Stock Ratings / Consumer Staples / JBSS / forecast

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John B. Sanfilippo & Son Inc. (JBSS) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

Q: What is JBSS's 12-month stock price target?

John B. Sanfilippo & Son Inc. (JBSS) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $58.5 (+3.6% from $56.47), with a bull-case target of $96.68 and a bear-case floor of $45.63.

Q: Is JBSS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates JBSS C+ (Hold — HOLD) with an RQD Confidence score of 66/100.

$56.47 -14.88% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $54.85

John B. Sanfilippo & Son Inc. (JBSS) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 66/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 66/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $660.3M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on JBSS Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is JBSS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, John B. Sanfilippo & Son Inc. (NASDAQ: JBSS) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $56.47 (-14.88% 1D, market cap $660.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, JBSS ranks #24 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does JBSS compare to MAMA and JJSF in the Consumer Staples sector?

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Within the Consumer Staples sector (Specialty Foods), JBSS carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 10.7x, gross margin of 18.0%, and ROIC of 19.2%. By comparison, MAMA (Mama's Creations Inc.) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 114.4x, ROIC 17.2%, cap $604.9M) and JJSF (J & J Snack Foods Corp.) posts a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 23.9x, ROIC 7.9%, cap $1.57B). Among the 5-stock peer group, JBSS leads on earnings multiple (10.7x) while JBSS leads on capital efficiency (19.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for JBSS?

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Per JBSS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-06-25, CIK 0000880117), John B. Sanfilippo & Son Inc. generated $1.18B in revenue (+6.2% YoY), $61.9M in net income, and $35.7M in free cash flow against $617.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (18% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $54.85 (-2.87%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) • 3% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 66/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.0% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk B

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.6% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for JBSS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.4%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (66/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY JBSS SCORES 66/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 4.87 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+18/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B+$67.36-2.4% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B$65.73+2.5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B-$67.37-16.2% Next Q

Current

Grade C+$56.47+1.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B+ (74) → C+ (66)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the JBSS Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 66/100 (C+) score, JBSS faces multiple-compression risk if 10.7x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 15.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($68.22) or 200D SMA ($76.97) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($58.50) toward Bear Floor ($45.63).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $JBSS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “JBSS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 24, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 66%NO 34%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your JBSS Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $56.47: 177.1 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $45.63

$8,080

$-1,920 (-19.2%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $58.50

$10,359

+$359 (+3.6%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $96.68

$17,121

+$7,121 (+71.2%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$61	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	BUY	$91	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	HOLD	$52	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (JBSS Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

JBSS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -28.56%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN

2026-11-02O $66.34H $66.34L $56.47C $56.47VOL 267.2K

RES: $78.06SUP: $60.16SMA50: $68.22SMA200: $76.97

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

JBSS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 JBSS Butterfly Map → + Track JBSS →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

0.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on JBSS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for JBSS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for JBSS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (JBSS)

Consumer Staples Rank #24 of 146 ⚔️ MAMA vs JBSS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (JBSS vs. MAMA, JJSF, TR, WYHG)

Industry: Specialty Foods (9 Tracked Issuers)

Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, John B. Sanfilippo & Son Inc. (JBSS) ranks #24 by composite RQD confidence (66/100, grade C+) and #79 by equity capitalization ($660.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, JBSS leads on earnings valuation at 10.7x trailing P/E, while JBSS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 19.2% ROIC and 18.0% gross margin. JJSF currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with JBSS at 66/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
JBSS ACTIVE John B. Sanfilippo & Son Inc.	C+	66/100	10.7x	18.0%	19.2%	-14.88%	$660.3M	Benchmark Subject
MAMA Mama's Creations Inc.	D+	52/100	114.4x	25.1%	17.2%	-1.38%	$604.9M	/mama-vs-jbss →
JJSF J & J Snack Foods Corp.	B	74/100	23.9x	29.7%	7.9%	+0.54%	$1.57B	/jjsf-vs-jbss →
TR Tootsie Roll Industries Inc.	D+	55/100	27.4x	35.3%	9.8%	+2.32%	$2.74B	/tr-vs-jbss →
WYHG Wing Yip Food Holdings Group Limited	D-	37/100	13.3x	29.2%	4.6%	+5.36%	$105.0M	/wyhg-vs-jbss →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-06-25 • CIK 0000880117

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-06-25), John B. Sanfilippo & Son Inc. (JBSS) reported GAAP revenue of $1.18B (+6.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.11B , and +10.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $61.9M, operating cash flow of $123.8M, and free cash flow of $35.7M (+277.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, JBSS closed FY2025 with $617.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.87, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-06-25	$1.18B	$61.9M	$123.8M	$35.7M	$617.7M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2025-06-26	$1.11B	$58.9M	$30.5M	-$20.2M	$545.3M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2024-06-27	$1.07B	$60.2M	$101.7M	$101.7M	—	—

3. JBSS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is JBSS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does JBSS compare to MAMA and JJSF in the Consumer Staples sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for JBSS?

Where is JBSS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

JBSS last traded at $56.47 (-14.88% on volume of 267,195 shares), positioning the stock -17.22% below its 50-day simple moving average ($68.22) and -26.63% below its 200-day simple moving average ($76.97). Across its 52-week range of $53.64 to $92.08, JBSS sits at the 7.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 27.7 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.4% ($51.73 to $61.21).

JBSS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is JBSS's 12-month stock price target?

John B. Sanfilippo & Son Inc. (JBSS) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $58.5 (+3.6% from $56.47), with a bull-case target of $96.68 and a bear-case floor of $45.63.

Is JBSS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates JBSS C+ (Hold — HOLD) with an RQD Confidence score of 66/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: JBSS RQD Cockpit JBSS 12M Forecast JBSS Earnings & Move JBSS Dividends & DRIP JBSS Insiders & 13F JBSS Whale Options JBSS Profit Sankey JBSS News & Why