Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / KBH / options

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KB Home (KBH) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$47.66 +3.23% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $47.85

KB Home (KBH) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 60/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 60/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $2.90B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $47.85 (+0.39%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 4.6% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 60/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.5% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for KBH)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.9%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (60/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY KBH SCORES 60/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+14/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 70% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 4.6% FCF Margin ($287.3M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 10 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$43.13+0.4% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$43.30+8.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$47.05+1.3% Next Q

Current

Grade C-$47.66+0.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (52) → C- (60)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the KBH Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 60/100 (C-) score, KBH faces multiple-compression risk if 6.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($48.02) or 200D SMA ($53.63) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($48.09) toward Bear Floor ($37.51).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $KBH• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “KBH Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Nov 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 60%NO 40%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±6.9%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (KBH)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for KBH.

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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating KBH & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on KBH
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✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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KBH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -10.06%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $48.01H $49.07L $47.56C $47.66VOL 885.5K

SUP: $38.30SMA50: $48.02SMA200: $53.63

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

KBH Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 KBH Butterfly Map → + Track KBH →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-8.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -10.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on KBH today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for KBH. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for KBH today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (KBH)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #400 of 1011 ⚔️ GRBK vs KBH Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (KBH vs. GRBK, MHO, GEO, MTH)

Industry: Homebuilding (31 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, KB Home (KBH) ranks #400 by composite RQD confidence (60/100, grade C-) and #368 by equity capitalization ($2.90B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, KBH leads on earnings valuation at 6.8x trailing P/E, while GRBK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.5% ROIC and 31.4% gross margin. GRBK currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 65/100 (C) compared with KBH at 60/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
KBH ACTIVE KB Home	C-	60/100	6.8x	—	11.0%	+3.23%	$2.90B	Benchmark Subject
GRBK Green Brick Partners Inc.	C	65/100	7.7x	31.4%	18.5%	-0.62%	$2.65B	/grbk-vs-kbh →
MHO M/I Homes Inc.	C	65/100	8.0x	23.0%	12.6%	+3.84%	$3.21B	/mho-vs-kbh →
GEO Geo Group Inc	D	49/100	14.8x	—	6.6%	+3.52%	$3.76B	/geo-vs-kbh →
MTH Meritage Homes Corporation	C-	59/100	9.3x	—	8.0%	+3.98%	$4.20B	/mth-vs-kbh →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-11-30 • CIK 0000795266

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-11-30), KB Home (KBH) reported GAAP revenue of $6.24B (-10.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $6.93B , and -2.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $428.8M, operating cash flow of $335.7M, and free cash flow of $287.3M (-11.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, KBH closed FY2025 with $6.68B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-11-30	$6.24B	$428.8M	$335.7M	$287.3M	$6.68B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-11-30	$6.93B	$655.0M	$362.7M	$323.4M	$6.94B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-11-30	$6.41B	$590.2M	$1.08B	$1.08B	—	—

3. KBH Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is KBH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, KB Home (NYSE: KBH) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $47.66 (+3.23% 1D, market cap $2.90B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, KBH ranks #400 in composite RQD confidence.

How does KBH compare to GRBK and MHO in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Homebuilding), KBH carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 6.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 11.0%. By comparison, GRBK (Green Brick Partners Inc.) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 7.7x, ROIC 18.5%, cap $2.65B) and MHO (M/I Homes Inc.) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 8.0x, ROIC 12.6%, cap $3.21B). Among the 5-stock peer group, KBH leads on earnings multiple (6.8x) while GRBK leads on capital efficiency (18.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KBH?

Per KBH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-11-30, CIK 0000795266), KB Home generated $6.24B in revenue (-10.0% YoY), $428.8M in net income, and $287.3M in free cash flow against $6.68B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is KBH trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

KBH last traded at $47.66 (+3.23% on volume of 1,158,536 shares), positioning the stock -0.75% below its 50-day simple moving average ($48.02) and -11.13% below its 200-day simple moving average ($53.63). Across its 52-week range of $40.92 to $67.57, KBH sits at the 25.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 58.0 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.9% ($44.37 to $50.95).