MARKET WIREReuters • 3h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
Why IPWR Stock dropped -3.28% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$2.95 -3.28% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.93
Ideal Power Inc. (IPWR) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 30/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE E • RED ALERT
Cap $48.5M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.93 (-0.78%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (30/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-12.5% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for IPWR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (30/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY IPWR SCORES 30/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (27% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+7/20 pts (23% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 0% Gross Margin
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade E$3.61-17.5% Next Q
38
Q2 (-2Q)Grade E$2.98-8.4% Next Q
35
Q3 (-1Q)Grade E$2.73+8.1% Next Q
33
CurrentGrade E$2.95-9.6% Hist 90D α
30
Trajectory: E (38) → E (30)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a IPWR Turnaround Squeeze
While IPWR currently carries a cautious 30/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($3.94) and Max Pain ($3.10) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $9.77.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $IPWR• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “IPWR Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why IPWR Stock dropped -3.28% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Ideal Power Inc. (IPWR) dropped -3.28% to $2.95, trading at 6% of its 52-week range ($2.56 – $9.3). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 6% of its 52-week range ($2.56 – $9.3) with RSI-14 at 28.7 (OVERSOLD (<32)).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $2.95 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 0% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live IPWR Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 5h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 5h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 6h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 8h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 9h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 9h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring IPWR)
- ✓Walkthrough of IPWR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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IPWR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -22.77%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-10-30O $2.90H $2.95L $2.56C $2.95VOL 105.4K
RES: $2.97SUP: $4.20SMA50: $3.94SMA200: $4.28
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
IPWR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on IPWR today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for IPWR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for IPWR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (IPWR)
Technology Rank #672 of 714
⚔️ NA vs IPWR Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (IPWR vs. NA, SQNS, SPCB, TYGO)
Industry: Semiconductors (95 Tracked Issuers)Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ideal Power Inc. (IPWR) ranks #672 by composite RQD confidence (30/100, grade E) and #563 by equity capitalization ($48.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SPCB leads on earnings valuation at 17.2x trailing P/E, while NA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 6.2% ROIC and — gross margin. TYGO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with IPWR at 30/100 (E).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IPWR
ACTIVE
Ideal Power Inc. | E | 30/100 | — | -30.0% | -35.0% | -3.28% | $48.5M | Benchmark Subject |
| NA Nano Labs Ltd (Class A) | D | 45/100 | — | — | 6.2% | -0.88% | $39.3M | /na-vs-ipwr → |
| SQNS Sequans Communications S.A. (each representing one hundred (100) ) | D+ | 52/100 | — | — | — | 0.00% | $38.0M | /sqns-vs-ipwr → |
| SPCB SuperCom Ltd. (Israel) | D- | 37/100 | 17.2x | 55.2% | -0.5% | +2.49% | $64.6M | /spcb-vs-ipwr → |
| TYGO Tigo Energy Inc. | B- | 70/100 | — | 0.0% | -17.8% | +2.92% | $73.3M | /tygo-vs-ipwr → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001507957In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Ideal Power Inc. (IPWR) reported GAAP revenue of $37.7K (-56.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $86.0K ) , GAAP net income of -$10.6M, operating cash flow of -$9.1M, and free cash flow of -$9.3M (-3.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, IPWR closed FY2025 with $10.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $37.7K | -$10.6M | -$9.1M | -$9.3M | $10.0M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $86.0K | -$10.4M | -$8.7M | -$8.9M | $19.8M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $0 | -$10.0M | -$7.1M | -$7.1M | — | — |
3. IPWR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs IPWR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Ideal Power Inc. (NASDAQ: IPWR) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 30/100 at a spot price of $2.95 (-3.28% 1D, market cap $48.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, IPWR ranks #672 in composite RQD confidence.
How does IPWR compare to NA and SQNS in the Technology sector?
Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), IPWR carries a Roarable E (30/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of -30.0%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, NA (Nano Labs Ltd (Class A)) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 6.2%, cap $39.3M) and SQNS (Sequans Communications S.A. (each representing one hundred (100) )) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $38.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SPCB leads on earnings multiple (17.2x) while NA leads on capital efficiency (6.2% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for IPWR?
Per IPWR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001507957), Ideal Power Inc. generated $37.7K in revenue (-56.1% YoY), -$10.6M in net income, and -$9.3M in free cash flow against $10.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is IPWR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
IPWR last traded at $2.95 (-3.28% on volume of 56,085 shares), positioning the stock -25.13% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.94) and -31.07% below its 200-day simple moving average ($4.28). Across its 52-week range of $2.56 to $9.30, IPWR sits at the 5.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 28.7 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($2.58 to $3.32).
IPWR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is IPWR stock moving today?
Why IPWR Stock dropped -3.28% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.