GFR (57) PBT (56) NBR (44) PDS (58) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Kosmos Energy Ltd. (KOS) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±11% Move

$2.68 -2.90% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.66

Kosmos Energy Ltd. (KOS) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 44/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (44/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.60B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.66 (-0.71%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 10.4% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (44/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for KOS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (44/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY KOS SCORES 44/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 10.4% FCF Margin ($134.0M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+11/20 pts (25% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 74% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 56.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 15 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$2.64+5.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$2.78+3.2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$2.87-6.6% Next Q

Current

Grade D$2.68-6.5% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (36) → D (44)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a KOS Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While KOS currently carries a cautious 44/100 (D) rating due to SEC 10-K Forensic Risk (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.76) and Max Pain ($2.81) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $3.51.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $KOS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “KOS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 44%NO 56%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±11% Swing Band

±$0.29 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

KOS Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 44/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: -23.1%

Model Bullish Setup (44/100)Model Risk Weight (56/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$1.29B	-$699.8M	$134.0M	52%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$1.68B	$189.9M	$678.2M	52%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$1.72B	$213.5M	$765.2M	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring KOS)

✓Walkthrough of KOS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

KOS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -12.99%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-10-30O $2.69H $2.90L $2.68C $2.68VOL 26.18M

RES: $3.18SUP: $2.55SMA50: $2.76SMA200: $2.52

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

KOS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 KOS Butterfly Map → + Track KOS →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -23.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on KOS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for KOS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for KOS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (KOS)

Energy Rank #172 of 211 ⚔️ GFR vs KOS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (KOS vs. GFR, PBT, NBR, PDS)

Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Kosmos Energy Ltd. (KOS) ranks #172 by composite RQD confidence (44/100, grade D) and #126 by equity capitalization ($1.60B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NBR leads on earnings valuation at 5.2x trailing P/E, while NBR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 21.1% ROIC and — gross margin. PDS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 58/100 (D+) compared with KOS at 44/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
KOS ACTIVE Kosmos Energy Ltd.	D	44/100	—	—	-35.0%	-2.90%	$1.60B	Benchmark Subject
GFR Greenfire Resources Ltd.	D+	57/100	—	—	—	-2.02%	$1.63B	/gfr-vs-kos →
PBT Permian Basin Royalty Trust	D+	56/100	—	—	—	-2.81%	$1.51B	/pbt-vs-kos →
NBR Nabors Industries Ltd.	D	44/100	5.2x	—	21.1%	-1.43%	$1.48B	/nbr-vs-kos →
PDS Precision Drilling Corporation	D+	58/100	—	—	—	+2.10%	$1.35B	/pds-vs-kos →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001509991

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Kosmos Energy Ltd. (KOS) reported GAAP revenue of $1.29B (-23.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.68B , and -25.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$699.8M, operating cash flow of $134.0M, and free cash flow of $134.0M (-80.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, KOS closed FY2025 with $4.70B in total assets against $2.92B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.29B	-$699.8M	$134.0M	$134.0M	$4.70B	$2.92B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.68B	$189.9M	$678.2M	$678.2M	$5.31B	$2.74B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.72B	$213.5M	$765.2M	$765.2M	—	—

3. KOS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is KOS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Kosmos Energy Ltd. (NYSE: KOS) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $2.68 (-2.90% 1D, market cap $1.60B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, KOS ranks #172 in composite RQD confidence.

How does KOS compare to GFR and PBT in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), KOS carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, GFR (Greenfire Resources Ltd.) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.63B) and PBT (Permian Basin Royalty Trust) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.51B). Among the 5-stock peer group, NBR leads on earnings multiple (5.2x) while NBR leads on capital efficiency (21.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KOS?

Per KOS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001509991), Kosmos Energy Ltd. generated $1.29B in revenue (-23.1% YoY), -$699.8M in net income, and $134.0M in free cash flow against $4.70B in total assets and $2.92B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is KOS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

KOS last traded at $2.68 (-2.90% on volume of 12,980,723 shares), positioning the stock -2.90% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.76) and +6.35% above its 200-day simple moving average ($2.52). Across its 52-week range of $0.84 to $3.34, KOS sits at the 73.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 56.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.0% ($2.39 to $2.97).

KOS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is KOS's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Kosmos Energy Ltd. (KOS)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is KOS stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±11% event move for KOS, spanning a range between $2.39 and $2.97.

Direct Sub-Reports: KOS RQD Cockpit KOS 12M Forecast KOS Earnings & Move KOS Dividends & DRIP KOS Insiders & 13F KOS Whale Options KOS Profit Sankey KOS News & Why