MARKET WIRECNBC • 2h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
Why HY Stock Traded Steady Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$29.34 0.00% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $29.28
Hyster-Yale Inc. (Class A) (HY) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 52/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID
Cap $526.1M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $29.28 (-0.19%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 0.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 52/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.7% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for HY)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (52/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY HY SCORES 52/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (25% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 20% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 36.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+11/20 pts (21% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0.6% FCF Margin ($23.6M FCF) & 16.8% Gross Margin
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)
Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C$32.34-9.7% Next Q
60
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C$29.21-1% Next Q
57
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C$28.92+1.5% Next Q
55
CurrentGrade D+$29.34-1.1% Hist 90D α
52
Trajectory: C (60) → D+ (52)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a HY Turnaround Squeeze
While HY currently carries a cautious 52/100 (D+) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (9/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($32.11) and Max Pain ($30.81) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $43.37.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $HY• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “HY Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why HY Stock Traded Steady Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Hyster-Yale Inc. (Class A) (HY) slipped 0.00% to $29.34, trading at 20% of its 52-week range ($26.41 – $41.3). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-4% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 20% of its 52-week range ($26.41 – $41.3) with RSI-14 at 36.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±9.1% around $29.34 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 16.8% gross margin and $23.6M annual free cash flow.
Live HY Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 3h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 4h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 7h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
German ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt - ReutersGerman ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring HY)
- ✓Walkthrough of HY's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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HY // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -25.67%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $28.90H $29.34L $28.45C $29.34VOL 150.2K
RES: $41.60SUP: $26.57SMA50: $32.11SMA200: $34.37
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
HY Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -12.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on HY today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for HY. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for HY today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (HY)
Industrials Rank #275 of 485
⚔️ WNC vs HY Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (HY vs. WNC, CMCO, MTW, ASTE)
Industry: Construction/Ag Equipment/Trucks (14 Tracked Issuers)Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Hyster-Yale Inc. (Class A) (HY) ranks #275 by composite RQD confidence (52/100, grade D+) and #294 by equity capitalization ($526.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ASTE leads on earnings valuation at 23.7x trailing P/E, while WNC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 31.2% ROIC and — gross margin. ASTE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 62/100 (C) compared with HY at 52/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HY
ACTIVE
Hyster-Yale Inc. (Class A) | D+ | 52/100 | — | 16.8% | -3.7% | 0.00% | $526.1M | Benchmark Subject |
| WNC Wabash National Corporation | D+ | 53/100 | — | — | 31.2% | -4.05% | $540.2M | /wnc-vs-hy → |
| CMCO Columbus McKinnon Corporation | D- | 42/100 | — | 30.1% | -10.6% | +1.26% | $440.2M | /cmco-vs-hy → |
| MTW Manitowoc Company Inc. | D- | 41/100 | 119.2x | 18.1% | 6.9% | +2.81% | $858.3M | /mtw-vs-hy → |
| ASTE Astec Industries Inc. | C | 62/100 | 23.7x | 26.5% | 5.6% | +2.41% | $918.9M | /aste-vs-hy → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001173514In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Hyster-Yale Inc. (Class A) (HY) reported GAAP revenue of $3.77B (-12.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.31B , and -8.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$60.1M, operating cash flow of $86.1M, and free cash flow of $23.6M (-80.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, HY closed FY2025 with $2.02B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.44, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $3.77B | -$60.1M | $86.1M | $23.6M | $2.02B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $4.31B | $142.3M | $170.7M | $122.9M | $2.03B | $241.9M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $4.12B | $125.9M | $150.7M | $150.7M | — | — |
3. HY Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs HY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Hyster-Yale Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: HY) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 52/100 at a spot price of $29.34 (0.00% 1D, market cap $526.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, HY ranks #275 in composite RQD confidence.
How does HY compare to WNC and CMCO in the Industrials sector?
Within the Industrials sector (Construction/Ag Equipment/Trucks), HY carries a Roarable D+ (52/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 16.8%, and ROIC of -3.7%. By comparison, WNC (Wabash National Corporation) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 31.2%, cap $540.2M) and CMCO (Columbus McKinnon Corporation) posts a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -10.6%, cap $440.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ASTE leads on earnings multiple (23.7x) while WNC leads on capital efficiency (31.2% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HY?
Per HY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001173514), Hyster-Yale Inc. (Class A) generated $3.77B in revenue (-12.5% YoY), -$60.1M in net income, and $23.6M in free cash flow against $2.02B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is HY trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
HY last traded at $29.34 (0.00% on volume of 111,909 shares), positioning the stock -8.63% below its 50-day simple moving average ($32.11) and -14.63% below its 200-day simple moving average ($34.37). Across its 52-week range of $26.41 to $41.30, HY sits at the 19.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 36.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.1% ($26.67 to $32.01).
HY Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is HY stock moving today?
Why HY Stock Traded Steady Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-4% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.