Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / KXIN

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Kaixin Holdings (KXIN) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$2.09 +7.73% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.12

Kaixin Holdings (KXIN) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 43/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (43/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID Cap $94.6M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.12 (+1.20%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (43/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.7% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for KXIN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (43/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY KXIN SCORES 43/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (30% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (23% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 58.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$1.35+22.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$1.65+7.3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$1.77+18.1% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$2.09-6.7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (35) → D- (43)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a KXIN Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While KXIN currently carries a cautious 43/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.80) and Max Pain ($2.19) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $874.13.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $KXIN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “KXIN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 43%NO 57%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM

58.330 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)

2 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE2% OF RANGE

L: $1$2.09H: $833

1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: DRQD 9 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 16 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: DRQD 18 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on KXIN

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BEARISH (45)

-35.0% ROIC with 96.0% gross margin and -2.73% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BEARISH (40)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 2/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (43)

16/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 10/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like KXIN

✓Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
!Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring KXIN)

✓Walkthrough of KXIN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

KXIN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -62.54%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-10-30O $2.04H $2.15L $1.90C $2.09VOL 2.40M

RES: $5.20SUP: $1.58SMA50: $1.80SMA200: $13.74

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

KXIN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 KXIN Butterfly Map → + Track KXIN →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on KXIN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for KXIN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for KXIN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (KXIN)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #782 of 1011 ⚔️ JZXN vs KXIN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (KXIN vs. JZXN, VRM, CWH, CRMT)

Industry: Retail-Auto Dealers and Gas Stations (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Kaixin Holdings (KXIN) ranks #782 by composite RQD confidence (43/100, grade D-) and #761 by equity capitalization ($94.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, KXIN leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while CWH leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 10.0% ROIC and 29.5% gross margin. CRMT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 62/100 (C) compared with KXIN at 43/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
KXIN ACTIVE Kaixin Holdings	D-	43/100	—	96.0%	-35.0%	+7.73%	$94.6M	Benchmark Subject
JZXN Jiuzi Holdings Inc.	D	49/100	—	0.7%	—	+10.58%	$59.2M	/jzxn-vs-kxin →
VRM Vroom Inc.	D	46/100	—	—	-35.0%	-6.18%	$41.3M	/vrm-vs-kxin →
CWH Camping World Holdings Inc. (Class A)	D-	38/100	—	29.5%	10.0%	+9.39%	$517.5M	/cwh-vs-kxin →
CRMT America's Car-Mart Inc	C	62/100	—	35.4%	—	+22.25%	$8.8M	/crmt-vs-kxin →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001713539

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Kaixin Holdings (KXIN) reported GAAP revenue of $129.0K (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 , and -99.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$53.9M, operating cash flow of -$2.6M, and free cash flow of -$2.6M (+15.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, KXIN closed FY2025 with $33.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$129.0K	-$53.9M	-$2.6M	-$2.6M	$33.0M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$0	-$41.0M	-$3.0M	-$3.0M	$24.6M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$31.5M	-$53.6M	-$2.1M	-$2.1M	—	—

3. KXIN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is KXIN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Kaixin Holdings (NASDAQ: KXIN) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 43/100 at a spot price of $2.09 (+7.73% 1D, market cap $94.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, KXIN ranks #782 in composite RQD confidence.

How does KXIN compare to JZXN and VRM in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Retail-Auto Dealers and Gas Stations), KXIN carries a Roarable D- (43/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 96.0%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, JZXN (Jiuzi Holdings Inc.) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $59.2M) and VRM (Vroom Inc.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $41.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, KXIN leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CWH leads on capital efficiency (10.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KXIN?

Per KXIN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001713539), Kaixin Holdings generated $129.0K in revenue, -$53.9M in net income, and -$2.6M in free cash flow against $33.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is KXIN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

KXIN last traded at $2.09 (+7.73% on volume of 2,033,185 shares), positioning the stock +16.11% above its 50-day simple moving average ($1.80) and -84.79% below its 200-day simple moving average ($13.74). Across its 52-week range of $0.54 to $832.50, KXIN sits at the 0.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 58.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.83 to $2.35).

KXIN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell KXIN stock right now?

Kaixin Holdings (KXIN) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell — SELL) with 43/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is KXIN's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

KXIN's 12-month base price target is $1.95 (range $1.52 to $874.13), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: KXIN RQD Cockpit KXIN 12M Forecast KXIN Earnings & Move KXIN Dividends & DRIP KXIN Insiders & 13F KXIN Whale Options KXIN Profit Sankey KXIN News & Why