MARKET WIRECNBC • 1h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
Why KOS Stock dropped -2.90% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$2.68 -2.90% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
Kosmos Energy Ltd. (KOS) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 44/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID
Cap $1.60B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D-
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.3% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for KOS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11%
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why KOS Stock dropped -2.90% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Kosmos Energy Ltd. (KOS) dropped -2.90% to $2.68, trading at 74% of its 52-week range ($0.84 – $3.34). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 74% of its 52-week range ($0.84 – $3.34) with RSI-14 at 56.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±11% around $2.68 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $134.0M annual free cash flow.
Live KOS Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 2h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 3h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 4h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 6h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
German ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt - ReutersGerman ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt Reuters
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring KOS)
- ✓Walkthrough of KOS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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KOS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -12.99%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $2.69H $2.90L $2.68C $2.68VOL 26.18M
RES: $3.18SUP: $2.55SMA50: $2.76SMA200: $2.52
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
KOS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -23.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on KOS today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for KOS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for KOS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (KOS)
Energy Rank #172 of 211
⚔️ GFR vs KOS Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (KOS vs. GFR, PBT, NBR, PDS)
Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Kosmos Energy Ltd. (KOS) ranks #172 by composite RQD confidence (44/100, grade D) and #126 by equity capitalization ($1.60B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NBR leads on earnings valuation at 5.2x trailing P/E, while NBR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 21.1% ROIC and — gross margin. PDS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 58/100 (D+) compared with KOS at 44/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KOS
ACTIVE
Kosmos Energy Ltd. | D | 44/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -2.90% | $1.60B | Benchmark Subject |
| GFR Greenfire Resources Ltd. | D+ | 57/100 | — | — | — | -2.02% | $1.63B | /gfr-vs-kos → |
| PBT Permian Basin Royalty Trust | D+ | 56/100 | — | — | — | -2.81% | $1.51B | /pbt-vs-kos → |
| NBR Nabors Industries Ltd. | D | 44/100 | 5.2x | — | 21.1% | -1.43% | $1.48B | /nbr-vs-kos → |
| PDS Precision Drilling Corporation | D+ | 58/100 | — | — | — | +2.10% | $1.35B | /pds-vs-kos → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001509991In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Kosmos Energy Ltd. (KOS) reported GAAP revenue of $1.29B (-23.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.68B , and -25.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$699.8M, operating cash flow of $134.0M, and free cash flow of $134.0M (-80.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, KOS closed FY2025 with $4.70B in total assets against $2.92B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $1.29B | -$699.8M | $134.0M | $134.0M | $4.70B | $2.92B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $1.68B | $189.9M | $678.2M | $678.2M | $5.31B | $2.74B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $1.72B | $213.5M | $765.2M | $765.2M | — | — |
3. KOS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs KOS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Kosmos Energy Ltd. (NYSE: KOS) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $2.68 (-2.90% 1D, market cap $1.60B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, KOS ranks #172 in composite RQD confidence.
How does KOS compare to GFR and PBT in the Energy sector?
Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), KOS carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, GFR (Greenfire Resources Ltd.) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.63B) and PBT (Permian Basin Royalty Trust) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.51B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NBR leads on earnings multiple (5.2x) while NBR leads on capital efficiency (21.1% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KOS?
Per KOS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001509991), Kosmos Energy Ltd. generated $1.29B in revenue (-23.1% YoY), -$699.8M in net income, and $134.0M in free cash flow against $4.70B in total assets and $2.92B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is KOS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
KOS last traded at $2.68 (-2.90% on volume of 12,980,723 shares), positioning the stock -2.90% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.76) and +6.35% above its 200-day simple moving average ($2.52). Across its 52-week range of $0.84 to $3.34, KOS sits at the 73.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 56.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.0% ($2.39 to $2.97).
KOS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is KOS stock moving today?
Why KOS Stock dropped -2.90% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.