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Why IONR Stock advanced +0.71% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$2.82 +0.71% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.82
ioneer Ltd (IONR) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 52/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID
Cap $216.8M
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER
Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on IONR Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is IONR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-01, ioneer Ltd (NASDAQ: IONR) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 52/100 at a spot price of $2.82 (+0.71% 1D, market cap $216.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, IONR ranks #140 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does IONR compare to ABAT and SND in the Materials sector?
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Within the Materials sector (Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels)), IONR carries a Roarable D+ (52/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, ABAT (American Battery Technology Company) holds a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $222.4M) and SND (Smart Sand Inc.) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 154.1x, ROIC -1.6%, cap $207.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SND leads on earnings multiple (154.1x) while SND leads on capital efficiency (-1.6% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for IONR?
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For ioneer Ltd (IONR), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #140 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.82 (-0.06%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 52/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.8% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for IONR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (52/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY IONR SCORES 52/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (25% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (23% of score)
SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 0.2% FCF Margin ($6.1M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C$2.92-5.5% Next Q
60
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C$2.76-7.6% Next Q
57
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C$2.55+10.6% Next Q
55
CurrentGrade D+$2.82-1.1% Hist 90D α
52
Trajectory: C (60) → D+ (52)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a IONR Turnaround Squeeze
While IONR currently carries a cautious 52/100 (D+) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($3.00) and Max Pain ($2.96) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $6.86.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $IONR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “IONR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why IONR Stock advanced +0.71% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
ioneer Ltd (IONR) advanced +0.71% to $2.82, trading at 7% of its 52-week range ($2.53 – $6.53). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 7% of its 52-week range ($2.53 – $6.53) with RSI-14 at 46.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±9.5% around $2.82 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $6.1M annual free cash flow.
Live IONR Headlines & Catalysts
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring IONR)
- ✓Walkthrough of IONR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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IONR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -26.37%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $2.85H $2.86L $2.72C $2.82VOL 23.9K
RES: $3.50SUP: $2.48SMA50: $3.00SMA200: $3.75
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
IONR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on IONR today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for IONR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for IONR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (IONR)
Materials Rank #140 of 270
⚔️ ABAT vs IONR Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (IONR vs. ABAT, SND, PHOS, FEAM)
Industry: Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels) (24 Tracked Issuers)Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, ioneer Ltd (IONR) ranks #140 by composite RQD confidence (52/100, grade D+) and #208 by equity capitalization ($216.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SND leads on earnings valuation at 154.1x trailing P/E, while SND leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -1.6% ROIC and 11.5% gross margin. SND currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with IONR at 52/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IONR
ACTIVE
ioneer Ltd | D+ | 52/100 | — | — | — | +0.71% | $216.8M | Benchmark Subject |
| ABAT American Battery Technology Company | E | 34/100 | — | -30.0% | -35.0% | -1.27% | $222.4M | /abat-vs-ionr → |
| SND Smart Sand Inc. | C- | 59/100 | 154.1x | 11.5% | -1.6% | -1.21% | $207.3M | /snd-vs-ionr → |
| PHOS First Phosphate Corp. | D+ | 58/100 | — | — | — | -2.76% | $241.5M | /phos-vs-ionr → |
| FEAM 5E Advanced Materials Inc. | D | 44/100 | — | — | -35.0% | +2.81% | $127.1M | /feam-vs-ionr → |
2. IONR Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics
TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOTioneer Ltd (IONR) operates in Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels) (Materials) with an equity capitalization of $216.8M, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.
3. IONR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs IONR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, ioneer Ltd (NASDAQ: IONR) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 52/100 at a spot price of $2.82 (+0.71% 1D, market cap $216.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, IONR ranks #140 in composite RQD confidence.
How does IONR compare to ABAT and SND in the Materials sector?
Within the Materials sector (Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels)), IONR carries a Roarable D+ (52/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, ABAT (American Battery Technology Company) holds a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $222.4M) and SND (Smart Sand Inc.) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 154.1x, ROIC -1.6%, cap $207.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SND leads on earnings multiple (154.1x) while SND leads on capital efficiency (-1.6% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for IONR?
For ioneer Ltd (IONR), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #140 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is IONR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
IONR last traded at $2.82 (+0.71% on volume of 61,618 shares), positioning the stock -6.00% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.00) and -24.80% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.75). Across its 52-week range of $2.53 to $6.53, IONR sits at the 7.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.5% ($2.55 to $3.09).
IONR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is IONR stock moving today?
Why IONR Stock advanced +0.71% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.