Ideal Power Inc. (IPWR) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$2.95 -3.28% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.93

Ideal Power Inc. (IPWR) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 30/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $48.5M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.93 (-0.78%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (30/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510030
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (7)Whales (6)SEC (8)Macro (6)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-12.5% Base Target
$10 Bull$3 Base$2 Bear
📬 FREE IPWR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for IPWR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (30/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY IPWR SCORES 30/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+7/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 0% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
38
Grade E$3.61-17.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
35
Grade E$2.98-8.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
33
Grade E$2.73+8.1% Next Q
Current
30
Grade E$2.95-9.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (38) → E (30)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a IPWR Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While IPWR currently carries a cautious 30/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($3.94) and Max Pain ($3.10) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $9.77.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $IPWR• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “IPWR Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$0.37 Expected Swing
$2.58 (-12.5%)Spot $2.95$3.32 (+12.5%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

IPWR Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 30/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (30/100)Model Risk Weight (70/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$37.7K-$10.6M-$9.3M-50%
FY 20242024-12-31$86.0K-$10.4M-$8.9M-8.6%
FY 20232023-12-31$0-$10.0M-$7.1M8%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring IPWR)

  • ✓Walkthrough of IPWR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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IPWR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -22.77%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-10-30O $2.90H $2.95L $2.56C $2.95VOL 105.4K
RES: $2.97SUP: $4.20SMA50: $3.94SMA200: $4.28
$9.77$7.82$5.86$3.91$1.95RES $2.97SUP $4.20$2.952026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

IPWR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on IPWR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for IPWR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for IPWR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (IPWR)

Technology Rank #672 of 714 ⚔️ NA vs IPWR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (IPWR vs. NA, SQNS, SPCB, TYGO)

Industry: Semiconductors (95 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ideal Power Inc. (IPWR) ranks #672 by composite RQD confidence (30/100, grade E) and #563 by equity capitalization ($48.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SPCB leads on earnings valuation at 17.2x trailing P/E, while NA leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 6.2% ROIC and — gross margin. TYGO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with IPWR at 30/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
IPWR ACTIVE
Ideal Power Inc.
E 30/100 — -30.0% -35.0% -3.28% $48.5M Benchmark Subject
NA
Nano Labs Ltd (Class A)
D 45/100 — — 6.2% -0.88% $39.3M /na-vs-ipwr →
SQNS
Sequans Communications S.A. (each representing one hundred (100) )
D+ 52/100 — — — 0.00% $38.0M /sqns-vs-ipwr →
SPCB
SuperCom Ltd. (Israel)
D- 37/100 17.2x 55.2% -0.5% +2.49% $64.6M /spcb-vs-ipwr →
TYGO
Tigo Energy Inc.
B- 70/100 — 0.0% -17.8% +2.92% $73.3M /tygo-vs-ipwr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001507957

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Ideal Power Inc. (IPWR) reported GAAP revenue of $37.7K (-56.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $86.0K ) , GAAP net income of -$10.6M, operating cash flow of -$9.1M, and free cash flow of -$9.3M (-3.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, IPWR closed FY2025 with $10.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $37.7K -$10.6M -$9.1M -$9.3M $10.0M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $86.0K -$10.4M -$8.7M -$8.9M $19.8M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 -$10.0M -$7.1M -$7.1M — —

3. IPWR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is IPWR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Ideal Power Inc. (NASDAQ: IPWR) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 30/100 at a spot price of $2.95 (-3.28% 1D, market cap $48.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, IPWR ranks #672 in composite RQD confidence.

How does IPWR compare to NA and SQNS in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), IPWR carries a Roarable E (30/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of -30.0%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, NA (Nano Labs Ltd (Class A)) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 6.2%, cap $39.3M) and SQNS (Sequans Communications S.A. (each representing one hundred (100) )) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $38.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SPCB leads on earnings multiple (17.2x) while NA leads on capital efficiency (6.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for IPWR?

Per IPWR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001507957), Ideal Power Inc. generated $37.7K in revenue (-56.1% YoY), -$10.6M in net income, and -$9.3M in free cash flow against $10.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is IPWR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

IPWR last traded at $2.95 (-3.28% on volume of 56,085 shares), positioning the stock -25.13% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.94) and -31.07% below its 200-day simple moving average ($4.28). Across its 52-week range of $2.56 to $9.30, IPWR sits at the 5.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 28.7 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($2.58 to $3.32).

IPWR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is IPWR's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Ideal Power Inc. (IPWR)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is IPWR stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for IPWR, spanning a range between $2.58 and $3.32.

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