MARKET WIRECNBC • 2h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
Why HUBG Stock advanced +1.56% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$26.68 +1.56% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $26.70
Hub Group Inc. (Class A) (HUBG) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID
Cap $1.63B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $26.70 (+0.09%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 1.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.6% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for HUBG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (50/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY HUBG SCORES 50/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (26% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (20% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 1.1% FCF Margin ($45.7M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade D$25.76+2.6% Next Q
42
Q2 (-2Q)Grade D$26.43-2.8% Next Q
45
Q3 (-1Q)Grade D$25.70+3.8% Next Q
47
CurrentGrade D$26.68-1.4% Hist 90D α
50
Trajectory: D (42) → D (50)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a HUBG Turnaround Squeeze
While HUBG currently carries a cautious 50/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($31.50) and Max Pain ($28.01) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $55.92.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $HUBG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “HUBG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why HUBG Stock advanced +1.56% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Hub Group Inc. (Class A) (HUBG) advanced +1.56% to $26.68, trading at 6% of its 52-week range ($24.98 – $53.26). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 6% of its 52-week range ($24.98 – $53.26) with RSI-14 at 41.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±9.7% around $26.68 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $45.7M annual free cash flow.
Live HUBG Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 3h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 4h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 7h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
German ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt - ReutersGerman ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring HUBG)
- ✓Walkthrough of HUBG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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HUBG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -39.13%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $26.72H $27.12L $26.51C $26.68VOL 718.4K
SUP: $24.52SMA50: $31.50SMA200: $39.98
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
HUBG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on HUBG today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for HUBG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for HUBG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (HUBG)
Industrials Rank #299 of 485
⚔️ BCO vs HUBG Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (HUBG vs. BCO, FWRD, RLGT, CHRW)
Industry: Integrated Freight & Logistics (16 Tracked Issuers)Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Hub Group Inc. (Class A) (HUBG) ranks #299 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #224 by equity capitalization ($1.63B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BCO leads on earnings valuation at 21.1x trailing P/E, while CHRW leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 22.6% ROIC and — gross margin. CHRW currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 68/100 (C+) compared with HUBG at 50/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HUBG
ACTIVE
Hub Group Inc. (Class A) | D | 50/100 | — | — | — | +1.56% | $1.63B | Benchmark Subject |
| BCO Brinks Company | D | 46/100 | 21.1x | 25.8% | 19.6% | +2.00% | $4.21B | /bco-vs-hubg → |
| FWRD Forward Air Corporation | E | 23/100 | — | — | 1.7% | +1.88% | $603.7M | /fwrd-vs-hubg → |
| RLGT Radiant Logistics Inc. | D+ | 53/100 | 24.7x | — | 8.4% | +0.44% | $426.6M | /rlgt-vs-hubg → |
| CHRW C.H. Robinson Worldwide Inc. | C+ | 68/100 | 25.4x | — | 22.6% | -0.13% | $14.89B | /chrw-vs-hubg → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0000940942In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), Hub Group Inc. (Class A) (HUBG) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (-100.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.95B , and -100.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, HUBG closed FY2025 with $2.90B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: N/A).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-09-30 | $0 | $0 | — | — | $2.90B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $3.95B | $104.0M | $194.4M | $143.6M | $2.87B | $164.4M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $4.20B | $167.5M | $422.2M | $422.2M | — | — |
3. HUBG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs HUBG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Hub Group Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: HUBG) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $26.68 (+1.56% 1D, market cap $1.63B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, HUBG ranks #299 in composite RQD confidence.
How does HUBG compare to BCO and FWRD in the Industrials sector?
Within the Industrials sector (Integrated Freight & Logistics), HUBG carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, BCO (Brinks Company) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E 21.1x, ROIC 19.6%, cap $4.21B) and FWRD (Forward Air Corporation) posts a E grade (23/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 1.7%, cap $603.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BCO leads on earnings multiple (21.1x) while CHRW leads on capital efficiency (22.6% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HUBG?
Per HUBG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0000940942), Hub Group Inc. (Class A) generated $0 in revenue (-100.0% YoY), $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $2.90B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is HUBG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
HUBG last traded at $26.68 (+1.56% on volume of 700,053 shares), positioning the stock -15.30% below its 50-day simple moving average ($31.50) and -33.27% below its 200-day simple moving average ($39.98). Across its 52-week range of $24.98 to $53.26, HUBG sits at the 6.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.7% ($24.09 to $29.27).
HUBG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is HUBG stock moving today?
Why HUBG Stock advanced +1.56% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.