Independence Realty Trust Inc. (IRT) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±4.6% Move

$14.80 +2.42% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.84

Independence Realty Trust Inc. (IRT) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 62/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $3.49B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.84 (+0.25%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 42.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 62/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510062
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B
Cash (9)Whales (15)SEC (13)Macro (16)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.8% Base Target
$19 Bull$15 Base$12 Bear
📬 FREE IRT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for IRT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (62/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY IRT SCORES 62/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 14% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 46.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+15/20 pts (24% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±4.6% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
54
Grade C-$14.77+0% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
57
Grade C$14.77+1.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
59
Grade C$14.96-1.1% Next Q
Current
62
Grade C$14.80+0.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (54) → C (62)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the IRT Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 62/100 (C) score, IRT faces multiple-compression risk if 61.7x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Priced at 62x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($15.18) or 200D SMA ($16.06) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($15.07) toward Bear Floor ($11.75).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $IRT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “IRT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±4.6% Swing Band

±$0.68 Expected Swing
$14.12 (-4.6%)Spot $14.80$15.48 (+4.6%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

IRT Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 62/100

Trailing EPS: $0.24 • YoY Revenue Growth: 2.8%

Model Bullish Setup (62/100)Model Risk Weight (38/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$657.7M$56.6M$282.1M52%
FY 20242024-12-31$640.0M$39.3M$259.8M52%
FY 20232023-12-31$661.0M-$17.2M$262.2M52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating IRT & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on IRT
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
IRT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -9.26%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $14.90H $14.99L $14.70C $14.80VOL 2.94M
RES: $17.60SUP: $14.09SMA50: $15.18SMA200: $16.06
$17.94$16.96$15.98$15.00$14.03RES $17.60SUP $14.09$14.802026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

IRT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
42.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +2.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on IRT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for IRT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for IRT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (IRT)

Financials Rank #425 of 1096 ⚔️ LXP vs IRT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (IRT vs. LXP, SLG, HIW, BNL)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Independence Realty Trust Inc. (IRT) ranks #425 by composite RQD confidence (62/100, grade C) and #331 by equity capitalization ($3.49B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LXP leads on earnings valuation at 31.9x trailing P/E, while HIW leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.3% ROIC and — gross margin. LXP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with IRT at 62/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
IRT ACTIVE
Independence Realty Trust Inc.
C 62/100 61.7x — 1.6% +2.42% $3.49B Benchmark Subject
LXP
LXP Industrial Trust (Maryland REIT)
B- 70/100 31.9x — 4.4% +0.05% $3.61B /lxp-vs-irt →
SLG
SL Green Realty Corp
C+ 68/100 — — 14.7% +3.96% $3.61B /slg-vs-irt →
HIW
Highwoods Properties Inc.
B- 70/100 — — 18.3% +4.42% $3.36B /hiw-vs-irt →
BNL
Broadstone Net Lease Inc.
D+ 56/100 34.6x — 2.3% +3.20% $3.34B /bnl-vs-irt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001466085

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Independence Realty Trust Inc. (IRT) reported GAAP revenue of $657.7M (+2.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $640.0M , and -0.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $56.6M, operating cash flow of $282.1M, and free cash flow of $282.1M (+8.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, IRT closed FY2025 with $6.02B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $657.7M $56.6M $282.1M $282.1M $6.02B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $640.0M $39.3M $259.8M $259.8M $6.06B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $661.0M -$17.2M $262.2M $262.2M — —

3. IRT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is IRT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Independence Realty Trust Inc. (NYSE: IRT) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 62/100 at a spot price of $14.80 (+2.42% 1D, market cap $3.49B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, IRT ranks #425 in composite RQD confidence.

How does IRT compare to LXP and SLG in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), IRT carries a Roarable C (62/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 61.7x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 1.6%. By comparison, LXP (LXP Industrial Trust (Maryland REIT)) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 31.9x, ROIC 4.4%, cap $3.61B) and SLG (SL Green Realty Corp) posts a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 14.7%, cap $3.61B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LXP leads on earnings multiple (31.9x) while HIW leads on capital efficiency (18.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for IRT?

Per IRT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001466085), Independence Realty Trust Inc. generated $657.7M in revenue (+2.8% YoY), $56.6M in net income, and $282.1M in free cash flow against $6.02B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is IRT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

IRT last traded at $14.80 (+2.42% on volume of 3,460,200 shares), positioning the stock -2.50% below its 50-day simple moving average ($15.18) and -7.85% below its 200-day simple moving average ($16.06). Across its 52-week range of $14.33 to $17.79, IRT sits at the 13.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.6% ($14.12 to $15.48).

IRT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is IRT's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Independence Realty Trust Inc. (IRT)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is IRT stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±4.6% event move for IRT, spanning a range between $14.12 and $15.48.

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