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Kodiak AI Inc. (KDK) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

Q: Should I buy, hold, or sell KDK stock right now?

Kodiak AI Inc. (KDK) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D (Sell — SELL) with 49/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

Q: What is KDK's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

KDK's 12-month base price target is $1.23 (range $0.96 to $11.92), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

$1.28 -2.29% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Kodiak AI Inc. (KDK) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 49/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $256.8M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for KDK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

RSI-14 MOMENTUMOVERSOLD (<32)

29.930 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)

7 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE3% OF RANGE

L: $1$1.28H: $11

1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: DRQD 10 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 16 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 23 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on KDK

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BEARISH (50)

14.0% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (43)

16/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 10/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like KDK

✓Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
!Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring KDK)

✓Walkthrough of KDK's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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KDK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -84.91%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-10-30O $1.22H $1.28L $1.19C $1.28VOL 5.46M

RES: $3.30SUP: $0.73SMA50: $2.55SMA200: $5.98

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

KDK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 KDK Butterfly Map → + Track KDK →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on KDK today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for KDK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for KDK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (KDK)

Technology Rank #423 of 714 ⚔️ SMRT vs KDK Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (KDK vs. SMRT, TRVG, GLOO, DMRC)

Industry: EDP Services (163 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Kodiak AI Inc. (KDK) ranks #423 by composite RQD confidence (49/100, grade D) and #459 by equity capitalization ($256.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, KDK leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while SMRT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and 32.7% gross margin. DMRC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 58/100 (D+) compared with KDK at 49/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
KDK ACTIVE Kodiak AI Inc.	D	49/100	—	—	—	-2.29%	$256.8M	Benchmark Subject
SMRT SmartRent Inc. (Class A)	E	27/100	—	32.7%	-35.0%	+1.48%	$262.5M	/smrt-vs-kdk →
TRVG trivago N.V.	D+	52/100	—	—	—	-0.78%	$269.8M	/trvg-vs-kdk →
GLOO Gloo Holdings Inc. (Class A)	D-	35/100	—	—	-35.0%	0.00%	$272.8M	/gloo-vs-kdk →
DMRC Digimarc Corporation	D+	58/100	—	—	—	+1.62%	$237.2M	/dmrc-vs-kdk →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2025–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001853138

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Kodiak AI Inc. (KDK) reported GAAP revenue of $0 , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, KDK closed FY2025 with $159.4M in total assets against $29.9M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: N/A).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	$0	—	—	$159.4M	$29.9M

3. KDK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is KDK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Kodiak AI Inc. (NASDAQ: KDK) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 49/100 at a spot price of $1.28 (-2.29% 1D, market cap $256.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, KDK ranks #423 in composite RQD confidence.

How does KDK compare to SMRT and TRVG in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), KDK carries a Roarable D (49/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, SMRT (SmartRent Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $262.5M) and TRVG (trivago N.V.) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $269.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, KDK leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while SMRT leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KDK?

Per KDK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001853138), Kodiak AI Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $159.4M in total assets and $29.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is KDK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

KDK last traded at $1.28 (-2.29% on volume of 23,555,929 shares), positioning the stock -49.80% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.55) and -78.60% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.98). Across its 52-week range of $0.96 to $11.35, KDK sits at the 3.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 29.9 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.12 to $1.44).

KDK Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell KDK stock right now?

Kodiak AI Inc. (KDK) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D (Sell — SELL) with 49/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is KDK's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

KDK's 12-month base price target is $1.23 (range $0.96 to $11.92), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: KDK RQD Cockpit KDK 12M Forecast KDK Earnings & Move KDK Dividends & DRIP KDK Insiders & 13F KDK Whale Options KDK Profit Sankey KDK News & Why