Stock Ratings / Technology / ICHR / earnings

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Ichor Holdings (ICHR) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$42.43 -1.51% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $42.23

Ichor Holdings (ICHR) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 46/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.59B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $42.23 (-0.46%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

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Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ICHR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (46/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY ICHR SCORES 46/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (30% of score)

Altman Z-Score 4.84 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 29% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 32.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$59.91-29.7% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$42.11-9.9% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$37.94+11.8% Next Q

Current

Grade D$42.43-6.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (54) → D (46)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ICHR Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ICHR currently carries a cautious 46/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($53.07) and Max Pain ($44.55) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $119.26.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ICHR• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “ICHR Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 46%NO 54%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 25, 2026 (~53 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$5.30 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

ICHR Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 46/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 11.6%

Model Bullish Setup (46/100)Model Risk Weight (54/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-26	$947.7M	-$52.8M	-$6.3M	9.3%
FY 2024	2024-12-27	$849.0M	-$20.8M	$10.2M	12.2%
FY 2023	2023-12-29	$811.1M	-$43.0M	$57.6M	9.3%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ICHR)

✓Walkthrough of ICHR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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ICHR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -35.68%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $38.80H $42.43L $37.56C $42.43VOL 930.2K

RES: $61.19SUP: $34.73SMA50: $53.07SMA200: $60.87

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ICHR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ICHR Butterfly Map → + Track ICHR →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +11.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ICHR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ICHR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ICHR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ICHR)

Technology Rank #468 of 714 ⚔️ PLAB vs ICHR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (ICHR vs. PLAB, SEDG, WOLF, AMBQ)

Industry: Semiconductors (95 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ichor Holdings (ICHR) ranks #468 by composite RQD confidence (46/100, grade D) and #318 by equity capitalization ($1.59B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PLAB leads on earnings valuation at 12.6x trailing P/E, while PLAB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 24.6% ROIC and 35.3% gross margin. PLAB currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 65/100 (C) compared with ICHR at 46/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ICHR ACTIVE Ichor Holdings	D	46/100	—	9.3%	-4.5%	-1.51%	$1.59B	Benchmark Subject
PLAB Photronics Inc.	C	65/100	12.6x	35.3%	24.6%	-0.75%	$1.72B	/plab-vs-ichr →
SEDG SolarEdge Technologies Inc.	C-	59/100	—	16.6%	-35.0%	+3.54%	$1.88B	/sedg-vs-ichr →
WOLF Wolfspeed Inc.	D-	42/100	—	—	0.7%	-6.34%	$1.32B	/wolf-vs-ichr →
AMBQ Ambiq Micro Inc.	D-	38/100	—	44.3%	-35.0%	-1.93%	$1.30B	/ambq-vs-ichr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-26 • CIK 0001652535

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-26), Ichor Holdings (ICHR) reported GAAP revenue of $947.7M (+11.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $849.0M , and +16.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$52.8M, operating cash flow of $29.9M, and free cash flow of -$6.3M (-161.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, ICHR closed FY2025 with $942.9M in total assets against $117.3M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.84, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-26	$947.7M	-$52.8M	$29.9M	-$6.3M	$942.9M	$117.3M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-27	$849.0M	-$20.8M	$27.9M	$10.2M	$995.6M	$121.0M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-29	$811.1M	-$43.0M	$57.6M	$57.6M	—	—

3. ICHR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ICHR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Ichor Holdings (NASDAQ: ICHR) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $42.43 (-1.51% 1D, market cap $1.59B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, ICHR ranks #468 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ICHR compare to PLAB and SEDG in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), ICHR carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 9.3%, and ROIC of -4.5%. By comparison, PLAB (Photronics Inc.) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 12.6x, ROIC 24.6%, cap $1.72B) and SEDG (SolarEdge Technologies Inc.) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.88B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PLAB leads on earnings multiple (12.6x) while PLAB leads on capital efficiency (24.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ICHR?

Per ICHR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-26, CIK 0001652535), Ichor Holdings generated $947.7M in revenue (+11.6% YoY), -$52.8M in net income, and -$6.3M in free cash flow against $942.9M in total assets and $117.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ICHR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ICHR last traded at $42.43 (-1.51% on volume of 685,373 shares), positioning the stock -20.05% below its 50-day simple moving average ($53.07) and -30.29% below its 200-day simple moving average ($60.87). Across its 52-week range of $14.06 to $113.58, ICHR sits at the 28.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 32.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($37.13 to $47.73).

ICHR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is ICHR's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Ichor Holdings (ICHR)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 25, 2026.

How much is ICHR stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for ICHR, spanning a range between $37.13 and $47.73.

Direct Sub-Reports: ICHR RQD Cockpit ICHR 12M Forecast ICHR Earnings & Move ICHR Dividends & DRIP ICHR Insiders & 13F ICHR Whale Options ICHR Profit Sankey ICHR News & Why