Stock Ratings / Technology / IDN / forecast

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Intellicheck Inc. (IDN) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$2.32 -5.89% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.29

Intellicheck Inc. (IDN) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 53/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $46.9M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on IDN Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is IDN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Intellicheck Inc. (NASDAQ: IDN) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $2.32 (-5.89% 1D, market cap $46.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, IDN ranks #330 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does IDN compare to SKIL and MYPS in the Technology sector?

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Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), IDN carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 36.9x, gross margin of 90.4%, and ROIC of 7.8%. By comparison, SKIL (Skillsoft Corp. (Class A)) holds a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -15.8%, cap $48.7M) and MYPS (PLAYSTUDIOS Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -15.4%, cap $55.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, IDN leads on earnings multiple (36.9x) while IDN leads on capital efficiency (7.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for IDN?

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Per IDN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001040896), Intellicheck Inc. generated $22.7M in revenue (+13.3% YoY), $1.3M in net income, and $4.5M in free cash flow against $24.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.29 (-1.25%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 19.8% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for IDN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (53/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY IDN SCORES 53/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 19.8% FCF Margin ($4.5M FCF) & 90.4% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$2.28-6.1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$2.14+14% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$2.44-4.9% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$2.32-0.9% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (45) → D+ (53)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a IDN Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While IDN currently carries a cautious 53/100 (D+) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.47) and Max Pain ($2.44) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $9.53.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $IDN• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “IDN Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 53%NO 47%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your IDN Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $2.32: 4310.3 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $1.77

$7,629

$-2,371 (-23.7%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $2.27

$9,784

$-216 (-2.2%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $9.53

$41,078

+$31,078 (+310.8%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$2	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$9	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$2	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring IDN)

✓Walkthrough of IDN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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IDN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -70.96%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $2.50H $2.50L $2.27C $2.32VOL 277.7K

RES: $2.46SUP: $2.00SMA50: $2.47SMA200: $4.52

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

IDN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 IDN Butterfly Map → + Track IDN →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

28.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +13.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on IDN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for IDN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for IDN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (IDN)

Technology Rank #330 of 714 ⚔️ SKIL vs IDN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (IDN vs. SKIL, MYPS, ZDGE, MCHX)

Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Intellicheck Inc. (IDN) ranks #330 by composite RQD confidence (53/100, grade D+) and #565 by equity capitalization ($46.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, IDN leads on earnings valuation at 36.9x trailing P/E, while IDN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 7.8% ROIC and 90.4% gross margin. IDN currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 53/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
IDN ACTIVE Intellicheck Inc.	D+	53/100	36.9x	90.4%	7.8%	-5.89%	$46.9M	Benchmark Subject
SKIL Skillsoft Corp. (Class A)	E	34/100	—	73.7%	-15.8%	+2.10%	$48.7M	/skil-vs-idn →
MYPS PLAYSTUDIOS Inc. (Class A)	E	34/100	—	—	-15.4%	-3.16%	$55.3M	/myps-vs-idn →
ZDGE Zedge Inc. (Class B)	D-	35/100	—	96.0%	-35.0%	-4.94%	$38.8M	/zdge-vs-idn →
MCHX Marchex Inc. (Class B)	E	31/100	—	63.2%	-22.4%	+1.36%	$66.1M	/mchx-vs-idn →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001040896

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Intellicheck Inc. (IDN) reported GAAP revenue of $22.7M (+13.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $20.0M , and +19.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $1.3M, operating cash flow of $4.5M, and free cash flow of $4.5M (+263.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, IDN closed FY2025 with $24.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.39, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$22.7M	$1.3M	$4.5M	$4.5M	$24.5M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$20.0M	-$918.0K	-$2.7M	-$2.8M	$20.9M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$18.9M	-$2.0M	-$647.0K	-$647.0K	—	—

3. IDN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is IDN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does IDN compare to SKIL and MYPS in the Technology sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for IDN?

Where is IDN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

IDN last traded at $2.32 (-5.89% on volume of 285,607 shares), positioning the stock -6.07% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.47) and -48.67% below its 200-day simple moving average ($4.52). Across its 52-week range of $2.12 to $9.08, IDN sits at the 2.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 48.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.6% ($2.10 to $2.54).

IDN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is IDN's 12-month stock price target?

Intellicheck Inc. (IDN) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $2.27 (-2.2% from $2.32), with a bull-case target of $9.53 and a bear-case floor of $1.77.

Is IDN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates IDN D+ (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 53/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: IDN RQD Cockpit IDN 12M Forecast IDN Earnings & Move IDN Dividends & DRIP IDN Insiders & 13F IDN Whale Options IDN Profit Sankey IDN News & Why