Stock Ratings / Financials / IRT / forecast

LXP (70) SLG (61) HIW (64) BNL (56) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Independence Realty Trust Inc. (IRT) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$14.80 +2.42% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.84

Independence Realty Trust Inc. (IRT) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 46/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $3.49B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on IRT Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is IRT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Independence Realty Trust Inc. (NYSE: IRT) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $14.80 (+2.42% 1D, market cap $3.49B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, IRT ranks #777 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does IRT compare to LXP and SLG in the Financials sector?

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Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), IRT carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 61.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 1.6%. By comparison, LXP (LXP Industrial Trust (Maryland REIT)) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 31.9x, ROIC 4.4%, cap $3.61B) and SLG (SL Green Realty Corp) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 14.7%, cap $3.61B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LXP leads on earnings multiple (31.9x) while HIW leads on capital efficiency (18.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for IRT?

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Per IRT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001466085), Independence Realty Trust Inc. generated $657.7M in revenue (+2.8% YoY), $56.6M in net income, and $282.1M in free cash flow against $6.02B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.84 (+0.25%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 42.9% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for IRT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (46/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY IRT SCORES 46/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (28% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+9/20 pts (20% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 42.9% FCF Margin ($282.1M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$14.82-2.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$14.49+3.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$14.94-0.9% Next Q

Current

Grade D$14.80-6.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (54) → D (46)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a IRT Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While IRT currently carries a cautious 46/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($15.14) and Max Pain ($15.54) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $18.68.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $IRT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “IRT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 46%NO 54%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your IRT Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $14.80: 675.7 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $10.92

$7,378

$-2,622 (-26.2%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $14.00

$9,459

$-541 (-5.4%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $18.68

$12,622

+$2,622 (+26.2%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$15	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$18	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$12	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring IRT)

✓Walkthrough of IRT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

IRT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -10.09%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-02O $14.45H $14.80L $14.45C $14.80VOL 3.46M

RES: $17.61SUP: $14.07SMA50: $15.14SMA200: $16.05

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

IRT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 IRT Butterfly Map → + Track IRT →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

42.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +2.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on IRT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for IRT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for IRT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (IRT)

Financials Rank #777 of 1096 ⚔️ LXP vs IRT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (IRT vs. LXP, SLG, HIW, BNL)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Independence Realty Trust Inc. (IRT) ranks #777 by composite RQD confidence (46/100, grade D) and #331 by equity capitalization ($3.49B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LXP leads on earnings valuation at 31.9x trailing P/E, while HIW leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.3% ROIC and — gross margin. LXP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with IRT at 46/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
IRT ACTIVE Independence Realty Trust Inc.	D	46/100	61.7x	—	1.6%	+2.42%	$3.49B	Benchmark Subject
LXP LXP Industrial Trust (Maryland REIT)	B-	70/100	31.9x	—	4.4%	+0.05%	$3.61B	/lxp-vs-irt →
SLG SL Green Realty Corp	C-	61/100	—	—	14.7%	+3.96%	$3.61B	/slg-vs-irt →
HIW Highwoods Properties Inc.	C	64/100	—	—	18.3%	+4.42%	$3.36B	/hiw-vs-irt →
BNL Broadstone Net Lease Inc.	D+	56/100	34.6x	—	2.3%	+3.20%	$3.34B	/bnl-vs-irt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001466085

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Independence Realty Trust Inc. (IRT) reported GAAP revenue of $657.7M (+2.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $640.0M , and -0.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $56.6M, operating cash flow of $282.1M, and free cash flow of $282.1M (+8.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, IRT closed FY2025 with $6.02B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$657.7M	$56.6M	$282.1M	$282.1M	$6.02B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$640.0M	$39.3M	$259.8M	$259.8M	$6.06B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$661.0M	-$17.2M	$262.2M	$262.2M	—	—

3. IRT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is IRT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does IRT compare to LXP and SLG in the Financials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for IRT?

Where is IRT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

IRT last traded at $14.80 (+2.42% on volume of 3,460,200 shares), positioning the stock -2.25% below its 50-day simple moving average ($15.14) and -7.79% below its 200-day simple moving average ($16.05). Across its 52-week range of $14.33 to $17.79, IRT sits at the 13.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 48.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.6% ($14.12 to $15.48).

IRT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is IRT's 12-month stock price target?

Independence Realty Trust Inc. (IRT) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $14 (-5.4% from $14.80), with a bull-case target of $18.68 and a bear-case floor of $10.92.

Is IRT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates IRT D (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 46/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: IRT RQD Cockpit IRT 12M Forecast IRT Earnings & Move IRT Dividends & DRIP IRT Insiders & 13F IRT Whale Options IRT Profit Sankey IRT News & Why