Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / KXIN / dividends

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Kaixin Holdings (KXIN) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$2.09 +7.73% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.12

Kaixin Holdings (KXIN) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 43/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (43/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID Cap $94.6M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.12 (+1.20%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (43/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.7% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for KXIN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (43/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY KXIN SCORES 43/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (30% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (23% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 58.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$1.35+22.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$1.65+7.3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$1.77+18.1% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$2.09-6.7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (35) → D- (43)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a KXIN Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While KXIN currently carries a cautious 43/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.80) and Max Pain ($2.19) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $874.13.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $KXIN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “KXIN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 43%NO 57%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD

0.6% Total Yield

0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 0.6% Buybacks

PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER

74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS

FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO

0% (100% Reinvested)

Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases

INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (5.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $17,081

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $102/yr

Starting Investment: $10,000

Compounding Horizon: 10 Years

$10.6K

Yr 1

$11.1K

Yr 2

$11.7K

Yr 3

$12.4K

Yr 4

$13.1K

Yr 5

$13.8K

Yr 6

$14.5K

Yr 7

$15.3K

Yr 8

$16.2K

Yr 9

$17.1K

Yr 10

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring KXIN)

✓Walkthrough of KXIN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

KXIN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -62.54%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-10-30O $2.04H $2.15L $1.90C $2.09VOL 2.40M

RES: $5.20SUP: $1.58SMA50: $1.80SMA200: $13.74

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

KXIN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 KXIN Butterfly Map → + Track KXIN →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on KXIN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for KXIN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for KXIN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (KXIN)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #782 of 1011 ⚔️ JZXN vs KXIN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (KXIN vs. JZXN, VRM, CWH, CRMT)

Industry: Retail-Auto Dealers and Gas Stations (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Kaixin Holdings (KXIN) ranks #782 by composite RQD confidence (43/100, grade D-) and #761 by equity capitalization ($94.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, KXIN leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while CWH leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 10.0% ROIC and 29.5% gross margin. CRMT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 62/100 (C) compared with KXIN at 43/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
KXIN ACTIVE Kaixin Holdings	D-	43/100	—	96.0%	-35.0%	+7.73%	$94.6M	Benchmark Subject
JZXN Jiuzi Holdings Inc.	D	49/100	—	0.7%	—	+10.58%	$59.2M	/jzxn-vs-kxin →
VRM Vroom Inc.	D	46/100	—	—	-35.0%	-6.18%	$41.3M	/vrm-vs-kxin →
CWH Camping World Holdings Inc. (Class A)	D-	38/100	—	29.5%	10.0%	+9.39%	$517.5M	/cwh-vs-kxin →
CRMT America's Car-Mart Inc	C	62/100	—	35.4%	—	+22.25%	$8.8M	/crmt-vs-kxin →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001713539

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Kaixin Holdings (KXIN) reported GAAP revenue of $129.0K (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 , and -99.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$53.9M, operating cash flow of -$2.6M, and free cash flow of -$2.6M (+15.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, KXIN closed FY2025 with $33.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$129.0K	-$53.9M	-$2.6M	-$2.6M	$33.0M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$0	-$41.0M	-$3.0M	-$3.0M	$24.6M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$31.5M	-$53.6M	-$2.1M	-$2.1M	—	—

3. KXIN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is KXIN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Kaixin Holdings (NASDAQ: KXIN) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 43/100 at a spot price of $2.09 (+7.73% 1D, market cap $94.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, KXIN ranks #782 in composite RQD confidence.

How does KXIN compare to JZXN and VRM in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Retail-Auto Dealers and Gas Stations), KXIN carries a Roarable D- (43/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 96.0%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, JZXN (Jiuzi Holdings Inc.) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $59.2M) and VRM (Vroom Inc.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $41.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, KXIN leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CWH leads on capital efficiency (10.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KXIN?

Per KXIN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001713539), Kaixin Holdings generated $129.0K in revenue, -$53.9M in net income, and -$2.6M in free cash flow against $33.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is KXIN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

KXIN last traded at $2.09 (+7.73% on volume of 2,033,185 shares), positioning the stock +16.11% above its 50-day simple moving average ($1.80) and -84.79% below its 200-day simple moving average ($13.74). Across its 52-week range of $0.54 to $832.50, KXIN sits at the 0.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 58.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.83 to $2.35).

KXIN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does KXIN pay a dividend and is it safe?

Kaixin Holdings (KXIN) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 0.6% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

Direct Sub-Reports: KXIN RQD Cockpit KXIN 12M Forecast KXIN Earnings & Move KXIN Dividends & DRIP KXIN Insiders & 13F KXIN Whale Options KXIN Profit Sankey KXIN News & Why