SEALSQ Corp (LAES) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$1.57 -3.09% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.56

SEALSQ Corp (LAES) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 33/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $349.8M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.56 (-0.75%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (33/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510033
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
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SEC
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Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D
Cash (6)Whales (5)SEC (11)Macro (8)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-11.5% Base Target
$8 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE LAES RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LAES)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (33/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY LAES SCORES 33/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+11/20 pts (33% of score)

Altman Z-Score 5.49 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+8/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 3% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 24.8 (OVERSOLD (<32))

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
41
Grade D$2.11-15.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
38
Grade E$1.79-13.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
36
Grade E$1.55+1.3% Next Q
Current
33
Grade E$1.57-8.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (41) → E (33)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a LAES Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While LAES currently carries a cautious 33/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.17) and Max Pain ($1.65) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $7.62.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LAES• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “LAES Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

LAES Smart-Money Thermometer: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →
▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (LAES)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on LAES. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring LAES)

  • ✓Walkthrough of LAES's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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LAES // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -45.86%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $1.49H $1.57L $1.42C $1.57VOL 4.43M
RES: $2.22SUP: $0.67SMA50: $2.17SMA200: $2.94
$4.17$3.42$2.68$1.93$1.19RES $2.22SUP $0.67$1.572026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LAES Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +66.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LAES today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LAES. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LAES today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LAES)

Technology Rank #639 of 714 ⚔️ MRAM vs LAES Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (LAES vs. MRAM, NVEC, INDI, JKS)

Industry: Semiconductors (95 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, SEALSQ Corp (LAES) ranks #639 by composite RQD confidence (33/100, grade E) and #436 by equity capitalization ($349.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NVEC leads on earnings valuation at 26.1x trailing P/E, while NVEC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 22.9% ROIC and 78.7% gross margin. NVEC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 65/100 (C) compared with LAES at 33/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
LAES ACTIVE
SEALSQ Corp
E 33/100 — 47.3% -35.0% -3.09% $349.8M Benchmark Subject
MRAM
Everspin Technologies Inc.
D 49/100 — 51.2% -21.0% -1.50% $351.4M /mram-vs-laes →
NVEC
NVE Corporation
C 65/100 26.1x 78.7% 22.9% -0.47% $397.1M /nvec-vs-laes →
INDI
indie Semiconductor Inc. (Class A)
E 28/100 — 39.9% -22.1% +1.71% $412.6M /indi-vs-laes →
JKS
Jinko Holdings Limited (each representing 4 )
E 29/100 — 2.2% -35.0% -0.24% $431.0M /jks-vs-laes →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001951222

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), SEALSQ Corp (LAES) reported GAAP revenue of $18.3M (+66.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $11.0M , and -39.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$34.2M, operating cash flow of -$31.3M, and free cash flow of -$32.0M (-199.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, LAES closed FY2025 with $504.2M in total assets against $989.0K in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 5.49, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $18.3M -$34.2M -$31.3M -$32.0M $504.2M $989.0K
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $11.0M -$21.2M -$10.1M -$10.7M $97.6M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $30.1M -$3.3M -$2.7M -$2.7M — —

3. LAES Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LAES stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, SEALSQ Corp (NASDAQ: LAES) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 33/100 at a spot price of $1.57 (-3.09% 1D, market cap $349.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, LAES ranks #639 in composite RQD confidence.

How does LAES compare to MRAM and NVEC in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), LAES carries a Roarable E (33/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 47.3%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, MRAM (Everspin Technologies Inc.) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -21.0%, cap $351.4M) and NVEC (NVE Corporation) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 26.1x, ROIC 22.9%, cap $397.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NVEC leads on earnings multiple (26.1x) while NVEC leads on capital efficiency (22.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LAES?

Per LAES's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001951222), SEALSQ Corp generated $18.3M in revenue (+66.2% YoY), -$34.2M in net income, and -$32.0M in free cash flow against $504.2M in total assets and $989.0K in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is LAES trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LAES last traded at $1.57 (-3.09% on volume of 4,008,784 shares), positioning the stock -27.65% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.17) and -46.60% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.94). Across its 52-week range of $1.42 to $7.26, LAES sits at the 2.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 24.8 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.37 to $1.77).

LAES Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are LAES insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies LAES leadership and institutional positioning as: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING.

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