MARKET WIREReuters • 2h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
Why KDK Stock dropped -2.29% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$1.28 -2.29% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.27
Kodiak AI Inc. (KDK) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 49/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID
Cap $256.8M
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER
Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on KDK Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is KDK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼
As of 2026-11-01, Kodiak AI Inc. (NASDAQ: KDK) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 49/100 at a spot price of $1.28 (-2.29% 1D, market cap $256.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, KDK ranks #423 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does KDK compare to SMRT and TRVG in the Technology sector?
▼
Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), KDK carries a Roarable D (49/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, SMRT (SmartRent Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $262.5M) and TRVG (trivago N.V.) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $269.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, KDK leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while SMRT leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KDK?
▼
Per KDK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001853138), Kodiak AI Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $159.4M in total assets and $29.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.27 (-0.60%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 0.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (49/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.9% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for KDK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (49/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY KDK SCORES 49/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (27% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (20% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0.2% FCF Margin ($7.2M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C$1.67-19.2% Next Q
57
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C-$1.35-24.4% Next Q
54
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C-$1.02+25.5% Next Q
52
CurrentGrade D$1.28-5.4% Hist 90D α
49
Trajectory: C (57) → D (49)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a KDK Turnaround Squeeze
While KDK currently carries a cautious 49/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.55) and Max Pain ($1.34) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $11.92.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $KDK• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “KDK Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why KDK Stock dropped -2.29% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Kodiak AI Inc. (KDK) dropped -2.29% to $1.28, trading at 3% of its 52-week range ($0.96 – $11.35). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 3% of its 52-week range ($0.96 – $11.35) with RSI-14 at 29.9 (OVERSOLD (<32)).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $1.28 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $7.2M annual free cash flow.
Live KDK Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREReuters • 2h ago
Oil slips more than 1% as talks continue on ending Iran war - ReutersOil slips more than 1% as talks continue on ending Iran war Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 4h ago
Nine people dead in Learjet crash in south Florida, officials say - ReutersNine people dead in Learjet crash in south Florida, officials say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
MARKET WIRECNBC • 7h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 8h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 9h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 11h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring KDK)
- ✓Walkthrough of KDK's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
KDK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -84.91%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $1.22H $1.28L $1.19C $1.28VOL 5.46M
RES: $3.30SUP: $0.73SMA50: $2.55SMA200: $5.98
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
KDK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on KDK today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for KDK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for KDK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (KDK)
Technology Rank #423 of 714
⚔️ SMRT vs KDK Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (KDK vs. SMRT, TRVG, GLOO, DMRC)
Industry: EDP Services (163 Tracked Issuers)Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Kodiak AI Inc. (KDK) ranks #423 by composite RQD confidence (49/100, grade D) and #459 by equity capitalization ($256.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, KDK leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while SMRT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and 32.7% gross margin. DMRC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 58/100 (D+) compared with KDK at 49/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KDK
ACTIVE
Kodiak AI Inc. | D | 49/100 | — | — | — | -2.29% | $256.8M | Benchmark Subject |
| SMRT SmartRent Inc. (Class A) | E | 27/100 | — | 32.7% | -35.0% | +1.48% | $262.5M | /smrt-vs-kdk → |
| TRVG trivago N.V. | D+ | 52/100 | — | — | — | -0.78% | $269.8M | /trvg-vs-kdk → |
| GLOO Gloo Holdings Inc. (Class A) | D- | 35/100 | — | — | -35.0% | 0.00% | $272.8M | /gloo-vs-kdk → |
| DMRC Digimarc Corporation | D+ | 58/100 | — | — | — | +1.62% | $237.2M | /dmrc-vs-kdk → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2025–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001853138In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Kodiak AI Inc. (KDK) reported GAAP revenue of $0 , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, KDK closed FY2025 with $159.4M in total assets against $29.9M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: N/A).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $0 | $0 | — | — | $159.4M | $29.9M |
3. KDK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs KDK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Kodiak AI Inc. (NASDAQ: KDK) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 49/100 at a spot price of $1.28 (-2.29% 1D, market cap $256.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, KDK ranks #423 in composite RQD confidence.
How does KDK compare to SMRT and TRVG in the Technology sector?
Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), KDK carries a Roarable D (49/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, SMRT (SmartRent Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $262.5M) and TRVG (trivago N.V.) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $269.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, KDK leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while SMRT leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KDK?
Per KDK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001853138), Kodiak AI Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $159.4M in total assets and $29.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is KDK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
KDK last traded at $1.28 (-2.29% on volume of 23,555,929 shares), positioning the stock -49.80% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.55) and -78.60% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.98). Across its 52-week range of $0.96 to $11.35, KDK sits at the 3.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 29.9 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.12 to $1.44).
KDK Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is KDK stock moving today?
Why KDK Stock dropped -2.29% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.