Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / HOUR / financials

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Hour Loop Inc. (HOUR) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$1.58 +0.64% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.58

Hour Loop Inc. (HOUR) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 68/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 68/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $55.6M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.58 (-0.07%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 18/20 (A) • 1.8% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 68/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B- · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for HOUR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (68/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY HOUR SCORES 68/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+18/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 1.8% FCF Margin ($2.5M FCF) & 52.4% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 8.68 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B+$1.79-1.1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B$1.77-7.3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B$1.64-3.7% Next Q

Current

Grade C+$1.58+1.8% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B+ (76) → C+ (68)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the HOUR Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 68/100 (C+) score, HOUR faces multiple-compression risk if 32.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.9% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($1.77) or 200D SMA ($1.90) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($1.65) toward Bear Floor ($1.29).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $HOUR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “HOUR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 68%NO 32%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How HOUR Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$2.5M (1.8% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $132.1M

FY24

Rev $138.3M

FY25

Rev $142.4M

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$142.4M	52.4%	1.7%	$1.7M	$2.5M	27.8%
FY 2024	$138.3M	52.1%	0.5%	$657.4K	$277.1K	11.2%
FY 2023	$132.1M	52.4%	-2.3%	-$2.4M	-$2.1M	27.8%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring HOUR)

✓Walkthrough of HOUR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

HOUR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -20.20%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-10-30O $1.63H $1.63L $1.50C $1.58VOL 4.2K

RES: $2.06SUP: $1.45SMA50: $1.77SMA200: $1.90

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

HOUR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 HOUR Butterfly Map → + Track HOUR →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

25.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +3.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on HOUR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for HOUR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for HOUR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (HOUR)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #227 of 1011 ⚔️ LITB vs HOUR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (HOUR vs. LITB, GROV, LVLU, GIFT)

Industry: Catalog/Specialty Distribution (29 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Hour Loop Inc. (HOUR) ranks #227 by composite RQD confidence (68/100, grade C+) and #807 by equity capitalization ($55.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LITB leads on earnings valuation at 6.7x trailing P/E, while LITB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 65.0% gross margin. HOUR currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 68/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
HOUR ACTIVE Hour Loop Inc.	C+	68/100	32.6x	52.4%	27.8%	+0.64%	$55.6M	Benchmark Subject
LITB LightInTheBox Holding Co. Ltd. each representing twelve	D	51/100	6.7x	65.0%	85.0%	-2.61%	$55.2M	/litb-vs-hour →
GROV Grove Collaborative Holdings Inc. (Class A)	E	30/100	—	53.7%	-35.0%	0.00%	$45.7M	/grov-vs-hour →
LVLU Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc.	E	33/100	—	43.2%	-35.0%	-2.96%	$30.1M	/lvlu-vs-hour →
GIFT Giftify Inc.	D-	36/100	—	18.6%	-35.0%	+11.05%	$26.4M	/gift-vs-hour →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001874875

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Hour Loop Inc. (HOUR) reported GAAP revenue of $142.4M (+3.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $138.3M , and +7.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $1.7M, operating cash flow of $2.6M, and free cash flow of $2.5M (+803.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, HOUR closed FY2025 with $23.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 8.68, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$142.4M	$1.7M	$2.6M	$2.5M	$23.8M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$138.3M	$657.4K	$313.1K	$277.1K	$20.0M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$132.1M	-$2.4M	-$2.1M	-$2.1M	—	—

3. HOUR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is HOUR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Hour Loop Inc. (NASDAQ: HOUR) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $1.58 (+0.64% 1D, market cap $55.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 18/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, HOUR ranks #227 in composite RQD confidence.

How does HOUR compare to LITB and GROV in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Catalog/Specialty Distribution), HOUR carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.6x, gross margin of 52.4%, and ROIC of 27.8%. By comparison, LITB (LightInTheBox Holding Co. Ltd. each representing twelve) holds a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E 6.7x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $55.2M) and GROV (Grove Collaborative Holdings Inc. (Class A)) posts a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $45.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LITB leads on earnings multiple (6.7x) while LITB leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HOUR?

Per HOUR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001874875), Hour Loop Inc. generated $142.4M in revenue (+3.0% YoY), $1.7M in net income, and $2.5M in free cash flow against $23.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (52% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is HOUR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

HOUR last traded at $1.58 (+0.64% on volume of 5,167 shares), positioning the stock -10.73% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.77) and -16.84% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.90). Across its 52-week range of $1.49 to $3.18, HOUR sits at the 5.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.38 to $1.78).

HOUR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is Hour Loop Inc. (HOUR)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), HOUR converted $142.4M of revenue into a 52.4% gross margin, 1.7% operating margin, and $2.5M in free cash flow (1.8% FCF margin).

Direct Sub-Reports: HOUR RQD Cockpit HOUR 12M Forecast HOUR Earnings & Move HOUR Dividends & DRIP HOUR Insiders & 13F HOUR Whale Options HOUR Profit Sankey HOUR News & Why