MARKET WIREReuters • 2h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
Why HYNE Stock advanced +1.44% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$18.98 +1.44% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $18.99
Hoyne Bancorp Inc. (HYNE) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 53/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID
Cap $153.7M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $18.99 (+0.07%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.3% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for HYNE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (53/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY HYNE SCORES 53/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (25% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (25% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 95% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 85.5 (OVERBOUGHT (>70))
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)
Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 13 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade D$16.79+0.2% Next Q
45
Q2 (-2Q)Grade D$16.83+4.7% Next Q
48
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C-$17.62+7.7% Next Q
50
CurrentGrade D+$18.98-0.9% Hist 90D α
53
Trajectory: D (45) → D+ (53)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a HYNE Turnaround Squeeze
While HYNE currently carries a cautious 53/100 (D+) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($16.87) and Max Pain ($19.93) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $21.89.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $HYNE• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “HYNE Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why HYNE Stock advanced +1.44% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Hoyne Bancorp Inc. (HYNE) advanced +1.44% to $18.98, trading at 95% of its 52-week range ($13.35 – $19.25). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (0% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 95% of its 52-week range ($13.35 – $19.25) with RSI-14 at 85.5 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±4.1% around $18.98 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $201986 annual free cash flow.
Live HYNE Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 4h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 5h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 6h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 8h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 8h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 9h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring HYNE)
- ✓Walkthrough of HYNE's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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HYNE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +21.51%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-10-30O $18.91H $19.21L $18.70C $18.98VOL 16.2K
RES: $16.76SUP: $16.92SMA50: $16.87SMA200: $15.88
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
HYNE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on HYNE today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for HYNE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for HYNE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (HYNE)
Financials Rank #749 of 1096
⚔️ SRBK vs HYNE Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (HYNE vs. SRBK, ECBK, WSBK, BSBK)
Industry: Banks (24 Tracked Issuers)Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Hoyne Bancorp Inc. (HYNE) ranks #749 by composite RQD confidence (53/100, grade D+) and #922 by equity capitalization ($153.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ECBK leads on earnings valuation at 24.0x trailing P/E, while ECBK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 4.5% ROIC and — gross margin. ECBK currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 68/100 (C+) compared with HYNE at 53/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HYNE
ACTIVE
Hoyne Bancorp Inc. | D+ | 53/100 | — | — | 0.1% | +1.44% | $153.7M | Benchmark Subject |
| SRBK SR Bancorp Inc. | D+ | 57/100 | 29.3x | — | 2.7% | +0.64% | $150.5M | /srbk-vs-hyne → |
| ECBK ECB Bancorp Inc. | C+ | 68/100 | 24.0x | — | 4.5% | +1.23% | $186.4M | /ecbk-vs-hyne → |
| WSBK Winchester Bancorp Inc. | D+ | 53/100 | — | — | -0.7% | +0.41% | $123.9M | /wsbk-vs-hyne → |
| BSBK Bogota Financial Corp. | D | 51/100 | 56.3x | — | 1.5% | -0.11% | $117.8M | /bsbk-vs-hyne → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2024–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002073153In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Hoyne Bancorp Inc. (HYNE) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $232.7K, operating cash flow of $1.2M, and free cash flow of $202.0K (+105.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, HYNE closed FY2025 with $489.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $0 | $232.7K | $1.2M | $202.0K | $489.4M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $0 | -$2.0M | -$2.8M | -$3.8M | $449.5M | — |
3. HYNE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs HYNE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Hoyne Bancorp Inc. (NASDAQ: HYNE) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $18.98 (+1.44% 1D, market cap $153.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, HYNE ranks #749 in composite RQD confidence.
How does HYNE compare to SRBK and ECBK in the Financials sector?
Within the Financials sector (Banks), HYNE carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 0.1%. By comparison, SRBK (SR Bancorp Inc.) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 29.3x, ROIC 2.7%, cap $150.5M) and ECBK (ECB Bancorp Inc.) posts a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 24.0x, ROIC 4.5%, cap $186.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ECBK leads on earnings multiple (24.0x) while ECBK leads on capital efficiency (4.5% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HYNE?
Per HYNE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002073153), Hoyne Bancorp Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $232.7K in net income, and $202.0K in free cash flow against $489.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is HYNE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
HYNE last traded at $18.98 (+1.44% on volume of 32,631 shares), positioning the stock +12.51% above its 50-day simple moving average ($16.87) and +19.52% above its 200-day simple moving average ($15.88). Across its 52-week range of $13.35 to $19.25, HYNE sits at the 95.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 85.5 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.1% ($18.20 to $19.76).
HYNE Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is HYNE stock moving today?
Why HYNE Stock advanced +1.44% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (0% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.