Investar Holding Corporation (ISTR) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$27.83 +0.62% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $27.81

Investar Holding Corporation (ISTR) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 52/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $383.4M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ISTR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Investar Holding Corporation (NASDAQ: ISTR) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 52/100 at a spot price of $27.83 (+0.62% 1D, market cap $383.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, ISTR ranks #631 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ISTR compare to FDBC and MVBF in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Major Banks), ISTR carries a Roarable D+ (52/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 16.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 7.6%. By comparison, FDBC (Fidelity D & D Bancorp Inc.) holds a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 13.6x, ROIC 11.8%, cap $382.4M) and MVBF (MVB Financial Corp.) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.0%, cap $385.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, PKBK leads on earnings multiple (10.3x) while FDBC leads on capital efficiency (11.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ISTR?
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Per ISTR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001602658), Investar Holding Corporation generated $0 in revenue, $22.9M in net income, and $18.2M in free cash flow against $2.83B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $27.81 (-0.08%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 0.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 52/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510052
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D
Cash (11)Whales (6)SEC (13)Macro (7)CEO (15)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.7% Base Target
$33 Bull$27 Base$21 Bear
📬 FREE ISTR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ISTR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (52/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ISTR SCORES 52/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
60
Grade C$29.06-1.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
57
Grade C$28.58-2.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
55
Grade C$27.82+0% Next Q
Current
52
Grade D+$27.83-1.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (60) → D+ (52)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ISTR Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ISTR currently carries a cautious 52/100 (D+) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($29.42) and Max Pain ($29.22) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $33.36.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ISTR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ISTR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±4.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (ISTR)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for ISTR.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ISTR)

  • ✓Walkthrough of ISTR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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ISTR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +0.54%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $27.66H $27.83L $27.66C $27.83VOL 68.7K
RES: $32.14SUP: $27.20SMA50: $29.42SMA200: $28.93
$31.67$30.00$28.33$26.65$24.98RES $32.14SUP $27.20$27.832026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ISTR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
9.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ISTR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ISTR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ISTR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ISTR)

Financials Rank #631 of 1096 ⚔️ FDBC vs ISTR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (ISTR vs. FDBC, MVBF, PKBK, NWFL)

Industry: Major Banks (248 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Investar Holding Corporation (ISTR) ranks #631 by composite RQD confidence (52/100, grade D+) and #762 by equity capitalization ($383.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PKBK leads on earnings valuation at 10.3x trailing P/E, while FDBC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.8% ROIC and — gross margin. NWFL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 73/100 (B) compared with ISTR at 52/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ISTR ACTIVE
Investar Holding Corporation
D+ 52/100 16.7x — 7.6% +0.62% $383.4M Benchmark Subject
FDBC
Fidelity D & D Bancorp Inc.
C+ 69/100 13.6x — 11.8% +3.65% $382.4M /fdbc-vs-istr →
MVBF
MVB Financial Corp.
D+ 56/100 — — 0.0% +0.34% $385.7M /mvbf-vs-istr →
PKBK
Parke Bancorp Inc.
C 65/100 10.3x — 11.6% +0.37% $387.5M /pkbk-vs-istr →
NWFL
Norwood Financial Corp.
B 73/100 14.0x — 11.5% -0.67% $388.5M /nwfl-vs-istr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001602658

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Investar Holding Corporation (ISTR) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $22.9M, operating cash flow of $18.2M, and free cash flow of $18.2M (+14.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, ISTR closed FY2025 with $2.83B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 $22.9M $18.2M $18.2M $2.83B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 $20.3M $15.9M $15.9M $2.72B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 $16.7M $26.2M $26.2M — —

3. ISTR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ISTR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Investar Holding Corporation (NASDAQ: ISTR) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 52/100 at a spot price of $27.83 (+0.62% 1D, market cap $383.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, ISTR ranks #631 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ISTR compare to FDBC and MVBF in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Major Banks), ISTR carries a Roarable D+ (52/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 16.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 7.6%. By comparison, FDBC (Fidelity D & D Bancorp Inc.) holds a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 13.6x, ROIC 11.8%, cap $382.4M) and MVBF (MVB Financial Corp.) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.0%, cap $385.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, PKBK leads on earnings multiple (10.3x) while FDBC leads on capital efficiency (11.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ISTR?

Per ISTR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001602658), Investar Holding Corporation generated $0 in revenue, $22.9M in net income, and $18.2M in free cash flow against $2.83B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ISTR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ISTR last traded at $27.83 (+0.62% on volume of 68,678 shares), positioning the stock -5.40% below its 50-day simple moving average ($29.42) and -3.80% below its 200-day simple moving average ($28.93). Across its 52-week range of $22.95 to $31.77, ISTR sits at the 55.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 37.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.5% ($26.58 to $29.08).

ISTR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is ISTR's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for ISTR.

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