Stock Ratings / Technology / ICHR / financials

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Ichor Holdings (ICHR) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$42.43 -1.51% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $42.23

Ichor Holdings (ICHR) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 46/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.59B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $42.23 (-0.46%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

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Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ICHR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (46/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY ICHR SCORES 46/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (30% of score)

Altman Z-Score 4.84 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 29% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 32.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$59.91-29.7% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$42.11-9.9% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$37.94+11.8% Next Q

Current

Grade D$42.43-6.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (54) → D (46)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ICHR Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ICHR currently carries a cautious 46/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($53.07) and Max Pain ($44.55) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $119.26.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ICHR• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “ICHR Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 46%NO 54%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How ICHR Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$0 (0% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $811.1M

FY24

Rev $849.0M

FY25

Rev $947.7M

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$947.7M	9.3%	-4.1%	-$52.8M	-$6.3M	-4.5%
FY 2024	$849.0M	12.2%	-0.9%	-$20.8M	$10.2M	-0.8%
FY 2023	$811.1M	9.3%	-1.3%	-$43.0M	$57.6M	-4.5%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ICHR)

✓Walkthrough of ICHR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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ICHR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -35.68%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $38.80H $42.43L $37.56C $42.43VOL 930.2K

RES: $61.19SUP: $34.73SMA50: $53.07SMA200: $60.87

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ICHR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ICHR Butterfly Map → + Track ICHR →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +11.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ICHR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ICHR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ICHR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ICHR)

Technology Rank #468 of 714 ⚔️ PLAB vs ICHR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (ICHR vs. PLAB, SEDG, WOLF, AMBQ)

Industry: Semiconductors (95 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ichor Holdings (ICHR) ranks #468 by composite RQD confidence (46/100, grade D) and #318 by equity capitalization ($1.59B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PLAB leads on earnings valuation at 12.6x trailing P/E, while PLAB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 24.6% ROIC and 35.3% gross margin. PLAB currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 65/100 (C) compared with ICHR at 46/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ICHR ACTIVE Ichor Holdings	D	46/100	—	9.3%	-4.5%	-1.51%	$1.59B	Benchmark Subject
PLAB Photronics Inc.	C	65/100	12.6x	35.3%	24.6%	-0.75%	$1.72B	/plab-vs-ichr →
SEDG SolarEdge Technologies Inc.	C-	59/100	—	16.6%	-35.0%	+3.54%	$1.88B	/sedg-vs-ichr →
WOLF Wolfspeed Inc.	D-	42/100	—	—	0.7%	-6.34%	$1.32B	/wolf-vs-ichr →
AMBQ Ambiq Micro Inc.	D-	38/100	—	44.3%	-35.0%	-1.93%	$1.30B	/ambq-vs-ichr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-26 • CIK 0001652535

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-26), Ichor Holdings (ICHR) reported GAAP revenue of $947.7M (+11.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $849.0M , and +16.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$52.8M, operating cash flow of $29.9M, and free cash flow of -$6.3M (-161.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, ICHR closed FY2025 with $942.9M in total assets against $117.3M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.84, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-26	$947.7M	-$52.8M	$29.9M	-$6.3M	$942.9M	$117.3M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-27	$849.0M	-$20.8M	$27.9M	$10.2M	$995.6M	$121.0M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-29	$811.1M	-$43.0M	$57.6M	$57.6M	—	—

3. ICHR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ICHR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Ichor Holdings (NASDAQ: ICHR) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $42.43 (-1.51% 1D, market cap $1.59B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, ICHR ranks #468 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ICHR compare to PLAB and SEDG in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), ICHR carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 9.3%, and ROIC of -4.5%. By comparison, PLAB (Photronics Inc.) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 12.6x, ROIC 24.6%, cap $1.72B) and SEDG (SolarEdge Technologies Inc.) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.88B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PLAB leads on earnings multiple (12.6x) while PLAB leads on capital efficiency (24.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ICHR?

Per ICHR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-26, CIK 0001652535), Ichor Holdings generated $947.7M in revenue (+11.6% YoY), -$52.8M in net income, and -$6.3M in free cash flow against $942.9M in total assets and $117.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ICHR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ICHR last traded at $42.43 (-1.51% on volume of 685,373 shares), positioning the stock -20.05% below its 50-day simple moving average ($53.07) and -30.29% below its 200-day simple moving average ($60.87). Across its 52-week range of $14.06 to $113.58, ICHR sits at the 28.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 32.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($37.13 to $47.73).

ICHR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is Ichor Holdings (ICHR)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), ICHR converted $947.7M of revenue into a 9.3% gross margin, 0% operating margin, and $0 in free cash flow (0% FCF margin).

Direct Sub-Reports: ICHR RQD Cockpit ICHR 12M Forecast ICHR Earnings & Move ICHR Dividends & DRIP ICHR Insiders & 13F ICHR Whale Options ICHR Profit Sankey ICHR News & Why