Stock Ratings / Materials / IOSP / earnings

ROG (52) NGVT (68) KWR (56) WDFC (75) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Innospec Inc. (IOSP) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±4.1% Move

$101.41 +0.71% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $101.78

Innospec Inc. (IOSP) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 70/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (28% profit margin, 10% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 70/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 15% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.1% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B- • BUY Cap $2.50B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $101.79 (+0.37%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 7.8% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 70/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 15% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.1% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk B

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for IOSP)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.1%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (70/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY IOSP SCORES 70/100 (B-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (23% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 98% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 59.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (20% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 7.8% FCF Margin ($138.3M FCF) & 27.7% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution13/20 pts (-7 pt drag)

Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 7 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$95.65+1.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$96.81+1.9% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B-$98.64+2.8% Next Q

Current

Grade B-$101.41+6.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (62) → B- (70)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the IOSP Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 70/100 (B-) score, IOSP faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 25.2% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($96.04) or 200D SMA ($84.37) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($106.89) toward Bear Floor ($83.16).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $IOSP• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “IOSP Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 70%NO 30%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±4.1% Swing Band

±$4.16 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

IOSP Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 70/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: -3.7%

Model Bullish Setup (70/100)Model Risk Weight (30/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$1.78B	$0	$138.3M	27.7%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$1.85B	$0	$184.5M	29.4%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$1.95B	$0	$207.3M	27.7%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating IOSP & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on IOSP
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

IOSP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +32.98%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $101.5H $102.0L $99.46C $101.4VOL 216.5K

RES: $104.7SUP: $87.39SMA50: $96.04SMA200: $84.37

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

IOSP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 IOSP Butterfly Map → + Track IOSP →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

14.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -3.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on IOSP today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for IOSP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for IOSP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (IOSP)

Materials Rank #15 of 270 ⚔️ ROG vs IOSP Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (IOSP vs. ROG, NGVT, KWR, WDFC)

Industry: Major Chemicals (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Innospec Inc. (IOSP) ranks #15 by composite RQD confidence (70/100, grade B-) and #103 by equity capitalization ($2.50B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, WDFC leads on earnings valuation at 32.3x trailing P/E, while NGVT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 39.5% gross margin. WDFC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with IOSP at 70/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
IOSP ACTIVE Innospec Inc.	B-	70/100	—	27.7%	9.9%	+0.71%	$2.50B	Benchmark Subject
ROG Rogers Corporation	D+	52/100	—	31.7%	-3.6%	-0.33%	$2.50B	/rog-vs-iosp →
NGVT Ingevity Corporation	C+	68/100	—	39.5%	85.0%	+1.62%	$2.59B	/ngvt-vs-iosp →
KWR Quaker Houghton	D+	56/100	—	36.0%	2.1%	+0.61%	$2.72B	/kwr-vs-iosp →
WDFC WD-40 Company	B	75/100	32.3x	55.1%	27.2%	+2.49%	$2.94B	/wdfc-vs-iosp →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001054905

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Innospec Inc. (IOSP) reported GAAP revenue of $1.78B (-3.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.85B , and -8.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $138.3M, and free cash flow of $138.3M (-25.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, IOSP closed FY2025 with $1.83B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 5.47, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.78B	$0	$138.3M	$138.3M	$1.83B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.85B	$0	$184.5M	$184.5M	$1.73B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.95B	$0	$207.3M	$207.3M	—	—

3. IOSP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is IOSP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Innospec Inc. (NASDAQ: IOSP) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 70/100 at a spot price of $101.41 (+0.71% 1D, market cap $2.50B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, IOSP ranks #15 in composite RQD confidence.

How does IOSP compare to ROG and NGVT in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), IOSP carries a Roarable B- (70/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 27.7%, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, ROG (Rogers Corporation) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -3.6%, cap $2.50B) and NGVT (Ingevity Corporation) posts a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 85.0%, cap $2.59B). Among the 5-stock peer group, WDFC leads on earnings multiple (32.3x) while NGVT leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for IOSP?

Per IOSP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001054905), Innospec Inc. generated $1.78B in revenue (-3.7% YoY), $0 in net income, and $138.3M in free cash flow against $1.83B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is IOSP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

IOSP last traded at $101.41 (+0.71% on volume of 205,113 shares), positioning the stock +5.59% above its 50-day simple moving average ($96.04) and +20.20% above its 200-day simple moving average ($84.37). Across its 52-week range of $65.51 to $102.00, IOSP sits at the 98.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 59.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.1% ($97.25 to $105.57).

IOSP Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is IOSP's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Innospec Inc. (IOSP)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is IOSP stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±4.1% event move for IOSP, spanning a range between $97.25 and $105.57.

Direct Sub-Reports: IOSP RQD Cockpit IOSP 12M Forecast IOSP Earnings & Move IOSP Dividends & DRIP IOSP Insiders & 13F IOSP Whale Options IOSP Profit Sankey IOSP News & Why