Stock Ratings / Industrials / HOVR / financials

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New Horizon Aircraft Ltd. Class A Ordinary Share (HOVR) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

Q: How profitable is New Horizon Aircraft Ltd. Class A Ordinary Share (HOVR)?

In FY 2023 (10-K), HOVR converted $4.0B of revenue into a 52% gross margin, 0% operating margin, and $0 in free cash flow (0% FCF margin).

$1.27 -2.31% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.26

New Horizon Aircraft Ltd. Class A Ordinary Share (HOVR) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 39/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (39/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $85.2M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on HOVR Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is HOVR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-01, New Horizon Aircraft Ltd. Class A Ordinary Share (NASDAQ: HOVR) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $1.27 (-2.31% 1D, market cap $85.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, HOVR ranks #385 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does HOVR compare to EVTL and SIF in the Industrials sector?

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Within the Industrials sector (Aerospace), HOVR carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 9.9x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, EVTL (Vertical Aerospace Ltd.) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $73.4M) and SIF (SIFCO Industries Inc.) posts a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.4%, cap $132.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, HOVR leads on earnings multiple (9.9x) while SIF leads on capital efficiency (0.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HOVR?

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Per HOVR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2023, filed 2023-12-31, CIK 0001930021), New Horizon Aircraft Ltd. Class A Ordinary Share generated $0 in revenue, $8.6M in net income, and -$2.1M in free cash flow against $0 in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.26 (-0.61%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (39/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.7% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for HOVR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.3%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (39/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY HOVR SCORES 39/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 1/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+8/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2023 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$1.55-11% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$1.38-7.2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$1.28-0.8% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$1.27-7.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (47) → D- (39)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a HOVR Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While HOVR currently carries a cautious 39/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.58) and Max Pain ($1.33) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $3.86.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $HOVR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “HOVR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 27, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 39%NO 61%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2023 (10-K)

How HOVR Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$0 (0% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $4.00B

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2023	$4.00B	52%	0%	$8.6M	-$2.1M	15%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring HOVR)

✓Walkthrough of HOVR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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HOVR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -43.81%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $1.24H $1.27L $1.16C $1.27VOL 753.1K

RES: $1.50SUP: $0.33SMA50: $1.58SMA200: $1.88

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

HOVR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 HOVR Butterfly Map → + Track HOVR →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-1.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on HOVR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for HOVR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for HOVR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (HOVR)

Industrials Rank #385 of 485 ⚔️ EVTL vs HOVR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (HOVR vs. EVTL, SIF, DPRO, MOB)

Industry: Aerospace (31 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, New Horizon Aircraft Ltd. Class A Ordinary Share (HOVR) ranks #385 by composite RQD confidence (39/100, grade D-) and #380 by equity capitalization ($85.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, HOVR leads on earnings valuation at 9.9x trailing P/E, while SIF leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 0.4% ROIC and 12.5% gross margin. DPRO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 60/100 (C-) compared with HOVR at 39/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
HOVR ACTIVE New Horizon Aircraft Ltd. Class A Ordinary Share	D-	39/100	9.9x	—	—	-2.31%	$85.2M	Benchmark Subject
EVTL Vertical Aerospace Ltd.	C-	59/100	—	—	—	+3.44%	$73.4M	/evtl-vs-hovr →
SIF SIFCO Industries Inc.	D-	35/100	—	12.5%	0.4%	+0.95%	$132.5M	/sif-vs-hovr →
DPRO Draganfly Inc.	C-	60/100	—	—	—	+1.10%	$143.4M	/dpro-vs-hovr →
MOB Mobilicom Limited	D	50/100	—	—	—	-2.94%	$42.5M	/mob-vs-hovr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2023)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2023-12-31 • CIK 0001930021

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2023, filed 2023-12-31), New Horizon Aircraft Ltd. Class A Ordinary Share (HOVR) reported GAAP revenue of $0 , GAAP net income of $8.6M, operating cash flow of -$2.1M, and free cash flow of -$2.1M . On the balance sheet, HOVR closed FY2023 with $0 in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$0	$8.6M	-$2.1M	-$2.1M	—	—

3. HOVR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is HOVR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does HOVR compare to EVTL and SIF in the Industrials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HOVR?

Where is HOVR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

HOVR last traded at $1.27 (-2.31% on volume of 483,776 shares), positioning the stock -19.62% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.58) and -32.45% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.88). Across its 52-week range of $1.16 to $3.68, HOVR sits at the 4.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 21.6 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.3% ($1.13 to $1.41).