Hub Group Inc. (Class A) (HUBG) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$26.68 +1.56% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $26.70

Hub Group Inc. (Class A) (HUBG) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.63B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $26.70 (+0.09%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 1.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510050
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+
Cash (10)Whales (8)SEC (13)Macro (10)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.6% Base Target
$56 Bull$26 Base$20 Bear
📬 FREE HUBG RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for HUBG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (50/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY HUBG SCORES 50/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (20% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 1.1% FCF Margin ($45.7M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
42
Grade D$25.76+2.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
45
Grade D$26.43-2.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
47
Grade D$25.70+3.8% Next Q
Current
50
Grade D$26.68-1.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (42) → D (50)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a HUBG Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While HUBG currently carries a cautious 50/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($31.50) and Max Pain ($28.01) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $55.92.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $HUBG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “HUBG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
41.230 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)
7 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE6% OF RANGE
L: $25$26.68H: $53
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: DRQD 10 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 17 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 23 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on HUBG

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (50)

14.0% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (45)

17/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 10/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like HUBG
  • ✓Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring HUBG)

  • ✓Walkthrough of HUBG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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HUBG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -39.13%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $26.72H $27.12L $26.51C $26.68VOL 718.4K
SUP: $24.52SMA50: $31.50SMA200: $39.98
$53.48$45.76$38.03$30.31$22.58SUP $24.52$26.682026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

HUBG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on HUBG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for HUBG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for HUBG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (HUBG)

Industrials Rank #299 of 485 ⚔️ BCO vs HUBG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (HUBG vs. BCO, FWRD, RLGT, CHRW)

Industry: Integrated Freight & Logistics (16 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Hub Group Inc. (Class A) (HUBG) ranks #299 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #224 by equity capitalization ($1.63B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BCO leads on earnings valuation at 21.1x trailing P/E, while CHRW leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 22.6% ROIC and — gross margin. CHRW currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 68/100 (C+) compared with HUBG at 50/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
HUBG ACTIVE
Hub Group Inc. (Class A)
D 50/100 — — — +1.56% $1.63B Benchmark Subject
BCO
Brinks Company
D 46/100 21.1x 25.8% 19.6% +2.00% $4.21B /bco-vs-hubg →
FWRD
Forward Air Corporation
E 23/100 — — 1.7% +1.88% $603.7M /fwrd-vs-hubg →
RLGT
Radiant Logistics Inc.
D+ 53/100 24.7x — 8.4% +0.44% $426.6M /rlgt-vs-hubg →
CHRW
C.H. Robinson Worldwide Inc.
C+ 68/100 25.4x — 22.6% -0.13% $14.89B /chrw-vs-hubg →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0000940942

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), Hub Group Inc. (Class A) (HUBG) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (-100.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.95B , and -100.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, HUBG closed FY2025 with $2.90B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: N/A).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-09-30 $0 $0 — — $2.90B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $3.95B $104.0M $194.4M $143.6M $2.87B $164.4M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $4.20B $167.5M $422.2M $422.2M — —

3. HUBG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is HUBG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Hub Group Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: HUBG) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $26.68 (+1.56% 1D, market cap $1.63B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, HUBG ranks #299 in composite RQD confidence.

How does HUBG compare to BCO and FWRD in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Integrated Freight & Logistics), HUBG carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, BCO (Brinks Company) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E 21.1x, ROIC 19.6%, cap $4.21B) and FWRD (Forward Air Corporation) posts a E grade (23/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 1.7%, cap $603.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BCO leads on earnings multiple (21.1x) while CHRW leads on capital efficiency (22.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HUBG?

Per HUBG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0000940942), Hub Group Inc. (Class A) generated $0 in revenue (-100.0% YoY), $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $2.90B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is HUBG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

HUBG last traded at $26.68 (+1.56% on volume of 700,053 shares), positioning the stock -15.30% below its 50-day simple moving average ($31.50) and -33.27% below its 200-day simple moving average ($39.98). Across its 52-week range of $24.98 to $53.26, HUBG sits at the 6.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.7% ($24.09 to $29.27).

HUBG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell HUBG stock right now?

Hub Group Inc. (Class A) (HUBG) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D (Sell — SELL) with 50/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is HUBG's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

HUBG's 12-month base price target is $25.72 (range $20.06 to $55.92), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

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