indie Semiconductor Inc. (Class A) (INDI) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$1.78 +1.71% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.78

indie Semiconductor Inc. (Class A) (INDI) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 28/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $412.6M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.78 (+0.12%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (28/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510028
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (3)Whales (8)SEC (8)Macro (6)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-13.5% Base Target
$6 Bull$2 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE INDI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for INDI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (28/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY INDI SCORES 28/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+8/20 pts (29% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 0.20 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
36
Grade E$2.60-30% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
33
Grade E$1.82-10.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
31
Grade E$1.63+9.2% Next Q
Current
28
Grade E$1.78-10% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (36) → E (28)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a INDI Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While INDI currently carries a cautious 28/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.84) and Max Pain ($1.87) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $5.76.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $INDI• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “INDI Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$0.22 Expected Swing
$1.56 (-12.5%)Spot $1.78$2.00 (+12.5%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

INDI Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 28/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 0.3%

Model Bullish Setup (28/100)Model Risk Weight (72/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$217.4M-$150.7M-$71.4M39.9%
FY 20242024-12-31$216.7M-$144.2M-$72.9M41.7%
FY 20232023-12-31$223.2M-$128.8M-$104.4M39.9%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring INDI)

  • ✓Walkthrough of INDI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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INDI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -60.53%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $1.67H $1.78L $1.60C $1.78VOL 3.07M
RES: $4.80SUP: $1.42SMA50: $2.84SMA200: $3.55
$5.77$4.62$3.48$2.33$1.18RES $4.80SUP $1.42$1.782026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

INDI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +0.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on INDI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for INDI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for INDI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (INDI)

Technology Rank #685 of 714 ⚔️ NVEC vs INDI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (INDI vs. NVEC, JKS, MRAM, LAES)

Industry: Semiconductors (95 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, indie Semiconductor Inc. (Class A) (INDI) ranks #685 by composite RQD confidence (28/100, grade E) and #426 by equity capitalization ($412.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, NVEC leads on earnings valuation at 26.1x trailing P/E, while NVEC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 22.9% ROIC and 78.7% gross margin. NVEC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 65/100 (C) compared with INDI at 28/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
INDI ACTIVE
indie Semiconductor Inc. (Class A)
E 28/100 — 39.9% -22.1% +1.71% $412.6M Benchmark Subject
NVEC
NVE Corporation
C 65/100 26.1x 78.7% 22.9% -0.47% $397.1M /nvec-vs-indi →
JKS
Jinko Holdings Limited (each representing 4 )
E 29/100 — 2.2% -35.0% -0.24% $431.0M /jks-vs-indi →
MRAM
Everspin Technologies Inc.
D 49/100 — 51.2% -21.0% -1.50% $351.4M /mram-vs-indi →
LAES
SEALSQ Corp
E 33/100 — 47.3% -35.0% -3.09% $349.8M /laes-vs-indi →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001841925

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), indie Semiconductor Inc. (Class A) (INDI) reported GAAP revenue of $217.4M (+0.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $216.7M , and -2.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$150.7M, operating cash flow of -$57.1M, and free cash flow of -$71.4M (+2.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, INDI closed FY2025 with $840.8M in total assets against $339.8M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $217.4M -$150.7M -$57.1M -$71.4M $840.8M $339.8M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $216.7M -$144.2M -$58.6M -$72.9M $941.4M $369.1M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $223.2M -$128.8M -$104.4M -$104.4M — —

3. INDI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is INDI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, indie Semiconductor Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: INDI) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 28/100 at a spot price of $1.78 (+1.71% 1D, market cap $412.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, INDI ranks #685 in composite RQD confidence.

How does INDI compare to NVEC and JKS in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), INDI carries a Roarable E (28/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 39.9%, and ROIC of -22.1%. By comparison, NVEC (NVE Corporation) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 26.1x, ROIC 22.9%, cap $397.1M) and JKS (Jinko Holdings Limited (each representing 4 )) posts a E grade (29/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $431.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, NVEC leads on earnings multiple (26.1x) while NVEC leads on capital efficiency (22.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for INDI?

Per INDI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001841925), indie Semiconductor Inc. (Class A) generated $217.4M in revenue (+0.3% YoY), -$150.7M in net income, and -$71.4M in free cash flow against $840.8M in total assets and $339.8M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is INDI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

INDI last traded at $1.78 (+1.71% on volume of 5,379,417 shares), positioning the stock -37.32% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.84) and -49.86% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.55). Across its 52-week range of $1.54 to $5.49, INDI sits at the 6.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 24.8 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.56 to $2.00).

INDI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is INDI's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, indie Semiconductor Inc. (Class A) (INDI)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is INDI stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for INDI, spanning a range between $1.56 and $2.

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