SemiLEDS Corporation (LEDS) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$2.09 -0.48% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

SemiLEDS Corporation (LEDS) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 49/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $17.3M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510049
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Cash (9)Whales (8)SEC (11)Macro (12)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.8% Base Target
$4 Bull$2 Base$2 Bear
📬 FREE LEDS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LEDS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.8%
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
46.330 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)
6 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE41% OF RANGE
L: $1$2.09H: $4
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: DRQD 9 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 17 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 23 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on LEDS

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (45)

-35.0% ROIC with 5.6% gross margin and 9.43% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
NEUTRAL (55)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 6/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (48)

17/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 12/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like LEDS
  • ✓Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring LEDS)

  • ✓Walkthrough of LEDS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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LEDS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +29.81%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $2.00H $2.10L $1.99C $2.09VOL 17.6K
RES: $2.43SUP: $1.89SMA50: $2.11SMA200: $1.86
$3.78$3.13$2.48$1.84$1.19RES $2.43SUP $1.89$2.092026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LEDS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +180.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LEDS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LEDS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LEDS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LEDS)

Technology Rank #429 of 714 ⚔️ ASTI vs LEDS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (LEDS vs. ASTI, MOBX, FTCI, SNSC)

Industry: Semiconductors (95 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, SemiLEDS Corporation (LEDS) ranks #429 by composite RQD confidence (49/100, grade D) and #616 by equity capitalization ($17.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LEDS leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while LEDS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and 5.6% gross margin. SNSC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 55/100 (D+) compared with LEDS at 49/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
LEDS ACTIVE
SemiLEDS Corporation
D 49/100 — 5.6% -35.0% -0.48% $17.3M Benchmark Subject
ASTI
Ascent Solar Technologies Inc.
D- 37/100 — — -35.0% -2.30% $16.7M /asti-vs-leds →
MOBX
Mobix Labs Inc. (Class A)
D+ 52/100 — 50.5% -35.0% +4.11% $13.5M /mobx-vs-leds →
FTCI
FTC Solar Inc.
D- 37/100 — -0.9% -35.0% +2.26% $24.9M /ftci-vs-leds →
SNSC
SunScout Holding Limited (Class A)
D+ 55/100 — — — -10.11% $29.4M /snsc-vs-leds →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-08-31 • CIK 0001333822

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-08-31), SemiLEDS Corporation (LEDS) reported GAAP revenue of $43.0M (+729.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $5.2M , and +619.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$1.1M, operating cash flow of $2.2M, and free cash flow of $1.6M (+437.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, LEDS closed FY2025 with $14.2M in total assets against $308.0K in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-08-31 $43.0M -$1.1M $2.2M $1.6M $14.2M $308.0K
FY2024 (FY) 2024-08-31 $5.2M -$2.0M -$361.0K -$484.0K $10.4M $744.0K
FY2023 (FY) 2023-08-31 $6.0M -$2.7M -$984.0K -$984.0K — —

3. LEDS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LEDS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, SemiLEDS Corporation (NASDAQ: LEDS) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 49/100 at a spot price of $2.09 (-0.48% 1D, market cap $17.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, LEDS ranks #429 in composite RQD confidence.

How does LEDS compare to ASTI and MOBX in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), LEDS carries a Roarable D (49/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 5.6%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, ASTI (Ascent Solar Technologies Inc.) holds a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $16.7M) and MOBX (Mobix Labs Inc. (Class A)) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $13.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LEDS leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while LEDS leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LEDS?

Per LEDS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-08-31, CIK 0001333822), SemiLEDS Corporation generated $43.0M in revenue (+729.8% YoY), -$1.1M in net income, and $1.6M in free cash flow against $14.2M in total assets and $308.0K in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is LEDS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LEDS last traded at $2.09 (-0.48% on volume of 10,718 shares), positioning the stock -0.95% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.11) and +12.37% above its 200-day simple moving average ($1.86). Across its 52-week range of $1.01 to $3.62, LEDS sits at the 41.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.8% ($1.86 to $2.32).

LEDS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell LEDS stock right now?

SemiLEDS Corporation (LEDS) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D (Sell — SELL) with 49/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is LEDS's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

LEDS's 12-month base price target is $2.01 (range $1.57 to $3.8), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

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