Why KPTI Stock surged +5.73% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$0.88 +5.73% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.89

Karyopharm Therapeutics Inc. (KPTI) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 31/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $20.0M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is KPTI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Karyopharm Therapeutics Inc. (NASDAQ: KPTI) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 31/100 at a spot price of $0.88 (+5.73% 1D, market cap $20.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, KPTI ranks #823 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does KPTI compare to QNRX and MCRB in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), KPTI carries a Roarable E (31/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, QNRX (Quoin Pharmaceuticals Ltd.) holds a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $19.9M) and MCRB (Seres Therapeutics Inc.) posts a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $19.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, KPTI leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while KPTI leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KPTI?
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Per KPTI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001503802), Karyopharm Therapeutics Inc. generated $146.1M in revenue (+0.6% YoY), -$196.0M in net income, and -$75.4M in free cash flow against $108.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.89 (+0.84%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (31/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510031
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (9)Whales (5)SEC (8)Macro (6)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-12.5% Base Target
$12 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE KPTI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for KPTI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (31/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY KPTI SCORES 31/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+9/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
23
Grade E$0.50-30% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
26
Grade E$0.35+37.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
28
Grade E$0.48+83.3% Next Q
Current
31
Grade E$0.88-9.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (23) → E (31)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a KPTI Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While KPTI currently carries a cautious 31/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.20) and Max Pain ($0.92) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $11.54.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $KPTI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “KPTI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why KPTI Stock surged +5.73% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Karyopharm Therapeutics Inc. (KPTI) surged +5.73% to $0.88, trading at 5% of its 52-week range ($0.31 – $10.99). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 5% of its 52-week range ($0.31 – $10.99) with RSI-14 at 51.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $0.88 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live KPTI Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREChartMill • 4d ago
Top US Stock Movers in Today's Session

Today's US session featured double-digit moves, with KPTI up 59.38% and JDZG down 77.87% among the largest percentage swings.

MARKET WIREBenzinga • 9d ago
12 Health Care Stocks Moving In Friday's After-Market Session

Gainers Pomdoctor (NASDAQ:POM) shares rose 25.6% to $1.47 during Friday's after-market session. The market value of their outstanding shares is at $8.3 million. GeneDx Holdings (NASDAQ:WGS) shares rose 8.72% to

MARKET WIREBenzinga • 10d ago
12 Health Care Stocks Moving In Thursday's Intraday Session

Gainers Profusa (NASDAQ:PFSA) shares moved upwards by 35.4% to $1.15 during Thursday's regular session. Karyopharm Therapeutics (NASDAQ:KPTI) shares increased by 29.12% to $0.55. The company's market cap

MARKET WIREBenzinga • 13d ago
12 Health Care Stocks Moving In Monday's After-Market Session

Gainers Vivos Therapeutics (NASDAQ:VVOS) stock increased by 17.9% to $0.16 during Monday's after-market session. The market value of their outstanding shares is at $2.8 million. SCWorx (NASDAQ:WORX) shares moved

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring KPTI)

  • ✓Walkthrough of KPTI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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KPTI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -90.54%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $0.83H $0.88L $0.83C $0.88VOL 6.85M
RES: $0.94SUP: $-0.11SMA50: $1.20SMA200: $6.01
$11.60$8.54$5.48$2.42$-0.64RES $0.94SUP $-0.11$0.882026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

KPTI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +0.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on KPTI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for KPTI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for KPTI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (KPTI)

Health Care Rank #823 of 1016 ⚔️ QNRX vs KPTI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (KPTI vs. QNRX, MCRB, ACTU, QNTM)

Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Karyopharm Therapeutics Inc. (KPTI) ranks #823 by composite RQD confidence (31/100, grade E) and #833 by equity capitalization ($20.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, KPTI leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while KPTI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and — gross margin. QNTM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 46/100 (D) compared with KPTI at 31/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
KPTI ACTIVE
Karyopharm Therapeutics Inc.
E 31/100 — — -35.0% +5.73% $20.0M Benchmark Subject
QNRX
Quoin Pharmaceuticals Ltd.
D- 35/100 — — -35.0% +0.97% $19.9M /qnrx-vs-kpti →
MCRB
Seres Therapeutics Inc.
D- 40/100 — — -35.0% +8.94% $19.6M /mcrb-vs-kpti →
ACTU
Actuate Therapeutics Inc.
D- 35/100 — — -35.0% -3.21% $20.4M /actu-vs-kpti →
QNTM
Quantum Biopharma Ltd. Class B Subordinate Voting Shares
D 46/100 — — — +2.95% $20.7M /qntm-vs-kpti →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001503802

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Karyopharm Therapeutics Inc. (KPTI) reported GAAP revenue of $146.1M (+0.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $145.2M , and +0.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$196.0M, operating cash flow of -$75.4M, and free cash flow of -$75.4M (+40.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, KPTI closed FY2025 with $108.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $146.1M -$196.0M -$75.4M -$75.4M $108.4M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $145.2M -$76.4M -$127.5M -$127.6M $164.4M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $146.0M -$143.1M -$92.7M -$92.7M — —

3. KPTI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is KPTI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Karyopharm Therapeutics Inc. (NASDAQ: KPTI) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 31/100 at a spot price of $0.88 (+5.73% 1D, market cap $20.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, KPTI ranks #823 in composite RQD confidence.

How does KPTI compare to QNRX and MCRB in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), KPTI carries a Roarable E (31/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, QNRX (Quoin Pharmaceuticals Ltd.) holds a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $19.9M) and MCRB (Seres Therapeutics Inc.) posts a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $19.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, KPTI leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while KPTI leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KPTI?

Per KPTI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001503802), Karyopharm Therapeutics Inc. generated $146.1M in revenue (+0.6% YoY), -$196.0M in net income, and -$75.4M in free cash flow against $108.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is KPTI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

KPTI last traded at $0.88 (+5.73% on volume of 6,845,561 shares), positioning the stock -26.67% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.20) and -85.36% below its 200-day simple moving average ($6.01). Across its 52-week range of $0.31 to $10.99, KPTI sits at the 5.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 51.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.99).

KPTI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is KPTI stock moving today?

Why KPTI Stock surged +5.73% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

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