Stock Ratings / Financials / JMSB / insiders

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John Marshall Bancorp Inc. (JMSB) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$23.16 +1.18% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $23.17

John Marshall Bancorp Inc. (JMSB) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 67/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 67/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $326.8M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on JMSB Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is JMSB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-01, John Marshall Bancorp Inc. (NASDAQ: JMSB) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 67/100 at a spot price of $23.16 (+1.18% 1D, market cap $326.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, JMSB ranks #259 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does JMSB compare to COSO and NEWT in the Financials sector?

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Within the Financials sector (Major Banks), JMSB carries a Roarable C+ (67/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 15.4x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 8.0%. By comparison, COSO (CoastalSouth Bancshares Inc.) holds a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 13.2x, ROIC 9.6%, cap $328.3M) and NEWT (NewtekOne Inc.) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E 5.3x, ROIC 15.2%, cap $318.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NEWT leads on earnings multiple (5.3x) while NEWT leads on capital efficiency (15.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for JMSB?

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Per JMSB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001710482), John Marshall Bancorp Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $21.2M in net income, and $22.0M in free cash flow against $2.33B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $23.16 (+0.02%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 0.6% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 67/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk B-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.1% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for JMSB)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.2%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (67/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY JMSB SCORES 67/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (22% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 81% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 47.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$22.80+0.4% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$22.90+3.2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$23.64-2% Next Q

Current

Grade C+$23.16+1.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (59) → C+ (67)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the JMSB Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 67/100 (C+) score, JMSB faces multiple-compression risk if 15.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($23.02) or 200D SMA ($21.63) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($24.10) toward Bear Floor ($18.80).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $JMSB• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “JMSB Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 67%NO 33%Trade / Inspect Odds →

SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

JMSB Smart-Money Thermometer: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →

▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (JMSB)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on JMSB. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (JMSB Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

JMSB // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +10.29%▲ ASCENDING TRIANGLE

2026-10-30O $23.16H $23.18L $22.77C $23.16VOL 131.1K

RES: $23.97SUP: $22.67SMA50: $23.02SMA200: $21.63

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

JMSB Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 JMSB Butterfly Map → + Track JMSB →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

7.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on JMSB today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for JMSB. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for JMSB today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (JMSB)

Financials Rank #259 of 1096 ⚔️ COSO vs JMSB Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (JMSB vs. COSO, NEWT, BCML, CBNA)

Industry: Major Banks (248 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, John Marshall Bancorp Inc. (JMSB) ranks #259 by composite RQD confidence (67/100, grade C+) and #794 by equity capitalization ($326.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NEWT leads on earnings valuation at 5.3x trailing P/E, while NEWT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.2% ROIC and — gross margin. COSO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 71/100 (B-) compared with JMSB at 67/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
JMSB ACTIVE John Marshall Bancorp Inc.	C+	67/100	15.4x	—	8.0%	+1.18%	$326.8M	Benchmark Subject
COSO CoastalSouth Bancshares Inc.	B-	71/100	13.2x	—	9.6%	+0.50%	$328.3M	/coso-vs-jmsb →
NEWT NewtekOne Inc.	D	47/100	5.3x	—	15.2%	-3.93%	$318.0M	/newt-vs-jmsb →
BCML BayCom Corp	C+	68/100	14.1x	—	7.1%	+0.95%	$336.6M	/bcml-vs-jmsb →
CBNA Chain Bridge Bancorp Inc. (Class A)	D+	53/100	16.7x	—	12.0%	+1.14%	$337.3M	/cbna-vs-jmsb →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001710482

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), John Marshall Bancorp Inc. (JMSB) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $21.2M, operating cash flow of $22.6M, and free cash flow of $22.0M (+31.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, JMSB closed FY2025 with $2.33B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	$21.2M	$22.6M	$22.0M	$2.33B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$0	$17.1M	$17.3M	$16.8M	$2.23B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$0	$5.2M	$18.0M	$18.0M	—	—

3. JMSB Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is JMSB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does JMSB compare to COSO and NEWT in the Financials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for JMSB?

Where is JMSB trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

JMSB last traded at $23.16 (+1.18% on volume of 132,104 shares), positioning the stock +0.61% above its 50-day simple moving average ($23.02) and +7.07% above its 200-day simple moving average ($21.63). Across its 52-week range of $18.60 to $24.26, JMSB sits at the 80.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.2% ($22.19 to $24.13).

JMSB Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are JMSB insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies JMSB leadership and institutional positioning as: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION.

Direct Sub-Reports: JMSB RQD Cockpit JMSB 12M Forecast JMSB Earnings & Move JMSB Dividends & DRIP JMSB Insiders & 13F JMSB Whale Options JMSB Profit Sankey JMSB News & Why