Stock Ratings / Consumer Staples / JBSS / financials

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John B. Sanfilippo & Son Inc. (JBSS) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

Q: How profitable is John B. Sanfilippo & Son Inc. (JBSS)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), JBSS converted $1.2B of revenue into a 18% gross margin, 7.6% operating margin, and $35.7M in free cash flow (3% FCF margin).

$56.47 -14.88% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $54.85

John B. Sanfilippo & Son Inc. (JBSS) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 68/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 68/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $660.3M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $54.85 (-2.87%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) • 3% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 68/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk B

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for JBSS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (68/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY JBSS SCORES 68/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 4.87 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+18/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B+$67.00-0.4% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B$66.76+0.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B$67.06-15.8% Next Q

Current

Grade C+$56.47+1.8% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B+ (76) → C+ (68)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the JBSS Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 68/100 (C+) score, JBSS faces multiple-compression risk if 10.7x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 15.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($68.56) or 200D SMA ($77.06) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($59.01) toward Bear Floor ($46.03).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $JBSS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “JBSS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 24, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 68%NO 32%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How JBSS Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$35.7M (3% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $1.07B

FY24

Rev $1.11B

FY25

Rev $1.18B

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$1.18B	18%	7.6%	$61.9M	$35.7M	19.2%
FY 2024	$1.11B	18.4%	7.7%	$58.9M	-$20.2M	20.6%
FY 2023	$1.07B	18%	8%	$60.2M	$101.7M	19.2%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring JBSS)

✓Walkthrough of JBSS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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JBSS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -30.96%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN

2026-10-30O $57.84H $58.88L $53.64C $56.47VOL 317.9K

RES: $78.23SUP: $60.41SMA50: $68.56SMA200: $77.06

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

JBSS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 JBSS Butterfly Map → + Track JBSS →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

0.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on JBSS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for JBSS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for JBSS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (JBSS)

Consumer Staples Rank #20 of 146 ⚔️ MAMA vs JBSS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (JBSS vs. MAMA, JJSF, TR, WYHG)

Industry: Specialty Foods (9 Tracked Issuers)

Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, John B. Sanfilippo & Son Inc. (JBSS) ranks #20 by composite RQD confidence (68/100, grade C+) and #79 by equity capitalization ($660.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, JBSS leads on earnings valuation at 10.7x trailing P/E, while JBSS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 19.2% ROIC and 18.0% gross margin. JJSF currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 72/100 (B) compared with JBSS at 68/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
JBSS ACTIVE John B. Sanfilippo & Son Inc.	C+	68/100	10.7x	18.0%	19.2%	-14.88%	$660.3M	Benchmark Subject
MAMA Mama's Creations Inc.	C	63/100	114.4x	25.1%	17.2%	-1.38%	$604.9M	/mama-vs-jbss →
JJSF J & J Snack Foods Corp.	B	72/100	23.9x	29.7%	7.9%	+0.54%	$1.57B	/jjsf-vs-jbss →
TR Tootsie Roll Industries Inc.	C+	68/100	27.4x	35.3%	9.8%	+2.32%	$2.74B	/tr-vs-jbss →
WYHG Wing Yip Food Holdings Group Limited	D	51/100	13.3x	29.2%	4.6%	+5.36%	$105.0M	/wyhg-vs-jbss →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-06-25 • CIK 0000880117

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-06-25), John B. Sanfilippo & Son Inc. (JBSS) reported GAAP revenue of $1.18B (+6.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.11B , and +10.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $61.9M, operating cash flow of $123.8M, and free cash flow of $35.7M (+277.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, JBSS closed FY2025 with $617.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.87, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-06-25	$1.18B	$61.9M	$123.8M	$35.7M	$617.7M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2025-06-26	$1.11B	$58.9M	$30.5M	-$20.2M	$545.3M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2024-06-27	$1.07B	$60.2M	$101.7M	$101.7M	—	—

3. JBSS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is JBSS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, John B. Sanfilippo & Son Inc. (NASDAQ: JBSS) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $56.47 (-14.88% 1D, market cap $660.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, JBSS ranks #20 in composite RQD confidence.

How does JBSS compare to MAMA and JJSF in the Consumer Staples sector?

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Specialty Foods), JBSS carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 10.7x, gross margin of 18.0%, and ROIC of 19.2%. By comparison, MAMA (Mama's Creations Inc.) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 114.4x, ROIC 17.2%, cap $604.9M) and JJSF (J & J Snack Foods Corp.) posts a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 23.9x, ROIC 7.9%, cap $1.57B). Among the 5-stock peer group, JBSS leads on earnings multiple (10.7x) while JBSS leads on capital efficiency (19.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for JBSS?

Per JBSS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-06-25, CIK 0000880117), John B. Sanfilippo & Son Inc. generated $1.18B in revenue (+6.2% YoY), $61.9M in net income, and $35.7M in free cash flow against $617.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (18% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is JBSS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

JBSS last traded at $56.47 (-14.88% on volume of 267,195 shares), positioning the stock -17.63% below its 50-day simple moving average ($68.56) and -26.72% below its 200-day simple moving average ($77.06). Across its 52-week range of $53.64 to $92.08, JBSS sits at the 7.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 17.8 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.0% ($52.52 to $60.42).