Actuate Therapeutics Inc. (ACTU) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$0.37 -3.21% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Actuate Therapeutics Inc. (ACTU) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 43/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID Cap $20.4M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-
025507510043
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D
Cash (6)Whales (12)SEC (10)Macro (10)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.4% Base Target
$8 Bull$0 Base$0 Bear
📬 FREE ACTU RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ACTU)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
32.130 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
3 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE2% OF RANGE
L: $0$0.37H: $8
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: ERQD 6 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 17 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: DRQD 20 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on ACTU

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (30)

-35.0% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (50)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 3/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (45)

17/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 10/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like ACTU
  • ✓Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ACTU)

  • ✓Walkthrough of ACTU's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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ACTU // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -87.41%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $0.38H $0.38L $0.33C $0.37VOL 489.5K
RES: $1.07SUP: $0.28SMA50: $0.90SMA200: $2.16
$6.10$4.53$2.97$1.41$-0.16RES $1.07SUP $0.28$0.372026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ACTU Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ACTU today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ACTU. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ACTU today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ACTU)

Health Care Rank #559 of 1016 ⚔️ QNTM vs ACTU Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (ACTU vs. QNTM, KPTI, QNRX, TXMD)

Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Actuate Therapeutics Inc. (ACTU) ranks #559 by composite RQD confidence (43/100, grade D-) and #832 by equity capitalization ($20.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ACTU leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while TXMD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -12.9% ROIC and — gross margin. QNTM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 58/100 (D+) compared with ACTU at 43/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ACTU ACTIVE
Actuate Therapeutics Inc.
D- 43/100 — — -35.0% -3.21% $20.4M Benchmark Subject
QNTM
Quantum Biopharma Ltd. Class B Subordinate Voting Shares
D+ 58/100 — — — +2.95% $20.7M /qntm-vs-actu →
KPTI
Karyopharm Therapeutics Inc.
D 47/100 — — -35.0% +5.73% $20.0M /kpti-vs-actu →
QNRX
Quoin Pharmaceuticals Ltd.
D 48/100 — — -35.0% +0.97% $19.9M /qnrx-vs-actu →
TXMD
TherapeuticsMD Inc.
D 48/100 — — -12.9% +2.24% $21.2M /txmd-vs-actu →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001652935

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Actuate Therapeutics Inc. (ACTU) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$22.2M, operating cash flow of -$19.2M, and free cash flow of -$19.2M (+12.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, ACTU closed FY2025 with $14.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 -$22.2M -$19.2M -$19.2M $14.0M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 -$27.3M -$21.8M -$21.8M $9.3M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 -$24.7M -$21.6M -$21.6M — —

3. ACTU Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ACTU stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Actuate Therapeutics Inc. (NASDAQ: ACTU) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 43/100 at a spot price of $0.37 (-3.21% 1D, market cap $20.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, ACTU ranks #559 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ACTU compare to QNTM and KPTI in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), ACTU carries a Roarable D- (43/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, QNTM (Quantum Biopharma Ltd. Class B Subordinate Voting Shares) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $20.7M) and KPTI (Karyopharm Therapeutics Inc.) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $20.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ACTU leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while TXMD leads on capital efficiency (-12.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ACTU?

Per ACTU's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001652935), Actuate Therapeutics Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$22.2M in net income, and -$19.2M in free cash flow against $14.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ACTU trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ACTU last traded at $0.37 (-3.21% on volume of 814,095 shares), positioning the stock -58.89% below its 50-day simple moving average ($0.90) and -82.87% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.16). Across its 52-week range of $0.33 to $7.90, ACTU sits at the 0.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 32.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.42).

ACTU Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell ACTU stock right now?

Actuate Therapeutics Inc. (ACTU) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell — SELL) with 43/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is ACTU's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

ACTU's 12-month base price target is $0.35 (range $0.27 to $8.29), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

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