Stock Ratings / Financials / HOPE / earnings

OCFC (65) TCBK (65) BY (61) CNOB (61) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Hope Bancorp Inc. (HOPE) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±4.7% Move

$13.58 -2.16% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $13.50

Hope Bancorp Inc. (HOPE) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 56/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 56/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.73B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $13.50 (-0.58%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 3.8% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 56/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for HOPE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.7%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (56/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY HOPE SCORES 56/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 3.8% FCF Margin ($151.5M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$13.28+1.1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$13.43+4.8% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$14.07-3.5% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$13.58-0.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (48) → D+ (56)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the HOPE Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 56/100 (D+) score, HOPE faces multiple-compression risk if 28.0x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($13.73) or 200D SMA ($12.83) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($13.46) toward Bear Floor ($10.50).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $HOPE• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “HOPE Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 56%NO 44%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±4.7% Swing Band

±$0.64 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

HOPE Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 56/100

Trailing EPS: $0.49 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (56/100)Model Risk Weight (44/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$0	$62.0M	$151.5M	52%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$0	$100.0M	$106.9M	52%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$0	$134.0M	$473.8M	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring HOPE)

✓Walkthrough of HOPE's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

HOPE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +9.08%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $13.48H $13.58L $13.17C $13.58VOL 2.00M

RES: $14.29SUP: $13.04SMA50: $13.73SMA200: $12.83

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

HOPE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 HOPE Butterfly Map → + Track HOPE →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

21.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on HOPE today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for HOPE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for HOPE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (HOPE)

Financials Rank #676 of 1096 ⚔️ OCFC vs HOPE Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (HOPE vs. OCFC, TCBK, BY, CNOB)

Industry: Major Banks (248 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Hope Bancorp Inc. (HOPE) ranks #676 by composite RQD confidence (56/100, grade D+) and #455 by equity capitalization ($1.73B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BY leads on earnings valuation at 13.5x trailing P/E, while BY leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 10.3% ROIC and — gross margin. OCFC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 65/100 (C) compared with HOPE at 56/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
HOPE ACTIVE Hope Bancorp Inc.	D+	56/100	28.0x	—	2.7%	-2.16%	$1.73B	Benchmark Subject
OCFC OceanFirst Financial Corp.	C	65/100	26.1x	—	4.0%	+0.74%	$1.75B	/ocfc-vs-hope →
TCBK TriCo Bancshares	C	65/100	14.1x	—	9.2%	+0.87%	$1.71B	/tcbk-vs-hope →
BY Byline Bancorp Inc.	C-	61/100	13.5x	—	10.3%	+0.75%	$1.76B	/by-vs-hope →
CNOB ConnectOne Bancorp Inc.	C-	61/100	22.0x	—	5.1%	+0.12%	$1.77B	/cnob-vs-hope →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001128361

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Hope Bancorp Inc. (HOPE) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $62.0M, operating cash flow of $164.5M, and free cash flow of $151.5M (+41.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, HOPE closed FY2025 with $18.53B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	$62.0M	$164.5M	$151.5M	$18.53B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$0	$100.0M	$116.7M	$106.9M	$17.05B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$0	$134.0M	$473.8M	$473.8M	—	—

3. HOPE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is HOPE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Hope Bancorp Inc. (NASDAQ: HOPE) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $13.58 (-2.16% 1D, market cap $1.73B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, HOPE ranks #676 in composite RQD confidence.

How does HOPE compare to OCFC and TCBK in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Major Banks), HOPE carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 28.0x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 2.7%. By comparison, OCFC (OceanFirst Financial Corp.) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 26.1x, ROIC 4.0%, cap $1.75B) and TCBK (TriCo Bancshares) posts a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 14.1x, ROIC 9.2%, cap $1.71B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BY leads on earnings multiple (13.5x) while BY leads on capital efficiency (10.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HOPE?

Per HOPE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001128361), Hope Bancorp Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $62.0M in net income, and $151.5M in free cash flow against $18.53B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is HOPE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

HOPE last traded at $13.58 (-2.16% on volume of 2,642,771 shares), positioning the stock -1.09% below its 50-day simple moving average ($13.73) and +5.85% above its 200-day simple moving average ($12.83). Across its 52-week range of $9.80 to $14.59, HOPE sits at the 78.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 38.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.7% ($12.94 to $14.22).