Stock Ratings / Industrials / KBDC / earnings

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Kayne Anderson BDC Inc. (KBDC) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±4.1% Move

$13.04 +1.72% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $13.06

Kayne Anderson BDC Inc. (KBDC) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 46/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $861.1M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $13.06 (+0.12%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for KBDC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.1%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (46/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY KBDC SCORES 46/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+12/20 pts (26% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±4.1% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 24% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 53.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$12.45-0.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$12.43+2.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$12.76+2.2% Next Q

Current

Grade D$13.04-6.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (38) → D (46)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a KBDC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While KBDC currently carries a cautious 46/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($12.95) and Max Pain ($13.69) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $16.66.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.92% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $KBDC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “KBDC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 46%NO 54%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±4.1% Swing Band

±$0.53 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

KBDC Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 46/100

Trailing EPS: $1.42 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (46/100)Model Risk Weight (54/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$0	$93.7M	-$98.7M	52%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$0	$131.9M	-$544.5M	52%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$0	$77.1M	-$110.1M	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring KBDC)

✓Walkthrough of KBDC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

KBDC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -12.48%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $13.10H $13.10L $12.83C $13.04VOL 506.4K

RES: $13.19SUP: $11.91SMA50: $12.95SMA200: $13.80

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

KBDC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 KBDC Butterfly Map → + Track KBDC →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-2.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on KBDC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for KBDC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for KBDC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (KBDC)

Industrials Rank #336 of 485 ⚔️ HSLV vs KBDC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (KBDC vs. HSLV, PSUS, CNL, DEC)

Industry: Diversified Equities (43 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Kayne Anderson BDC Inc. (KBDC) ranks #336 by composite RQD confidence (46/100, grade D) and #263 by equity capitalization ($861.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, KBDC leads on earnings valuation at 9.2x trailing P/E, while DEC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.5% ROIC and — gross margin. PSUS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with KBDC at 46/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
KBDC ACTIVE Kayne Anderson BDC Inc.	D	46/100	9.2x	—	-8.4%	+1.72%	$861.1M	Benchmark Subject
HSLV Highlander Silver Corp.	D+	56/100	—	—	—	-2.75%	$934.2M	/hslv-vs-kbdc →
PSUS Pershing Square USA Ltd.	C-	61/100	—	—	—	+0.79%	$1.00B	/psus-vs-kbdc →
CNL Collective Mining Ltd.	D	50/100	—	—	—	-2.85%	$1.04B	/cnl-vs-kbdc →
DEC Diversified Energy Company	D	51/100	—	—	11.5%	-0.41%	$1.12B	/dec-vs-kbdc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001747172

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Kayne Anderson BDC Inc. (KBDC) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $93.7M, operating cash flow of -$98.7M, and free cash flow of -$98.7M (+81.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, KBDC closed FY2025 with $2.29B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	$93.7M	-$98.7M	-$98.7M	$2.29B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$0	$131.9M	-$544.5M	-$544.5M	$2.08B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$0	$77.1M	-$110.1M	-$110.1M	—	—

3. KBDC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is KBDC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Kayne Anderson BDC Inc. (NYSE: KBDC) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $13.04 (+1.72% 1D, market cap $861.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, KBDC ranks #336 in composite RQD confidence.

How does KBDC compare to HSLV and PSUS in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Diversified Equities), KBDC carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 9.2x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -8.4%. By comparison, HSLV (Highlander Silver Corp.) holds a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $934.2M) and PSUS (Pershing Square USA Ltd.) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.00B). Among the 5-stock peer group, KBDC leads on earnings multiple (9.2x) while DEC leads on capital efficiency (11.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KBDC?

Per KBDC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001747172), Kayne Anderson BDC Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $93.7M in net income, and -$98.7M in free cash flow against $2.29B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is KBDC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

KBDC last traded at $13.04 (+1.72% on volume of 197,821 shares), positioning the stock +0.69% above its 50-day simple moving average ($12.95) and -5.51% below its 200-day simple moving average ($13.80). Across its 52-week range of $12.14 to $15.87, KBDC sits at the 24.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 53.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.1% ($12.51 to $13.57).

KBDC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is KBDC's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Kayne Anderson BDC Inc. (KBDC)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is KBDC stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±4.1% event move for KBDC, spanning a range between $12.51 and $13.57.

Direct Sub-Reports: KBDC RQD Cockpit KBDC 12M Forecast KBDC Earnings & Move KBDC Dividends & DRIP KBDC Insiders & 13F KBDC Whale Options KBDC Profit Sankey KBDC News & Why