Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / HMR / forecast

EDRY (60) AIOK (51) PXS (67) TORO (38) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Heidmar Maritime Holdings Corp. (HMR) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$1.78 -3.78% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.76

Heidmar Maritime Holdings Corp. (HMR) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 39/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (39/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $105.0M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on HMR Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is HMR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

▼

As of 2026-11-02, Heidmar Maritime Holdings Corp. (NASDAQ: HMR) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $1.78 (-3.78% 1D, market cap $105.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, HMR ranks #753 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does HMR compare to EDRY and AIOK in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

▼

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Marine Transportation), HMR carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, EDRY (EuroDry Ltd.) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 1.4%, cap $128.4M) and AIOK (AI OKTO CORP.) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $81.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TORO leads on earnings multiple (25.7x) while PXS leads on capital efficiency (3.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HMR?

▼

Per HMR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002029471), Heidmar Maritime Holdings Corp. generated $55.9M in revenue (+92.9% YoY), -$22.6M in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $72.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.76 (-0.87%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.44% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 4/20 (E) • 5.3% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (39/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for HMR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (39/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY HMR SCORES 39/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+12/20 pts (31% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (31% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 81% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 52.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 16 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$1.80-1.1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$1.78+6.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$1.90-6.3% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$1.78-7.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (47) → D- (39)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a HMR Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While HMR currently carries a cautious 39/100 (D-) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.64) and Max Pain ($1.87) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $2.12.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.44% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $HMR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “HMR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 39%NO 61%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your HMR Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $1.78: 5618.0 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $1.27

$7,135

$-2,865 (-28.7%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $1.63

$9,157

$-843 (-8.4%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $2.12

$11,910

+$1,910 (+19.1%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$2	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$2	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$1	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring HMR)

✓Walkthrough of HMR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

HMR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +128.21%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-11-02O $1.85H $1.85L $1.78C $1.78VOL 51.1K

RES: $2.36SUP: $1.20SMA50: $1.64SMA200: $1.20

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

HMR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 HMR Butterfly Map → + Track HMR →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +92.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on HMR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for HMR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for HMR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (HMR)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #753 of 1011 ⚔️ EDRY vs HMR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (HMR vs. EDRY, AIOK, PXS, TORO)

Industry: Marine Transportation (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Heidmar Maritime Holdings Corp. (HMR) ranks #753 by composite RQD confidence (39/100, grade D-) and #754 by equity capitalization ($105.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TORO leads on earnings valuation at 25.7x trailing P/E, while PXS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 3.4% ROIC and — gross margin. PXS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with HMR at 39/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
HMR ACTIVE Heidmar Maritime Holdings Corp.	D-	39/100	—	—	-35.0%	-3.78%	$105.0M	Benchmark Subject
EDRY EuroDry Ltd.	C-	60/100	—	—	1.4%	-2.63%	$128.4M	/edry-vs-hmr →
AIOK AI OKTO CORP.	D	51/100	—	—	—	-32.87%	$81.6M	/aiok-vs-hmr →
PXS Pyxis Tankers Inc.	C+	67/100	37.5x	—	3.4%	-1.49%	$74.8M	/pxs-vs-hmr →
TORO Toro Corp.	D-	38/100	25.7x	—	-4.8%	-3.07%	$152.8M	/toro-vs-hmr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002029471

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Heidmar Maritime Holdings Corp. (HMR) reported GAAP revenue of $55.9M (+92.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $28.9M , and +13.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$22.6M, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, HMR closed FY2025 with $72.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.20, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$55.9M	-$22.6M	—	—	$72.1M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$28.9M	$1.9M	$6.8M	$6.5M	$38.1M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$49.1M	$19.6M	$12.0M	$12.0M	—	—

3. HMR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is HMR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does HMR compare to EDRY and AIOK in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HMR?

Where is HMR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

HMR last traded at $1.78 (-3.78% on volume of 51,107 shares), positioning the stock +8.54% above its 50-day simple moving average ($1.64) and +48.33% above its 200-day simple moving average ($1.20). Across its 52-week range of $0.73 to $2.02, HMR sits at the 81.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 52.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.56 to $2.00).

HMR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is HMR's 12-month stock price target?

Heidmar Maritime Holdings Corp. (HMR) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $1.63 (-8.4% from $1.78), with a bull-case target of $2.12 and a bear-case floor of $1.27.