BY (61) CNOB (61) HOPE (56) FSUN (60) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

OceanFirst Financial Corp. (OCFC) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$17.81 +0.74% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $17.80

OceanFirst Financial Corp. (OCFC) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 65/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.75B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $17.80 (-0.06%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 65/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk B-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.1% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for OCFC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (65/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY OCFC SCORES 65/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (23% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 44% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 66 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (20% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 9 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$16.08-1.6% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$15.83+5.6% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$16.71+6.6% Next Q

Current

Grade C$17.81+1.3% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (57) → C (65)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the OCFC Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 65/100 (C) score, OCFC faces multiple-compression risk if 26.1x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($17.49) or 200D SMA ($18.47) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($18.37) toward Bear Floor ($14.33).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $OCFC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “OCFC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 65%NO 35%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM

6630 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)

4 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE44% OF RANGE

L: $16$17.81H: $21

1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 11 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: CRQD 26 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● ALL CLEAR

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

Clean SEC fine-print check with low hidden accounting risk and favorable interest-rate weather.

Factor Grade: B-RQD 28 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on OCFC

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

NEUTRAL (55)

4.0% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 4.53% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 4/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BULLISH (68)

26/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 15/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like OCFC

✓Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (OCFC Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

OCFC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -6.61%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $17.90H $17.99L $17.78C $17.81VOL 1.57M

RES: $21.81SUP: $15.44SMA50: $17.49SMA200: $18.47

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

OCFC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 OCFC Butterfly Map → + Track OCFC →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

19.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OCFC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OCFC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for OCFC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OCFC)

Financials Rank #318 of 1096 ⚔️ BY vs OCFC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (OCFC vs. BY, CNOB, HOPE, FSUN)

Industry: Major Banks (248 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, OceanFirst Financial Corp. (OCFC) ranks #318 by composite RQD confidence (65/100, grade C) and #453 by equity capitalization ($1.75B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BY leads on earnings valuation at 13.5x trailing P/E, while BY leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 10.3% ROIC and — gross margin. OCFC currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 65/100 (C).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
OCFC ACTIVE OceanFirst Financial Corp.	C	65/100	26.1x	—	4.0%	+0.74%	$1.75B	Benchmark Subject
BY Byline Bancorp Inc.	C-	61/100	13.5x	—	10.3%	+0.75%	$1.76B	/by-vs-ocfc →
CNOB ConnectOne Bancorp Inc.	C-	61/100	22.0x	—	5.1%	+0.12%	$1.77B	/cnob-vs-ocfc →
HOPE Hope Bancorp Inc.	D+	56/100	28.0x	—	2.7%	-2.16%	$1.73B	/hope-vs-ocfc →
FSUN FirstSun Capital Bancorp	C-	60/100	18.3x	—	8.5%	+0.69%	$1.79B	/fsun-vs-ocfc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001004702

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), OceanFirst Financial Corp. (OCFC) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $67.1M, operating cash flow of $87.2M, and free cash flow of $79.5M (-6.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, OCFC closed FY2025 with $14.56B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	$67.1M	$87.2M	$79.5M	$14.56B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$0	$96.0M	$92.2M	$84.7M	$13.42B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$0	$100.0M	$124.3M	$124.3M	—	—

3. OCFC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is OCFC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, OceanFirst Financial Corp. (NASDAQ: OCFC) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $17.81 (+0.74% 1D, market cap $1.75B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, OCFC ranks #318 in composite RQD confidence.

How does OCFC compare to BY and CNOB in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Major Banks), OCFC carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 26.1x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 4.0%. By comparison, BY (Byline Bancorp Inc.) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 13.5x, ROIC 10.3%, cap $1.76B) and CNOB (ConnectOne Bancorp Inc.) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 22.0x, ROIC 5.1%, cap $1.77B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BY leads on earnings multiple (13.5x) while BY leads on capital efficiency (10.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OCFC?

Per OCFC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001004702), OceanFirst Financial Corp. generated $0 in revenue, $67.1M in net income, and $79.5M in free cash flow against $14.56B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is OCFC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

OCFC last traded at $17.81 (+0.74% on volume of 1,337,650 shares), positioning the stock +1.83% above its 50-day simple moving average ($17.49) and -3.57% below its 200-day simple moving average ($18.47). Across its 52-week range of $15.60 to $20.61, OCFC sits at the 44.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 66.0 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.0% ($16.92 to $18.70).

OCFC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell OCFC stock right now?

OceanFirst Financial Corp. (OCFC) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C (Hold — HOLD) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. Solid steady margins (4% return on capital), mixed timing at 26x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is OCFC's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

OCFC's 12-month base price target is $18.37 (range $14.33 to $21.68), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: OCFC RQD Cockpit OCFC 12M Forecast OCFC Earnings & Move OCFC Dividends & DRIP OCFC Insiders & 13F OCFC Whale Options OCFC Profit Sankey OCFC News & Why