Stock Ratings / Technology / LEDS / options

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SemiLEDS Corporation (LEDS) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$2.09 -0.48% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.08

SemiLEDS Corporation (LEDS) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 49/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (49/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $17.3M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.08 (-0.28%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 3.8% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (49/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.8% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LEDS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.8%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (49/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY LEDS SCORES 49/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 41% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 46.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+11/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$2.23-12.6% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$1.95+1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$1.97+6.1% Next Q

Current

Grade D$2.09-5.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (57) → D (49)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a LEDS Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While LEDS currently carries a cautious 49/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.11) and Max Pain ($2.19) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $3.80.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LEDS• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “LEDS Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 49%NO 51%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±10.8%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (LEDS)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for LEDS.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring LEDS)

✓Walkthrough of LEDS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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LEDS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +29.81%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-10-30O $2.00H $2.10L $1.99C $2.09VOL 17.6K

RES: $2.43SUP: $1.89SMA50: $2.11SMA200: $1.86

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LEDS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 LEDS Butterfly Map → + Track LEDS →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +180.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LEDS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LEDS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LEDS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LEDS)

Technology Rank #429 of 714 ⚔️ ASTI vs LEDS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (LEDS vs. ASTI, MOBX, FTCI, SNSC)

Industry: Semiconductors (95 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, SemiLEDS Corporation (LEDS) ranks #429 by composite RQD confidence (49/100, grade D) and #616 by equity capitalization ($17.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LEDS leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while LEDS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and 5.6% gross margin. SNSC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 55/100 (D+) compared with LEDS at 49/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
LEDS ACTIVE SemiLEDS Corporation	D	49/100	—	5.6%	-35.0%	-0.48%	$17.3M	Benchmark Subject
ASTI Ascent Solar Technologies Inc.	D-	37/100	—	—	-35.0%	-2.30%	$16.7M	/asti-vs-leds →
MOBX Mobix Labs Inc. (Class A)	D+	52/100	—	50.5%	-35.0%	+4.11%	$13.5M	/mobx-vs-leds →
FTCI FTC Solar Inc.	D-	37/100	—	-0.9%	-35.0%	+2.26%	$24.9M	/ftci-vs-leds →
SNSC SunScout Holding Limited (Class A)	D+	55/100	—	—	—	-10.11%	$29.4M	/snsc-vs-leds →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-08-31 • CIK 0001333822

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-08-31), SemiLEDS Corporation (LEDS) reported GAAP revenue of $43.0M (+729.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $5.2M , and +619.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$1.1M, operating cash flow of $2.2M, and free cash flow of $1.6M (+437.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, LEDS closed FY2025 with $14.2M in total assets against $308.0K in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-08-31	$43.0M	-$1.1M	$2.2M	$1.6M	$14.2M	$308.0K
FY2024 (FY)	2024-08-31	$5.2M	-$2.0M	-$361.0K	-$484.0K	$10.4M	$744.0K
FY2023 (FY)	2023-08-31	$6.0M	-$2.7M	-$984.0K	-$984.0K	—	—

3. LEDS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LEDS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, SemiLEDS Corporation (NASDAQ: LEDS) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 49/100 at a spot price of $2.09 (-0.48% 1D, market cap $17.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, LEDS ranks #429 in composite RQD confidence.

How does LEDS compare to ASTI and MOBX in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), LEDS carries a Roarable D (49/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 5.6%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, ASTI (Ascent Solar Technologies Inc.) holds a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $16.7M) and MOBX (Mobix Labs Inc. (Class A)) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $13.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LEDS leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while LEDS leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LEDS?

Per LEDS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-08-31, CIK 0001333822), SemiLEDS Corporation generated $43.0M in revenue (+729.8% YoY), -$1.1M in net income, and $1.6M in free cash flow against $14.2M in total assets and $308.0K in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is LEDS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LEDS last traded at $2.09 (-0.48% on volume of 10,718 shares), positioning the stock -0.95% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.11) and +12.37% above its 200-day simple moving average ($1.86). Across its 52-week range of $1.01 to $3.62, LEDS sits at the 41.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.8% ($1.86 to $2.32).

LEDS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is LEDS's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for LEDS.

Direct Sub-Reports: LEDS RQD Cockpit LEDS 12M Forecast LEDS Earnings & Move LEDS Dividends & DRIP LEDS Insiders & 13F LEDS Whale Options LEDS Profit Sankey LEDS News & Why