CATALYSTYahoo • 3d ago
Olin (OLN) Q3 Earnings Beat EstimatesOlin (OLN) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of +40.00% and -2.63%, respectively, for the quarter ended September 2026. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?
Why IOSP Stock advanced +0.71% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$101.41 +0.71% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $101.78
Innospec Inc. (IOSP) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 70/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (28% profit margin, 10% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.
ROARABLE B- • BUY
Cap $2.50B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $101.79 (+0.37%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 7.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 70/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 15% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.1% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk B
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.4% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for IOSP)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (70/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY IOSP SCORES 70/100 (B-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (23% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 98% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 59.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (20% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 7.8% FCF Margin ($138.3M FCF) & 27.7% Gross Margin
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution13/20 pts (-7 pt drag)
Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 7 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C+$95.65+1.2% Next Q
62
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C+$96.81+1.9% Next Q
65
Q3 (-1Q)Grade B-$98.64+2.8% Next Q
67
CurrentGrade B-$101.41+6.6% Hist 90D α
70
Trajectory: C+ (62) → B- (70)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the IOSP Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 70/100 (B-) score, IOSP faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 25.2% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($96.04) or 200D SMA ($84.37) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($106.89) toward Bear Floor ($83.16).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $IOSP• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “IOSP Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why IOSP Stock advanced +0.71% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Innospec Inc. (IOSP) advanced +0.71% to $101.41, trading at 98% of its 52-week range ($65.51 – $102). High-quality cash engine (28% profit margin, 10% return on capital) with steady institutional support.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 98% of its 52-week range ($65.51 – $102) with RSI-14 at 59.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±4.1% around $101.41 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable B- (Buy) backed by 27.7% gross margin and $138.3M annual free cash flow.
Live IOSP Headlines & Catalysts
CATALYSTYahoo • 4d ago
Albemarle (ALB) Earnings Expected to Grow: What to Know Ahead of Next Week's ReleaseAlbemarle (ALB) doesn't possess the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.
CATALYSTYahoo • 5d ago
Innospec (IOSP) Earnings Expected to Grow: What to Know Ahead of Next Week's ReleaseInnospec (IOSP) doesn't possess the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (IOSP Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
IOSP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +32.98%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $101.5H $102.0L $99.46C $101.4VOL 216.5K
RES: $104.7SUP: $87.39SMA50: $96.04SMA200: $84.37
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
IOSP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
14.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -3.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on IOSP today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for IOSP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for IOSP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (IOSP)
Materials Rank #15 of 270
⚔️ ROG vs IOSP Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (IOSP vs. ROG, NGVT, KWR, WDFC)
Industry: Major Chemicals (67 Tracked Issuers)Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Innospec Inc. (IOSP) ranks #15 by composite RQD confidence (70/100, grade B-) and #103 by equity capitalization ($2.50B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, WDFC leads on earnings valuation at 32.3x trailing P/E, while NGVT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 39.5% gross margin. WDFC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with IOSP at 70/100 (B-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IOSP
ACTIVE
Innospec Inc. | B- | 70/100 | — | 27.7% | 9.9% | +0.71% | $2.50B | Benchmark Subject |
| ROG Rogers Corporation | D+ | 52/100 | — | 31.7% | -3.6% | -0.33% | $2.50B | /rog-vs-iosp → |
| NGVT Ingevity Corporation | C+ | 68/100 | — | 39.5% | 85.0% | +1.62% | $2.59B | /ngvt-vs-iosp → |
| KWR Quaker Houghton | D+ | 56/100 | — | 36.0% | 2.1% | +0.61% | $2.72B | /kwr-vs-iosp → |
| WDFC WD-40 Company | B | 75/100 | 32.3x | 55.1% | 27.2% | +2.49% | $2.94B | /wdfc-vs-iosp → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001054905In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Innospec Inc. (IOSP) reported GAAP revenue of $1.78B (-3.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.85B , and -8.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $138.3M, and free cash flow of $138.3M (-25.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, IOSP closed FY2025 with $1.83B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 5.47, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $1.78B | $0 | $138.3M | $138.3M | $1.83B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $1.85B | $0 | $184.5M | $184.5M | $1.73B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $1.95B | $0 | $207.3M | $207.3M | — | — |
3. IOSP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs IOSP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Innospec Inc. (NASDAQ: IOSP) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 70/100 at a spot price of $101.41 (+0.71% 1D, market cap $2.50B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, IOSP ranks #15 in composite RQD confidence.
How does IOSP compare to ROG and NGVT in the Materials sector?
Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), IOSP carries a Roarable B- (70/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 27.7%, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, ROG (Rogers Corporation) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -3.6%, cap $2.50B) and NGVT (Ingevity Corporation) posts a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 85.0%, cap $2.59B). Among the 5-stock peer group, WDFC leads on earnings multiple (32.3x) while NGVT leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for IOSP?
Per IOSP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001054905), Innospec Inc. generated $1.78B in revenue (-3.7% YoY), $0 in net income, and $138.3M in free cash flow against $1.83B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is IOSP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
IOSP last traded at $101.41 (+0.71% on volume of 205,113 shares), positioning the stock +5.59% above its 50-day simple moving average ($96.04) and +20.20% above its 200-day simple moving average ($84.37). Across its 52-week range of $65.51 to $102.00, IOSP sits at the 98.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 59.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.1% ($97.25 to $105.57).
IOSP Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is IOSP stock moving today?
Why IOSP Stock advanced +0.71% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. High-quality cash engine (28% profit margin, 10% return on capital) with steady institutional support.