Walkthrough of LENZ's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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LENZ // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -66.04%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $3.38H $3.42L $3.04C $3.05VOL 2.26M

RES: $3.77SUP: $0.97SMA50: $4.07SMA200: $8.02

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LENZ Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 LENZ Butterfly Map → + Track LENZ →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LENZ today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LENZ. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LENZ today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LENZ)

Health Care Rank #443 of 1016 ⚔️ VYGR vs LENZ Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (LENZ vs. VYGR, BDTX, ENGN, OTLK)

Industry: Biotechnology: Biological Products (No Diagnostic Substances) (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, LENZ Therapeutics Inc. (LENZ) ranks #443 by composite RQD confidence (44/100, grade D) and #647 by equity capitalization ($109.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LENZ leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while BDTX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 10.8% ROIC and — gross margin. BDTX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with LENZ at 44/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
LENZ ACTIVE LENZ Therapeutics Inc.	D	44/100	—	96.0%	-27.8%	-12.61%	$109.7M	Benchmark Subject
VYGR Voyager Therapeutics Inc.	E	15/100	—	—	-35.0%	-2.27%	$108.4M	/vygr-vs-lenz →
BDTX Black Diamond Therapeutics Inc.	C-	59/100	—	—	10.8%	-4.30%	$106.9M	/bdtx-vs-lenz →
ENGN enGene Therapeutics Inc.	E	34/100	—	—	-35.0%	0.00%	$102.5M	/engn-vs-lenz →
OTLK Outlook Therapeutics Inc.	D-	38/100	—	4.0%	-35.0%	-5.15%	$120.1M	/otlk-vs-lenz →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001815776

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), LENZ Therapeutics Inc. (LENZ) reported GAAP revenue of $19.1M (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$82.1M, operating cash flow of -$69.2M, and free cash flow of -$70.0M (-16.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, LENZ closed FY2025 with $305.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.19, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$19.1M	-$82.1M	-$69.2M	-$70.0M	$305.9M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$0	-$49.8M	-$59.4M	-$59.9M	$215.3M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$0	-$70.0M	-$60.4M	-$60.4M	—	—

3. LENZ Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LENZ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does LENZ compare to VYGR and BDTX in the Health Care sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LENZ?

Where is LENZ trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LENZ last traded at $3.05 (-12.61% on volume of 2,264,278 shares), positioning the stock -25.06% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.07) and -61.97% below its 200-day simple moving average ($8.02). Across its 52-week range of $3.00 to $32.13, LENZ sits at the 0.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 35.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($2.67 to $3.43).

LENZ Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is LENZ's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for LENZ.

Direct Sub-Reports: LENZ RQD Cockpit LENZ 12M Forecast LENZ Earnings & Move LENZ Dividends & DRIP LENZ Insiders & 13F LENZ Whale Options LENZ Profit Sankey LENZ News & Why