MARKET WIREReuters • 2h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
Why IMPP Stock advanced +0.59% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$5.08 +0.59% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.08
Imperial Petroleum Inc. (IMPP) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH
Cap $229.7M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.08 (-0.08%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 64/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk B-
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.8% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for IMPP)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (64/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY IMPP SCORES 64/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (23% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 56% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 48.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (20% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 2% FCF Margin ($80.8M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-9 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade B$5.42-10.7% Next Q
72
Q2 (-2Q)Grade B-$4.84+2.5% Next Q
69
Q3 (-1Q)Grade B-$4.96+2.4% Next Q
67
CurrentGrade C$5.08+1.1% Hist 90D α
64
Trajectory: B (72) → C (64)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the IMPP Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 64/100 (C) score, IMPP faces multiple-compression risk if 4.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($5.26) or 200D SMA ($4.73) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($5.22) toward Bear Floor ($4.07).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $IMPP• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “IMPP Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why IMPP Stock advanced +0.59% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Imperial Petroleum Inc. (IMPP) advanced +0.59% to $5.08, trading at 56% of its 52-week range ($3.15 – $6.57). Solid steady margins (6% return on capital), mixed timing at 5x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 56% of its 52-week range ($3.15 – $6.57) with RSI-14 at 48.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±7.2% around $5.08 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $80.8M annual free cash flow.
Live IMPP Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 4h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 4h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 5h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 8h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 8h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (IMPP Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
IMPP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +0.40%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $5.08H $5.11L $5.03C $5.08VOL 186.5K
RES: $6.26SUP: $4.80SMA50: $5.26SMA200: $4.73
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
IMPP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-15.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on IMPP today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for IMPP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for IMPP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (IMPP)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #308 of 1011
⚔️ SMHI vs IMPP Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (IMPP vs. SMHI, GASS, DSX, TORO)
Industry: Marine Transportation (67 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Imperial Petroleum Inc. (IMPP) ranks #308 by composite RQD confidence (64/100, grade C) and #677 by equity capitalization ($229.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, IMPP leads on earnings valuation at 4.6x trailing P/E, while GASS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 7.4% ROIC and — gross margin. GASS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with IMPP at 64/100 (C).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IMPP
ACTIVE
Imperial Petroleum Inc. | C | 64/100 | 4.6x | — | 6.0% | +0.59% | $229.7M | Benchmark Subject |
| SMHI SEACOR Marine Holdings Inc. | D | 48/100 | — | — | 2.2% | +10.08% | $266.9M | /smhi-vs-impp → |
| GASS StealthGas Inc. | B- | 70/100 | 5.1x | — | 7.4% | +2.10% | $307.9M | /gass-vs-impp → |
| DSX Diana Shipping inc. | C | 65/100 | 17.7x | — | 3.6% | +1.20% | $316.0M | /dsx-vs-impp → |
| TORO Toro Corp. | D- | 39/100 | 25.7x | — | -4.8% | -3.07% | $152.8M | /toro-vs-impp → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001876581In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Imperial Petroleum Inc. (IMPP) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $50.0M, operating cash flow of $80.8M, and free cash flow of $80.8M (+4.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, IMPP closed FY2025 with $547.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $0 | $50.0M | $80.8M | $80.8M | $547.4M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $0 | $50.2M | $77.7M | $77.7M | $449.5M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $0 | $71.1M | $79.5M | $79.5M | — | — |
3. IMPP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs IMPP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Imperial Petroleum Inc. (NASDAQ: IMPP) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $5.08 (+0.59% 1D, market cap $229.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, IMPP ranks #308 in composite RQD confidence.
How does IMPP compare to SMHI and GASS in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Marine Transportation), IMPP carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 4.6x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 6.0%. By comparison, SMHI (SEACOR Marine Holdings Inc.) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.2%, cap $266.9M) and GASS (StealthGas Inc.) posts a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 5.1x, ROIC 7.4%, cap $307.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, IMPP leads on earnings multiple (4.6x) while GASS leads on capital efficiency (7.4% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for IMPP?
Per IMPP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001876581), Imperial Petroleum Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $50.0M in net income, and $80.8M in free cash flow against $547.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is IMPP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
IMPP last traded at $5.08 (+0.59% on volume of 134,259 shares), positioning the stock -3.42% below its 50-day simple moving average ($5.26) and +7.40% above its 200-day simple moving average ($4.73). Across its 52-week range of $3.15 to $6.57, IMPP sits at the 56.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 48.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.2% ($4.71 to $5.45).
IMPP Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is IMPP stock moving today?
Why IMPP Stock advanced +0.59% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid steady margins (6% return on capital), mixed timing at 5x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.