MARKET WIRECNBC • 2h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
Why ISTR Stock advanced +0.62% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$27.83 +0.62% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $27.81
Investar Holding Corporation (ISTR) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH
Cap $383.4M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $27.81 (-0.08%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 0.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B-
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.3% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ISTR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (63/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ISTR SCORES 63/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (24% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 55% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 32.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (24% of score)
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade B$28.82+0% Next Q
71
Q2 (-2Q)Grade B-$28.82-2.7% Next Q
68
Q3 (-1Q)Grade B-$28.04-0.7% Next Q
66
CurrentGrade C$27.83+0.9% Hist 90D α
63
Trajectory: B (71) → C (63)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ISTR Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 63/100 (C) score, ISTR faces multiple-compression risk if 16.7x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($29.47) or 200D SMA ($28.93) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($28.46) toward Bear Floor ($22.20).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ISTR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ISTR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why ISTR Stock advanced +0.62% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Investar Holding Corporation (ISTR) advanced +0.62% to $27.83, trading at 55% of its 52-week range ($22.95 – $31.77). Solid steady margins (8% return on capital), mixed timing at 17x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 55% of its 52-week range ($22.95 – $31.77) with RSI-14 at 32.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±4.6% around $27.83 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $18.2M annual free cash flow.
Live ISTR Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 3h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 4h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 7h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
German ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt - ReutersGerman ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (ISTR Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
ISTR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +0.43%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $27.96H $28.12L $27.50C $27.83VOL 82.8K
RES: $32.12SUP: $27.21SMA50: $29.47SMA200: $28.93
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
ISTR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
9.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ISTR today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ISTR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ISTR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ISTR)
Financials Rank #400 of 1096
⚔️ FDBC vs ISTR Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (ISTR vs. FDBC, MVBF, PKBK, NWFL)
Industry: Major Banks (248 Tracked Issuers)Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Investar Holding Corporation (ISTR) ranks #400 by composite RQD confidence (63/100, grade C) and #762 by equity capitalization ($383.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PKBK leads on earnings valuation at 10.3x trailing P/E, while FDBC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.8% ROIC and — gross margin. PKBK currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with ISTR at 63/100 (C).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ISTR
ACTIVE
Investar Holding Corporation | C | 63/100 | 16.7x | — | 7.6% | +0.62% | $383.4M | Benchmark Subject |
| FDBC Fidelity D & D Bancorp Inc. | C+ | 69/100 | 13.6x | — | 11.8% | +3.65% | $382.4M | /fdbc-vs-istr → |
| MVBF MVB Financial Corp. | D+ | 58/100 | — | — | 0.0% | +0.34% | $385.7M | /mvbf-vs-istr → |
| PKBK Parke Bancorp Inc. | B- | 70/100 | 10.3x | — | 11.6% | +0.37% | $387.5M | /pkbk-vs-istr → |
| NWFL Norwood Financial Corp. | C | 65/100 | 14.0x | — | 11.5% | -0.67% | $388.5M | /nwfl-vs-istr → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001602658In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Investar Holding Corporation (ISTR) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $22.9M, operating cash flow of $18.2M, and free cash flow of $18.2M (+14.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, ISTR closed FY2025 with $2.83B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $0 | $22.9M | $18.2M | $18.2M | $2.83B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $0 | $20.3M | $15.9M | $15.9M | $2.72B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $0 | $16.7M | $26.2M | $26.2M | — | — |
3. ISTR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs ISTR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Investar Holding Corporation (NASDAQ: ISTR) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $27.83 (+0.62% 1D, market cap $383.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, ISTR ranks #400 in composite RQD confidence.
How does ISTR compare to FDBC and MVBF in the Financials sector?
Within the Financials sector (Major Banks), ISTR carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 16.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 7.6%. By comparison, FDBC (Fidelity D & D Bancorp Inc.) holds a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 13.6x, ROIC 11.8%, cap $382.4M) and MVBF (MVB Financial Corp.) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.0%, cap $385.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, PKBK leads on earnings multiple (10.3x) while FDBC leads on capital efficiency (11.8% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ISTR?
Per ISTR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001602658), Investar Holding Corporation generated $0 in revenue, $22.9M in net income, and $18.2M in free cash flow against $2.83B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is ISTR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
ISTR last traded at $27.83 (+0.62% on volume of 68,678 shares), positioning the stock -5.56% below its 50-day simple moving average ($29.47) and -3.80% below its 200-day simple moving average ($28.93). Across its 52-week range of $22.95 to $31.77, ISTR sits at the 55.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 32.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.6% ($26.55 to $29.11).
ISTR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is ISTR stock moving today?
Why ISTR Stock advanced +0.62% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid steady margins (8% return on capital), mixed timing at 17x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.