MARKET WIRECNBC • 3h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
Why HNI Stock surged +2.20% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$47.91 +2.20% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $48.01
HNI Corporation (HNI) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 62/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH
Cap $3.46B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $48.01 (+0.21%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 9.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 62/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk C-
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.8% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for HNI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (62/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY HNI SCORES 62/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (24% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 80% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 60 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+14/20 pts (23% of score)
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 70% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)
Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 11 pts from forensic ceiling
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C-$46.86+0% Next Q
54
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C$46.86+1.5% Next Q
57
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C$47.57+0.7% Next Q
59
CurrentGrade C$47.91+0.7% Hist 90D α
62
Trajectory: C- (54) → C (62)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the HNI Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 62/100 (C) score, HNI faces multiple-compression risk if 63.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Priced at 64x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($47.36) or 200D SMA ($41.88) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($48.77) toward Bear Floor ($38.04).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $HNI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “HNI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 2, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why HNI Stock surged +2.20% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
HNI Corporation (HNI) surged +2.20% to $47.91, trading at 80% of its 52-week range ($28.93 – $52.79). Solid 41% profit margin (3% return on capital), mixed timing at 64x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 80% of its 52-week range ($28.93 – $52.79) with RSI-14 at 60 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±6.3% around $47.91 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C (Hold) backed by 41.4% gross margin and $276.3M annual free cash flow.
Live HNI Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 3h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 4h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 7h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
German ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt - ReutersGerman ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (HNI Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
HNI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +31.12%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $48.11H $49.19L $47.91C $47.91VOL 623.7K
RES: $47.96SUP: $44.37SMA50: $47.36SMA200: $41.88
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
HNI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
43.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +12.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on HNI today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for HNI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for HNI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (HNI)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #352 of 1011
⚔️ MLKN vs HNI Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (HNI vs. MLKN, EBF, BTOC, ILAG)
Industry: Office Equipment/Supplies/Services (13 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, HNI Corporation (HNI) ranks #352 by composite RQD confidence (62/100, grade C) and #338 by equity capitalization ($3.46B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, EBF leads on earnings valuation at 12.9x trailing P/E, while EBF leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.2% ROIC and 30.7% gross margin. MLKN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 71/100 (B-) compared with HNI at 62/100 (C).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HNI
ACTIVE
HNI Corporation | C | 62/100 | 63.8x | 41.4% | 3.4% | +2.20% | $3.46B | Benchmark Subject |
| MLKN MillerKnoll Inc. | B- | 71/100 | 16.0x | 38.8% | 14.0% | +2.85% | $1.47B | /mlkn-vs-hni → |
| EBF Ennis Inc. | C+ | 68/100 | 12.9x | 30.7% | 15.2% | -2.11% | $550.9M | /ebf-vs-hni → |
| BTOC Armlogi Holding Corp. | E | 33/100 | — | -1.6% | -35.0% | +0.47% | $6.0M | /btoc-vs-hni → |
| ILAG Intelligent Living Application Group Inc. | E | 28/100 | — | 2.9% | -35.0% | -14.63% | $4.4M | /ilag-vs-hni → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-03 • CIK 0000048287In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-03), HNI Corporation (HNI) reported GAAP revenue of $2.84B (+12.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.53B , and +16.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $54.2M, operating cash flow of $276.3M, and free cash flow of $276.3M (+21.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, HNI closed FY2025 with $4.88B in total assets against $1.28B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.58, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2026-01-03 | $2.84B | $54.2M | $276.3M | $276.3M | $4.88B | $1.28B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-28 | $2.53B | $139.5M | $226.7M | $226.7M | $1.88B | $294.3M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-30 | $2.43B | $49.2M | $267.5M | $267.5M | — | — |
3. HNI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs HNI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, HNI Corporation (NYSE: HNI) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 62/100 at a spot price of $47.91 (+2.20% 1D, market cap $3.46B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, HNI ranks #352 in composite RQD confidence.
How does HNI compare to MLKN and EBF in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Office Equipment/Supplies/Services), HNI carries a Roarable C (62/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 63.8x, gross margin of 41.4%, and ROIC of 3.4%. By comparison, MLKN (MillerKnoll Inc.) holds a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 16.0x, ROIC 14.0%, cap $1.47B) and EBF (Ennis Inc.) posts a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 12.9x, ROIC 15.2%, cap $550.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, EBF leads on earnings multiple (12.9x) while EBF leads on capital efficiency (15.2% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HNI?
Per HNI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-03, CIK 0000048287), HNI Corporation generated $2.84B in revenue (+12.4% YoY), $54.2M in net income, and $276.3M in free cash flow against $4.88B in total assets and $1.28B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 64x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is HNI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
HNI last traded at $47.91 (+2.20% on volume of 784,217 shares), positioning the stock +1.16% above its 50-day simple moving average ($47.36) and +14.40% above its 200-day simple moving average ($41.88). Across its 52-week range of $28.93 to $52.79, HNI sits at the 79.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 60.0 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.3% ($44.89 to $50.93).
HNI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is HNI stock moving today?
Why HNI Stock surged +2.20% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid 41% profit margin (3% return on capital), mixed timing at 64x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.